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Viernes
Por fin es Viernes!!!
Ventras retail, se espera 0.5% de aumento.
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8:30 AM ET
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Viernes 12/08/11 Ventas retail, confianza consumidor
Viernes 12/08/11 Ventas retail, confianza consumidor
por admin » Jue Ago 11, 2011 6:22 pm
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Re: Viernes 12/08/11 Ventas retail, confianza consumidor
por admin » Jue Ago 11, 2011 6:22 pm
Treasurys Price Chg Yield %
2-Year Note* -1/32 0.197
10-Year Note* -1 12/32 2.347
* at close
7:09 p.m. EDT 08/11/11Futures Last Change Settle
Crude Oil 85.52 -0.20 85.72
Gold 1761.6 10.1 1751.5
E-mini Dow 11064 -20 11084
E-mini S&P 500 1166.25 -2.25 1168.50
7:19 p.m. EDT 08/11/11Currencies Last (bid) Prior Day †
Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) 76.88 76.84
Euro (EUR/USD) 1.4218 1.4239
† Late Thursday
2-Year Note* -1/32 0.197
10-Year Note* -1 12/32 2.347
* at close
7:09 p.m. EDT 08/11/11Futures Last Change Settle
Crude Oil 85.52 -0.20 85.72
Gold 1761.6 10.1 1751.5
E-mini Dow 11064 -20 11084
E-mini S&P 500 1166.25 -2.25 1168.50
7:19 p.m. EDT 08/11/11Currencies Last (bid) Prior Day †
Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) 76.88 76.84
Euro (EUR/USD) 1.4218 1.4239
† Late Thursday
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Re: Viernes 12/08/11 Ventas retail, confianza consumidor
por admin » Jue Ago 11, 2011 6:25 pm
No hay realmente pruebas contundentes de que ayuda, pero aqui esta Europa prohibiendo el shor sales (apostar a que las acciones van a bajar)
Espania, Italia, Belgium prohiben el Short selling.
France, Spain, Italy, Belgium Ban Short Sales to Halt Rout in Bank Shares
QBy Howard Mustoe and Jim Brunsden - Aug 11, 2011 6:31 PM ET .
France, Spain, Italy and Belgium will impose bans on short-selling from today to stabilize markets after European banks including Societe Generale SA hit their lowest level since the credit crisis.
“While short-selling can be a valid trading strategy, when used in combination with spreading false market rumors this is clearly abusive,” the European Securities and Markets Authority, which coordinates the work of national regulators in the 27-nation European Union, said in a statement after talks ended late yesterday. National regulators will impose the bans “to restrict the benefits that can be achieved from spreading false rumors or to achieve a regulatory level playing field.”
The watchdogs are trying to stem a rout that sent European bank stocks to their lowest in almost 2 1/2 years and quell concern that European lenders may be struggling to fund themselves. Banks’ overnight borrowings from the European Central Bank jumped to the highest in three months yesterday, a sign some lenders may have need for emergency cash. Regulators imposed similar limits on short sales in September 2008 following the collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc.
The move “shows a sense of panic among European regulators,” Giri Cherukuri, head trader for Oakbrook Investments, which manages $2.7 billion, said in a telephone interview. “On the other hand, people have been calling for regulators to do something decisive, and this is one step along that way.”
‘Unintended Consequences’
Market turbulence has already led Turkey to curb short sales and threaten “severe” penalties for manipulation, following nations including Greece and South Korea. Britain, the first to impose a temporary ban in September 2008, lifted its restrictions in January 2009. The Financial Services Authority said yesterday it has no plans to reintroduce a ban.
Short-sellers sell borrowed shares with plans to buy them back later at a lower price, a practice politicians and some investors blame for roiling markets.
“EU policy makers don’t seem to understand the law of unintended consequences,” Jim Chanos, the short seller known for predicting Enron Corp.’s collapse, said by e-mail. “The vast majority of short-selling financial shares is by other financial institutions, hedging their counterparty risks, not speculators. The interbank lending market froze up completely in October to December 2008 -- after the short-selling bans.”
The gap between the three-month euro interbank offered rate and the overnight indexed swap rate widened yesterday to the most since April 2009, showing that European banks are becoming more reluctant to lend to each other for longer than overnight. The Bloomberg Europe Banks and Financial Services Index, which climbed 3.4 percent yesterday, is down 27 percent this year.
