Inflación de China toca máximo 8 meses en medio de temor por endurecimiento
sábado 9 de noviembre de 2013 11:18 GYT Imprimir [-] Texto [+]
* IPC octubre sube 3,2 pct interanual, pronóstico era de 3,3 pct
* Producción industrial oct sube 10,3 pct, previsión era de 10 pct
Por Xiaoyi Shao y Kevin Yao
PEKIN (Reuters) - La inflación anual de China subió a un 3,2 por ciento en octubre, un máximo de ocho meses, ante el alza de los costos de los alimentos, lo que hace temer al mercado un endurecimiento en la política ante datos de inversión y de producción industrial que apuntaron a señales de estabilización en la economía.
La inflación, que se aceleró levemente desde un 3,1 por ciento en septiembre, se mantuvo bajo el pronóstico de un 3,3 por ciento calculado en un sondeo de Reuters. La lectura también fue inferior al objetivo oficial de un 3,5 por ciento para 2013.
"Aunque la inflación del IPC fue impulsada principalmente por la demanda estacional por alimentos, podría avivar temores del mercado de que el banco central pueda endurecer las condiciones monetarias", dijo Li Huiyong, economista de Shenyin & Wanguo Securities en Shanghái.
El Banco Popular de China se negó a inyectar liquidez a los mercados de monedas durante las operaciones regulares de mercado abierto el jueves, lo que hizo temer que la entidad iniciaría una nueva ronda de endurecimiento en los próximos meses, según operadores.
Datos publicados el viernes mostraron un repunte mayor al esperado para las exportaciones en octubre, lo que se suma a los indicios de que la economía ha encontrado un punto de apoyo mientras Pekín prepara su agenda de reformas para la próxima década.
No obstante, pocos analistas creen que el banco central chino se apresure en endurecer la política en medio de la incertidumbre global.
La Oficina Nacional de Estadísticas dijo que los precios de los alimentos subieron un 6,5 por ciento en octubre con respecto al mismo período del año previo, acelerándose desde el avance de 6,1 por ciento de septiembre.
Los precios al productor bajaron un 1,5 por ciento el mes pasado en comparación al mismo mes del año precio -en su vigésimo mes seguido de declives.
El sondeo de Reuters estimó que la inflación al consumidor sería de un 3,3 por ciento y que los precios al productor caerían un 1,4 por ciento.
En una comparación mensual, los precios al consumidor subieron un 0,1 por ciento contra el alza de 0,2 por ciento esperada por los economistas. Los precios al productor en octubre no variaron desde el mes previo.
Los datos de la Oficina Nacional de Estadísticas mostraron también que la producción industrial de China creció un 10,3 por ciento en octubre respecto al año previo, superando las expectativas del mercado de un avance de un 10 por ciento.
La inversión en activos fijos, un conductor clave del crecimiento económico, trepó un 20,1 por ciento en los diez primeros meses con respecto al mismo lapso del año 2012, en línea con los pronósticos. El crecimiento de la inversión en bienes raíces aumentó un 19,2 por ciento, mientras que los ingresos por ventas de propiedades se disparó un 32,3 por ciento.
Las ventas minoristas, un indicador clave del consumo, aumentaron un 13,3 por ciento en octubre desde el año previo y contra la subida de un 13,4 por ciento que esperaba el mercado.
Viernes 08/11/13 situacion del empleo
Re: Viernes 08/11/13 situacion del empleo
por admin » Sab Nov 09, 2013 7:40 pm
- admin
- Site Admin
- Mensajes: 165580
- Registrado: Mié Abr 21, 2010 9:02 pm
Re: Viernes 08/11/13 situacion del empleo
por admin » Sab Nov 09, 2013 7:45 pm
Los economistas siguen pensando que el Fed no hará nada este año, que esperarán hasta Marzo.
Fed Still Seen Tapering in March Even as Job Growth Picks Up
By Jeff Kearns & Victoria Stilwell - Nov 9, 2013 12:00 AM ET
Economists still forecast the Federal Reserve will delay tapering asset purchases until March even after a report yesterday showed employers added more jobs than forecast in October.
Policy makers will pare the monthly pace of bond buying to $70 billion at their March 18-19 meeting from the current pace of $85 billion, according to the median of 32 economist estimates in a Bloomberg News survey yesterday. The median forecast in an Oct. 17-18 survey of 40 economists also called for a reduction to $70 billion in March.
