por admin » Vie Nov 23, 2012 10:50 pm
November 23, 2012, 4:58 PM
Next Week’s Tape: Cyber Monday, Retail Earnings
By Nathalie Tadena
In a relatively light week ahead for corporate earnings, several retailers and food companies are among those due to report their latest quarterly results.
Monday marks the biggest online shopping day of the year in the U.S. as several e-commerce outlets look to lure holiday shoppers with “Cyber Monday” deals.
Among the spate of economic reports to be released next week are durable-goods orders data and a consumer confidence reading, as well as a second look at the third-quarter economy.
Several Retailers to Report Results
A handful of retailers, including several teen-focused apparel companies, will release their latest quarterly results.
Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters project Aeropostale Inc. ARO +3.81% (ARO), a bargain player among teen retailers, to record slightly weaker third-quarter profits. Meanwhile, rival American Eagle Outfitters Inc. AEO +1.86% (AEO)– which has been a standout in the teen sector lately – is expected to post a double-digit earnings gain. High-end peer Abercrombie & Fitch Co. ANF +1.58% (ANF), with its inventory issues largely under control and fresh product in stores, recently reported unexpectedly robust fiscal third-quarter results.
Other notable names in the retail space reporting results next week include women’s apparel company Ann Inc. ANN -0.09% (ANN), bookseller Barnes & Noble BKS -0.13% (BKS), privately held apparel company J. Crew Group Inc., luxury watchmaker Movado Group Inc. MOV +1.75% (MOV) and high-end jewelry company Tiffany TIF +1.37% & Co. (TIF).
Kroger KR +1.34% Expected to Report Stronger Profits, Sales
Supermarket giant Kroger Co. (KR) is among several grocery operators and food companies releasing results next week.
Kroger, the nation’s largest traditional grocery retailer, has been managing a tough competitive environment by cutting business costs and reinvesting the savings into lowering prices on some items, offering tailored coupons and discounts to consumers and broadly trying to improve the shopping experience to build customer loyalty. Analysts expect the company to report top- and bottom-line growth for the third quarter.
Green Mountain Coffee Roasters Inc. GMCR +1.30% (GMCR) Ralcorp Holdings Inc. RAH -0.50% (RAH) Post Holdings Inc. POST +1.30% (POST) Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc. CBRL +0.54% (CBRL) and WhiteWave Foods Co. WWAV +5.56% (WWAV) are also due to release quarterly results.
Online Retail Aim to Lure Customers with ‘Cyber Monday’ Deals
With the key holiday shopping season under way, several e-commerce outlets are looking to lure holiday shoppers by offering “Cyber Monday” online deals. Though consumer confidence has improved, shoppers still remain cautious amid a sluggish economy.
Online revenue for the retail sector could climb 18% to $2 billion on Cyber Monday, according to recent data from Adobe Systems Inc. ADBE +1.71% (ADBE). Online shopping has been making up a greater portion of holiday spending in recent years, helped by web-enabled devices. Adobe’s Digital Index 2012 Online Shopping Forecast also predicts strong purchasing activity from mobile devices, with mobile representing 21% of total online sales this holiday, more than double that of last year.
Durable Goods, Consumer Confidence Data Among Economic Reports Next Week
Economic reports next week will include: durable goods orders and consumer confidence on Tuesday, a second look at the third-quarter economy on Thursday, and October personal income and spending on Friday. Also the Federal Reserve will release its Beige Book Wednesday in advance of its Dec. 11-12 policy meeting.
Forecasters surveyed by Dow Jones Newswires expect a 1.3% drop in durable goods orders for October after an airplane-fueled 9.8% jump in September. Meanwhile, consumer confidence, as gauged by the Conference Board, is expected to increase slightly this month.
The Commerce Department will report its second reading of third-quarter gross domestic product on Thursday. Economists think real GDP growth picked up to an annual rate of 2.8%, better than the 2.0% pace first reported. Foreign trade and inventories are expected to drive the upward revision.
Conferences
Among the significant conferences next week are the BB&T BBT +1.52% Capital Markets Consumer, Food & Retail Conference on Monday in New York, the Credit Suisse Technology Conference Tuesday through Thursday in Scottsdale, Ariz.; the FBR Fall Investor Conference on Tuesday in New York; the Goldman Sachs Global Metals & Mining/Steel Conference Tuesday and Wednesday in New York; the Piper Jaffray Healthcare Conference Tuesday and Wednesday in New York; and the Jefferies Global Energy Conference Wednesday and Thursday in Houston.
And as always, here’s your handy clip-and-save calendar for next week:
Monday
Economic:
November Dallas Fed manufacturing survey (10:00 a.m. Eastern Time).
Earnings:
Seadrill Shanda blacklisted_site GAME +1.24%
Tuesday
Economic:
October durable goods orders (8:30): Seen falling 1.3% after rising 9.8% in September.
September S&P Case-Shiller 20-city home-price index (9:00): Seen rising 3.2% after rising 2.0% in August.
November consumer confidence (10:00): Seen at 73.0 after registering at 72.2 a month earlier.
September FHFA home prices (10:00): Seen rising 0.4% after rising 0.7% a month earlier.
November Richmond Fed manufacturing survey (10:00).
Earnings:
ADT Analog Devices ADI +1.57%, Focus Media, Green Mountain Guidewire Software GWRE +0.96%, Ralcorp
Wednesday
Economic:
October new home sales (10:00): Seen falling 0.5% after rising 5.7% in September.
Earnings:
Aeropostale, American Eagle, Ann, Coldwater Creek, Express, Fresh Market, Guess, Infoblox, JA Solar La-Z-Boy LZB +0.98%, Movado, New York & Co, Pall, Post, TiVo, Workday
Thursday
Economic:
Weekly jobless claims (8:30): Seen falling to 395,000 from 410,000 a week earlier.
Third-quarter GDP (second reading) (8:30): Seen at 2.8%, after initial reading of 2.0%.
October pending home sales (10:00): Seen up 1.0% after rising 0.3% a month earlier.
November Kansas City manufacturing survey (11:00).
Earnings:
Avago Tech AVGO +2.22%, Barnes & Noble, Christopher Banks, Cracker Barrel, Kroger Mentor Graphics MENT +0.77%, OmniVision Tech, Pacific Sunware, Splunk, Tiffany Zumiez ZUMZ +1.03%
Friday
Economic:
October personal income (8:30): Seen rising 0.2% after rising 0.4% a month earlier.
October consumer spending (8:30): Seen unchanged after rising 0.8% in September.
November Chicago PMI (9:45): Seen at 50.3 after coming in at 49.9 a month earlier.
Earnings:
Frontline, Genesco, ReneSola, Whitewave Foods
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