France, Belgium
France’s markets regulator said in a statement it will ban any net short positions and any increase in such positions for at least the next 15 days. The 11 companies covered by the restrictions include insurer Axa SA (CS), BNP Paribas (BNP) SA, Credit Agricole SA (ACA), Natixis and Societe Generale, the regulator said. Market makers will be exempt from the ban.
In Belgium, the local regulator said it banned short- selling “by any means whatsoever.” Existing short positions won’t be banned, though can’t be increased. Ageas, Dexia SA, KBC Groep NV (KBC) and KBC Ancora are covered by the limits.
The board of Italy’s securities markets regulator, Consob, postponed a meeting to before the market opens today, said an official at the Rome-based watchdog, who couldn’t be identified in line with its policy. The meeting will address short sales and measures to review the practice, the official said.
Short-Term Funding
Florence Harmon, a spokeswoman for the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, declined to comment on the EU measures.
Frederic Oudea, chief executive officer of Paris-based Societe Generale (GLE), defended the company against speculation that a deterioration in France’s creditworthiness would damage the bank’s stability. He called the rumors “absolute rubbish” in an Aug. 10 interview with CNBC after the stock sank 15 percent.
Oudea’s bank is among lenders being targeted by investors because of its perceived dependence on short-term funding, according to analysts at Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc.
“The primary culprit for the share-price decline is funding concerns for European banks in general and French banks in particular,” RBS analysts including Stefan Stalmann said in a note to clients yesterday. “The mix of euro doubts and rating fears in recent days and weeks may have dented the confidence of funding counterparties, which has then fed back into equity markets.”
Funding Plans
Societe Generale, Credit Agricole, Spain’s Bankia SA, Italy’s UniCredit SpA (UCG) and Intesa Sanpaolo SpA (ISP) as well as Germany’s Commerzbank AG (CBK) are among banks with the lowest net stable funding ratios and are most reliant on short-term sources of wholesale funding, RBS said. Societe Generale said on Aug. 10 it had fulfilled “almost all” of its funding plan for 2011.
Stable funds are those that banks can expect to have for at least a year even in stressed market conditions, such as term deposits and long-standing consumer deposits. The latest round of Basel rules, scheduled to become binding at the start of 2018, will set a minimum amount of stable funds that banks will have to use to finance different types of lending.
“It’s quite likely, in our view, that funding will not become a serious issue for the large French banks, that anxieties subside and that the shares rebound,” the RBS analysts said. “But there is a non-trivial risk that confidence deteriorates further.”
To contact the reporters on this story: Howard Mustoe in London at hmustoe@bloomberg.net; Gavin Finch in London at gfinch@bloomberg.net
To contact the editor responsible for this story: Edward Evans
Espania, Italia, Belgium prohiben el Short selling.
France, Spain, Italy, Belgium Ban Short Sales to Halt Rout in Bank Shares
QBy Howard Mustoe and Jim Brunsden - Aug 11, 2011 6:31 PM ET .
France, Spain, Italy and Belgium will impose bans on short-selling from today to stabilize markets after European banks including Societe Generale SA hit their lowest level since the credit crisis.
“While short-selling can be a valid trading strategy, when used in combination with spreading false market rumors this is clearly abusive,” the European Securities and Markets Authority, which coordinates the work of national regulators in the 27-nation European Union, said in a statement after talks ended late yesterday. National regulators will impose the bans “to restrict the benefits that can be achieved from spreading false rumors or to achieve a regulatory level playing field.”
The watchdogs are trying to stem a rout that sent European bank stocks to their lowest in almost 2 1/2 years and quell concern that European lenders may be struggling to fund themselves. Banks’ overnight borrowings from the European Central Bank jumped to the highest in three months yesterday, a sign some lenders may have need for emergency cash. Regulators imposed similar limits on short sales in September 2008 following the collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc.
The move “shows a sense of panic among European regulators,” Giri Cherukuri, head trader for Oakbrook Investments, which manages $2.7 billion, said in a telephone interview. “On the other hand, people have been calling for regulators to do something decisive, and this is one step along that way.”
‘Unintended Consequences’
Market turbulence has already led Turkey to curb short sales and threaten “severe” penalties for manipulation, following nations including Greece and South Korea. Britain, the first to impose a temporary ban in September 2008, lifted its restrictions in January 2009. The Financial Services Authority said yesterday it has no plans to reintroduce a ban.