The Federal Open Market Committee voted Oct. 30 to keep the pace unchanged, saying it needs more evidence of improvement in the economy. The jobs report probably isn’t enough to convince policy makers that it’s time to start tapering the quantitative easing program, said Stephen Stanley, chief economist at Pierpont Securities LLC in Stamford, Connecticut.
The strength of the payroll report “at least brings December back on the table, but in the end they’re not going to have enough evidence to pull the trigger,” said Stanley, a former Richmond Fed researcher. “Part of the reason they keep putting off any pullback in accommodation is that they’re continually disappointed in the outlook.”
Employers added 204,000 workers in October, according to the Labor Department report, compared with a median estimate of a 120,000 gain in a Bloomberg survey of economists. Revisions increased the job gains for the prior two months by a total of 60,000. The jobless rate rose to 7.3 percent from almost a five-year low of 7.2 percent.
March Prediction
The report “makes us more comfortable with our March call,” said Laura Rosner, a U.S. economist at BNP Paribas SA in New York and a former researcher at the New York Fed. “This is the progress we need to be seeing in order to be confident by March of next year. We’ll need to see a couple more reports to make sure the strengthening in the labor market sticks.”
Fourteen of 32 economists surveyed yesterday said they expect the first reduction of bond purchases in March, while nine projected January and five forecast December. The remainder said they expect tapering to begin in April or June.
Economists at JPMorgan Chase & Co. moved up their estimate for the first taper to January from March or April after the jobs report, which lifted the average payrolls gain for the last three months to 202,000.
‘Comfortable Enough’
“Now it seems like the hiring is holding up even though overall economic growth is still pretty lackluster,” said Robert Mellman, a senior U.S. economist at JPMorgan in New York. “If they just get a few more reports confirming that what they see in the latest data is actually happening they’ll be comfortable enough that they can start to taper.”
The economists’ forecasts for a March taper contrast with investor expectations for an earlier reduction in QE. Treasuries fell the most in four months yesterday, the dollar strengthened and stocks rallied.
The yield on the 10-year note jumped 15 basis points to 2.75 percent. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose 1.3 percent and the Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied 167.8 points to a record 15,761.78. The dollar climbed against most of its major peers.
Payrolls increased at manufacturers by the most since February. Retailers added about twice as many workers as the month before, and leisure and hospitality employment was the strongest in six months.
Factories added 19,000 workers in October. Industries adding factory jobs in October ranged from motor vehicles and fabricated metals to furniture and food processing.
Holiday Shopping
Retailers boosting hiring ahead of the holiday shopping season include Amazon.com Inc. The world’s largest online retailer is creating more than 70,000 full-time seasonal jobs and expects to convert “thousands” of those positions to permanent roles after the season ends as it did in 2012, according to a statement.
The jobs report, delayed by the October partial federal government shutdown that furloughed as many as 800,000 federal workers, was originally slated for Nov. 1. The Labor Department, in its survey of 60,000 households, extrapolated the effects of the impasse to arrive at the unemployment rate.
“The government shutdown really didn’t have a material impact on employment,” said Brian Jones, senior U.S. economist at Societe Generale in New York, whose forecast for a payroll gain of 175,000 was the highest in the Bloomberg survey. “The labor market is actually quite healthy, regardless of what people may think. The economy is doing better.”
Third Round
The FOMC began its third round of quantitative easing in September 2012 with monthly purchases of $40 billion in mortgage-backed securities. It added $45 billion in monthly Treasury purchases in December.
Policy makers unexpectedly refrained from tapering at their meeting in September. Economists had forecast the FOMC would dial down monthly purchases by $5 billion at that gathering.
Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart, who doesn’t have a vote on the FOMC this year, said yesterday policy makers will consider reducing bond buying at their Dec. 17-18 meeting.
“I would not take off the table at least consideration at that time,” Lockhart told reporters in Oxford, Mississippi, in response to a question. “The question of changing the mix of accommodative tools ought to be on the table at every meeting for the foreseeable future.”
To contact the reporters on this story: Jeff Kearns in New York at jkearns3@bloomberg.net; Victoria Stilwell in Washington at vstilwell1@bloomberg.net
Fed Still Seen Tapering in March Even as Job Growth Picks Up
By Jeff Kearns & Victoria Stilwell - Nov 9, 2013 12:00 AM ET
Economists still forecast the Federal Reserve will delay tapering asset purchases until March even after a report yesterday showed employers added more jobs than forecast in October.
