por admin » Jue Jul 15, 2010 5:51 pm
Vamos por buen camino...
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La economia Peruana crece mas de lo anticipado o 9.2% en el mes de Mayo gracias a la inversion directa. Los economistas esperaban que creciera el 9%.
La inversion privada esta repuntando este anio en el Peru despues de una contraccion del 15% el anio pasado impulsando la demanda de servicios y productos.
Las importaciones subieron el 41% en el mes de Mayo.
El pais Andino mostro un aumento de su produccion de electricidad en 13% con respecto al anio pasado, mientras la demanda de cemento subio 22% y el empleo subio 4.2%.
El Banco Central tuvo que comprar $151 millones despues de haber comprado la cantidad record de $493.5 para debilitar un poco al sol. La moneda Peruana es la moneda numero 7 en fortaleza entre los paises emergentes.
Peru Economy Grew More-Than-Forecast 9.2% in May, Led by Direct Investment
By John Quigley - Jul 15, 2010
Peru’s economy expanded at the second-fastest pace in 19 months in May as a recovery in private investment fuels demand.
Output surged 9.2 percent in May from the same month a year earlier, the government’s statistics agency said in a report today, slowing from 9.3 percent year-on-year growth in April. Economists forecast 9 percent growth for May, according to the median estimate of 15 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg.
Private investment in Peru is rebounding from a 15 percent contraction last year, fueling internal demand for goods and services. Increased spending by companies will allow the government to limit outlays in the second half of 2010 and help curb the fiscal deficit, said Vicente Tuesta, head of research at Lima-based pension fund Prima AFP.
“The pace of growth will be very solid in the second half,” Tuesta said in a phone interview from Lima. “Growth will be slower than in the first half because of the removal of monetary stimulus and a slowdown in public spending.”
The central bank last week raised its reference rate by a quarter point to 2 percent, the third straight increase, to prevent the economy from overheating, the central bank’s research director Adrian Armas said July 9.
Annual inflation accelerated to 1.64 percent in June, the fastest pace since August 2009, on higher food costs. Prices rose 0.25 percent last month from May.
Investment Outlook
Peru may post economic growth of more than 8 percent in the second quarter, compared with 6 percent in the first quarter, Armas said. The bank projects 6.6 percent growth for this year, led by an 8.8 percent surge in internal demand.
Investment projects totaling $35 billion may be undertaken by 2012, Ricardo Briceno, president of Peru’s largest business group Confiep, said in a July 6 interview.
Imports jumped 41 percent in May from the same month a year ago, the national statistics institute reported July 9, fuelled by the recovery in private demand.
“Public spending is being replaced by private investment, which will rise to record levels next year,” Gonzalo Camargo, investment manager at pension fund AFP Horizonte, told reporters today in Lima.
The sol weakened 0.1 percent to 2.8225 per dollar at 3:16 p.m. New York time. It has gained 2.3 percent against the dollar in 2010, the seventh-best performance among 26 emerging market currencies tracked by Bloomberg.
Growth, Jobs, Rates
Economic indicators for June suggest current growth may be sustained.
The Andean country posted a 13 percent increase in electricity production from the same month a year ago while cement demand grew 22 percent and employment rose 4.2 percent, said Renan Quispe, director of the statistics institute.
Those figures beat the growth levels registered in May, Quispe told reporters.
“The 4.2 percent rise in employment last month is a very substantial figure,” Quispe said. “If employment grows, there could be an impact on production.”
Sustained output at the current levels may require the central bank to accelerate its tightening policy to head off a buildup of inflationary pressures, said Hugo Perea, chief economist at BBVA Banco Continental, in an e-mailed statement.
The central bank may also boost reserve requirements as interest rate increases could quicken the sol’s appreciation, Perea said.
The central bank bought $151 million in the foreign exchange market today, following yesterday’s record $493.5 million purchase, to ease gains in the sol.
To contact the reporter on this story: John Quigley in Lima