Short-sellers sell borrowed shares with plans to buy them back later at a lower price, a practice politicians and some investors blame for roiling markets.
“EU policy makers don’t seem to understand the law of unintended consequences,” Jim Chanos, the short seller known for predicting Enron Corp.’s collapse, said by e-mail. “The vast majority of short-selling financial shares is by other financial institutions, hedging their counterparty risks, not speculators. The interbank lending market froze up completely in October to December 2008 -- after the short-selling bans.”
The gap between the three-month euro interbank offered rate and the overnight indexed swap rate widened yesterday to the most since April 2009, showing that European banks are becoming more reluctant to lend to each other for longer than overnight. The Bloomberg Europe Banks and Financial Services Index, which climbed 3.4 percent yesterday, is down 27 percent this year.
France, Belgium
France’s markets regulator said in a statement it will ban any net short positions and any increase in such positions for at least the next 15 days. The 11 companies covered by the restrictions include insurer Axa SA (CS), BNP Paribas (BNP) SA, Credit Agricole SA (ACA), Natixis and Societe Generale, the regulator said. Market makers will be exempt from the ban.
In Belgium, the local regulator said it banned short- selling “by any means whatsoever.” Existing short positions won’t be banned, though can’t be increased. Ageas, Dexia SA, KBC Groep NV (KBC) and KBC Ancora are covered by the limits.
The board of Italy’s securities markets regulator, Consob, postponed a meeting to before the market opens today, said an official at the Rome-based watchdog, who couldn’t be identified in line with its policy. The meeting will address short sales and measures to review the practice, the official said.
Short-Term Funding
Florence Harmon, a spokeswoman for the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, declined to comment on the EU measures.
Frederic Oudea, chief executive officer of Paris-based Societe Generale (GLE), defended the company against speculation that a deterioration in France’s creditworthiness would damage the bank’s stability. He called the rumors “absolute rubbish” in an Aug. 10 interview with CNBC after the stock sank 15 percent.
Oudea’s bank is among lenders being targeted by investors because of its perceived dependence on short-term funding, according to analysts at Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc.
“The primary culprit for the share-price decline is funding concerns for European banks in general and French banks in particular,” RBS analysts including Stefan Stalmann said in a note to clients yesterday. “The mix of euro doubts and rating fears in recent days and weeks may have dented the confidence of funding counterparties, which has then fed back into equity markets.”
Funding Plans
Societe Generale, Credit Agricole, Spain’s Bankia SA, Italy’s UniCredit SpA (UCG) and Intesa Sanpaolo SpA (ISP) as well as Germany’s Commerzbank AG (CBK) are among banks with the lowest net stable funding ratios and are most reliant on short-term sources of wholesale funding, RBS said. Societe Generale said on Aug. 10 it had fulfilled “almost all” of its funding plan for 2011.
Stable funds are those that banks can expect to have for at least a year even in stressed market conditions, such as term deposits and long-standing consumer deposits. The latest round of Basel rules, scheduled to become binding at the start of 2018, will set a minimum amount of stable funds that banks will have to use to finance different types of lending.
“It’s quite likely, in our view, that funding will not become a serious issue for the large French banks, that anxieties subside and that the shares rebound,” the RBS analysts said. “But there is a non-trivial risk that confidence deteriorates further.”
To contact the reporters on this story: Howard Mustoe in London at hmustoe@bloomberg.net; Gavin Finch in London at gfinch@bloomberg.net
To contact the editor responsible for this story: Edward Evans
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Re: Viernes 12/08/11 Ventas retail, confianza consumidor
por admin » Jue Ago 11, 2011 6:27 pm
US se ahorra $647 millones esta semana por que subasto sus bonos a yields mas bajos de su historia. Es decir que lo que US pagara en intereses sera menor a lo que usualmente paga y todo debido al downgrade de S&P, deberia ser al contrario. Ironias de los ratings.
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Re: Viernes 12/08/11 Ventas retail, confianza consumidor
por admin » Jue Ago 11, 2011 6:28 pm
South Korea dice que ha sido atacada por North Korea.