Policy makers will pare the monthly pace of bond buying to $70 billion at their March 18-19 meeting from the current pace of $85 billion, according to the median of 32 economist estimates in a Bloomberg News survey yesterday. The median forecast in an Oct. 17-18 survey of 40 economists also called for a reduction to $70 billion in March.
The Federal Open Market Committee voted Oct. 30 to keep the pace unchanged, saying it needs more evidence of improvement in the economy. The jobs report probably isn’t enough to convince policy makers that it’s time to start tapering the quantitative easing program, said Stephen Stanley, chief economist at Pierpont Securities LLC in Stamford, Connecticut.
The strength of the payroll report “at least brings December back on the table, but in the end they’re not going to have enough evidence to pull the trigger,” said Stanley, a former Richmond Fed researcher. “Part of the reason they keep putting off any pullback in accommodation is that they’re continually disappointed in the outlook.”
Employers added 204,000 workers in October, according to the Labor Department report, compared with a median estimate of a 120,000 gain in a Bloomberg survey of economists. Revisions increased the job gains for the prior two months by a total of 60,000. The jobless rate rose to 7.3 percent from almost a five-year low of 7.2 percent.
March Prediction
The report “makes us more comfortable with our March call,” said Laura Rosner, a U.S. economist at BNP Paribas SA in New York and a former researcher at the New York Fed. “This is the progress we need to be seeing in order to be confident by March of next year. We’ll need to see a couple more reports to make sure the strengthening in the labor market sticks.”
Fourteen of 32 economists surveyed yesterday said they expect the first reduction of bond purchases in March, while nine projected January and five forecast December. The remainder said they expect tapering to begin in April or June.
Economists at JPMorgan Chase & Co. moved up their estimate for the first taper to January from March or April after the jobs report, which lifted the average payrolls gain for the last three months to 202,000.
‘Comfortable Enough’
“Now it seems like the hiring is holding up even though overall economic growth is still pretty lackluster,” said Robert Mellman, a senior U.S. economist at JPMorgan in New York. “If they just get a few more reports confirming that what they see in the latest data is actually happening they’ll be comfortable enough that they can start to taper.”
The economists’ forecasts for a March taper contrast with investor expectations for an earlier reduction in QE. Treasuries fell the most in four months yesterday, the dollar strengthened and stocks rallied.
The yield on the 10-year note jumped 15 basis points to 2.75 percent. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose 1.3 percent and the Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied 167.8 points to a record 15,761.78. The dollar climbed against most of its major peers.
Payrolls increased at manufacturers by the most since February. Retailers added about twice as many workers as the month before, and leisure and hospitality employment was the strongest in six months.
Factories added 19,000 workers in October. Industries adding factory jobs in October ranged from motor vehicles and fabricated metals to furniture and food processing.
Holiday Shopping
Retailers boosting hiring ahead of the holiday shopping season include Amazon.com Inc. The world’s largest online retailer is creating more than 70,000 full-time seasonal jobs and expects to convert “thousands” of those positions to permanent roles after the season ends as it did in 2012, according to a statement.
The jobs report, delayed by the October partial federal government shutdown that furloughed as many as 800,000 federal workers, was originally slated for Nov. 1. The Labor Department, in its survey of 60,000 households, extrapolated the effects of the impasse to arrive at the unemployment rate.
“The government shutdown really didn’t have a material impact on employment,” said Brian Jones, senior U.S. economist at Societe Generale in New York, whose forecast for a payroll gain of 175,000 was the highest in the Bloomberg survey. “The labor market is actually quite healthy, regardless of what people may think. The economy is doing better.”
Third Round
The FOMC began its third round of quantitative easing in September 2012 with monthly purchases of $40 billion in mortgage-backed securities. It added $45 billion in monthly Treasury purchases in December.
Policy makers unexpectedly refrained from tapering at their meeting in September. Economists had forecast the FOMC would dial down monthly purchases by $5 billion at that gathering.
Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart, who doesn’t have a vote on the FOMC this year, said yesterday policy makers will consider reducing bond buying at their Dec. 17-18 meeting.
“I would not take off the table at least consideration at that time,” Lockhart told reporters in Oxford, Mississippi, in response to a question. “The question of changing the mix of accommodative tools ought to be on the table at every meeting for the foreseeable future.”
To contact the reporters on this story: Jeff Kearns in New York at jkearns3@bloomberg.net; Victoria Stilwell in Washington at vstilwell1@bloomberg.net
- admin
- Site Admin
- Mensajes: 165580
- Registrado: Mié Abr 21, 2010 9:02 pm
Re: Viernes 08/11/13 situacion del empleo
por admin » Sab Nov 09, 2013 7:51 pm
Cajamarca: manifestantes marcharon hacia las lagunas del proyecto Conga
Cientos de pobladores de distritos como Bambamarca, Celendín, Huasmín y Sorochuco llegaron hasta El Perol y Laguna Azul
‹
1 de 2
›
Desde la mañana un gran grupo de pobladores llegó a la zona de influencia del proyecto Conga. (Twitter: @Chavezwar)
Cientos de personas marcharon desde la provincia de Celendín hacia las lagunas Azul y El Perol, parte de la zona de influencia del proyecto minero Conga, en Cajamarca, como parte de una conmemoración de dos años desde las primeras manifestaciones contra Yanacocha en la zona.
“Se celebran dos años desde las primeras movilizaciones masivas tras el intento de ejecución del proyecto minero Conga en defensa de nuestra subsistencia”, dijo para elcomercio.pe Milton Sánchez, presidente de la Plataforma Interinstitucional de Celendín.
Detalló que han llegado a sumarse miles de personas de los distritos de Bambamarca, Celendín, Huasmín y Sorochuco. No descartó que vayan a llegar más personas a la movilización que aseguró será pacífica.
Asimismo, informó que se llevará a cabo una asamblea en la zona para determinar qué otras acciones van a realizar.
Sánchez afirmó que la minera Yanacocha no ha realizado ningún tipo de actividad relacionada con el proyecto minero.
INVOCAN AL MINISTRO
El dirigente aseguró que las agrupaciones sociales que se oponen al proyecto minero en la zona están dispuestas a dialogar con el nuevo presidente del Consejo de Ministros, César Villanueva.
“Queremos que venga para que conozca Conga y conozca el por qué estamos luchando hasta ahora (...) Queremos decirle que, si está solicitando diálogo, no es con las autoridades, sino con las comunidades con quienes tiene que hablar”, señaló Sánchez desde las inmediaciones de El Perol.
Cientos de pobladores de distritos como Bambamarca, Celendín, Huasmín y Sorochuco llegaron hasta El Perol y Laguna Azul
‹
1 de 2
›
Desde la mañana un gran grupo de pobladores llegó a la zona de influencia del proyecto Conga. (Twitter: @Chavezwar)
Cientos de personas marcharon desde la provincia de Celendín hacia las lagunas Azul y El Perol, parte de la zona de influencia del proyecto minero Conga, en Cajamarca, como parte de una conmemoración de dos años desde las primeras manifestaciones contra Yanacocha en la zona.
“Se celebran dos años desde las primeras movilizaciones masivas tras el intento de ejecución del proyecto minero Conga en defensa de nuestra subsistencia”, dijo para elcomercio.pe Milton Sánchez, presidente de la Plataforma Interinstitucional de Celendín.
Detalló que han llegado a sumarse miles de personas de los distritos de Bambamarca, Celendín, Huasmín y Sorochuco. No descartó que vayan a llegar más personas a la movilización que aseguró será pacífica.
Asimismo, informó que se llevará a cabo una asamblea en la zona para determinar qué otras acciones van a realizar.
Sánchez afirmó que la minera Yanacocha no ha realizado ningún tipo de actividad relacionada con el proyecto minero.
INVOCAN AL MINISTRO
El dirigente aseguró que las agrupaciones sociales que se oponen al proyecto minero en la zona están dispuestas a dialogar con el nuevo presidente del Consejo de Ministros, César Villanueva.
“Queremos que venga para que conozca Conga y conozca el por qué estamos luchando hasta ahora (...) Queremos decirle que, si está solicitando diálogo, no es con las autoridades, sino con las comunidades con quienes tiene que hablar”, señaló Sánchez desde las inmediaciones de El Perol.
- admin
- Site Admin
- Mensajes: 165580
- Registrado: Mié Abr 21, 2010 9:02 pm
¿Quién está conectado?
Usuarios navegando por este Foro: No hay usuarios registrados visitando el Foro y 25 invitados