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Re: Viernes 12/08/11 Ventas retail, confianza consumidor
por admin » Jue Ago 11, 2011 6:37 pm
En los ultimos dias los CEO o insiders de companias han comprado cientos de millones de dolares en acciones de sus propias empresas, un signo de confianza y optimismo en la economia. Comprando agresivamente. Alquien tiene que estar optimista, todo no puede ser vender nada mas.
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Re: Viernes 12/08/11 Ventas retail, confianza consumidor
por Ed_Alex » Jue Ago 11, 2011 7:12 pm
BAP según Kallpa, target $119
--------------------
Adjunto Resumen de los resultados Q2 2011 de CREDICORP (BVL, NYSE: BAP).
Resultados Q2 2011 muy similares a los Q1 2011 a pesar de la incertidumbre política.
Márgenes financieros (Net Interest Income) flat, por debajo de nuestros estimados. Mayores ingresos NO financieros (Fee Income), transaction results (FOREX & impuestos) y aporte de subsidiarias contribuyeron a contrarrestar las mayores provisiones requeridas por el incremento en el portafolio crediticio y gastos operativos de Credicorp.
Nuestro valor fundamental de US$ 119.45 por acción podría ser ajustado ligeramente a la baja, reflejando una reducción en los NIM, un menor dinamismo en las colocaciones del BCP & Edyficar así como un deterioro en la calidad de la cartera por encima de lo esperado. En relación a los gastos en provisiones, somos conservadores y asumíamos un ratio de cobertura de 200% por encima de los 194% registrados por Credicorp.
Utilidad Neta Q2 2011: US$ 174.2 millones, -0.5% QoQ, +7.6% YoY
Utilidad Neta S1 2011: US$ 336 millones (excluyendo ingresos extraordinarios del Q1 2011)
Q1 2011: ROE S1 2011: 24.3%, Cartera Morosa: 1.5%
--------------------
Adjunto Resumen de los resultados Q2 2011 de CREDICORP (BVL, NYSE: BAP).
Resultados Q2 2011 muy similares a los Q1 2011 a pesar de la incertidumbre política.
Márgenes financieros (Net Interest Income) flat, por debajo de nuestros estimados. Mayores ingresos NO financieros (Fee Income), transaction results (FOREX & impuestos) y aporte de subsidiarias contribuyeron a contrarrestar las mayores provisiones requeridas por el incremento en el portafolio crediticio y gastos operativos de Credicorp.
Nuestro valor fundamental de US$ 119.45 por acción podría ser ajustado ligeramente a la baja, reflejando una reducción en los NIM, un menor dinamismo en las colocaciones del BCP & Edyficar así como un deterioro en la calidad de la cartera por encima de lo esperado. En relación a los gastos en provisiones, somos conservadores y asumíamos un ratio de cobertura de 200% por encima de los 194% registrados por Credicorp.
Utilidad Neta Q2 2011: US$ 174.2 millones, -0.5% QoQ, +7.6% YoY
Utilidad Neta S1 2011: US$ 336 millones (excluyendo ingresos extraordinarios del Q1 2011)
Q1 2011: ROE S1 2011: 24.3%, Cartera Morosa: 1.5%
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Re: Viernes 12/08/11 Ventas retail, confianza consumidor
por Ed_Alex » Jue Ago 11, 2011 7:19 pm
Plata up $38.72
Oro up $ 1749
Oro up $ 1749
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Re: Viernes 12/08/11 Ventas retail, confianza consumidor
por admin » Jue Ago 11, 2011 7:26 pm
Euro down 1.4196
Au down 1,750.60 -2.14%
Oil down 85.20 -0.61%
Brent down 107.46, -0.52%
Australia +1.08%, el Nikkei +0.52%, Korea +0.57%
Los futures del Dow Jones 27 puntos a la baja
Yen down 76.85
Au down 1,750.60 -2.14%
Oil down 85.20 -0.61%
Brent down 107.46, -0.52%
Australia +1.08%, el Nikkei +0.52%, Korea +0.57%
Los futures del Dow Jones 27 puntos a la baja
Yen down 76.85
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Re: Viernes 12/08/11 Ventas retail, confianza consumidor
por admin » Jue Ago 11, 2011 7:28 pm
Si los insiders pensaran que en el corto plazo las acciones de sus empresas van a bajar mas, se esperarian un par de dias, antes de comprar, vienen comprando toda la semana.
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Re: Viernes 12/08/11 Ventas retail, confianza consumidor
por Ed_Alex » Jue Ago 11, 2011 8:05 pm
Top Peru miner sees gold above $2,000 in 2012
Aug 11 (Reuters) - The price per ounce of gold could be between $2,000 and $2,500 in 2012, Carlos Galvez, chief executive of Peru's top precious metal miner Buenaventura (BVN.N) said on Thursday.
Gold hit a new record of $1,813.79 early on Thursday before recoiling slightly as riskier assets like stocks rose. The precious metal has gained nearly 20 percent on since June as investors flee to safety, fearing a global recession.
Peru is the world's number 6 gold producer. (Reporting by Alfredo Loayza)
Related Quotes and News
COMPANYPRICERELATED NEWS
Compania De Minas Buenaventura SAA
BVN.N
$41.98
+1.52+3.76%
Aug 11 (Reuters) - The price per ounce of gold could be between $2,000 and $2,500 in 2012, Carlos Galvez, chief executive of Peru's top precious metal miner Buenaventura (BVN.N) said on Thursday.
Gold hit a new record of $1,813.79 early on Thursday before recoiling slightly as riskier assets like stocks rose. The precious metal has gained nearly 20 percent on since June as investors flee to safety, fearing a global recession.
Peru is the world's number 6 gold producer. (Reporting by Alfredo Loayza)
Related Quotes and News
COMPANYPRICERELATED NEWS
Compania De Minas Buenaventura SAA
BVN.N
$41.98
+1.52+3.76%
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Re: Viernes 12/08/11 Ventas retail, confianza consumidor
por admin » Jue Ago 11, 2011 8:10 pm
Copper August 11,20:59
Bid/Ask 4.0442 - 4.0511
Change +0.0264 +0.66%
Low/High 4.0178 - 4.0674
Charts
Nickel August 11,20:59
Bid/Ask 9.7377 - 9.7980
Change -0.0541 -0.55%
Low/High 9.7169 - 9.8212
Charts
Aluminum August 11,20:55
Bid/Ask 1.0782 - 1.0800
Change +0.0039 +0.36%
Low/High 1.0742 - 1.0828
Charts
Zinc August 11,20:59
Bid/Ask 0.9841 - 0.9922
Change +0.0001 +0.01%
Low/High 0.9809 - 0.9929
Charts
Lead August 11,20:58
Bid/Ask 1.0767 - 1.0823
Change +0.0019 +0.18%
Low/High 1.0726 - 1.0826
Charts
Bid/Ask 4.0442 - 4.0511
Change +0.0264 +0.66%
Low/High 4.0178 - 4.0674
Charts
Nickel August 11,20:59
Bid/Ask 9.7377 - 9.7980
Change -0.0541 -0.55%
Low/High 9.7169 - 9.8212
Charts
Aluminum August 11,20:55
Bid/Ask 1.0782 - 1.0800
Change +0.0039 +0.36%
Low/High 1.0742 - 1.0828
Charts
Zinc August 11,20:59
Bid/Ask 0.9841 - 0.9922
Change +0.0001 +0.01%
Low/High 0.9809 - 0.9929
Charts
Lead August 11,20:58
Bid/Ask 1.0767 - 1.0823
Change +0.0019 +0.18%
Low/High 1.0726 - 1.0826
Charts
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Re: Viernes 12/08/11 Ventas retail, confianza consumidor
por admin » Jue Ago 11, 2011 8:12 pm
5:24 p.m. EDT 08/11/11Treasurys
Price Chg Yield %
2-Year Note* -1/32 0.197
10-Year Note* -1 12/32 2.347
* at close
8:58 p.m. EDT 08/11/11Futures
Last Change Settle
Crude Oil 85.46 -0.26 85.72
Gold 1757.9 6.4 1751.5
E-mini Dow 11054 -30 11084
E-mini S&P 500 1165.50 -3.00 1168.50
9:08 p.m. EDT 08/11/11Currencies
Last (bid) Prior Day †
Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) 76.91 76.84
Euro (EUR/USD) 1.4188 1.4239
† Late Thursday in New York.
Price Chg Yield %
2-Year Note* -1/32 0.197
10-Year Note* -1 12/32 2.347
* at close
8:58 p.m. EDT 08/11/11Futures
Last Change Settle
Crude Oil 85.46 -0.26 85.72
Gold 1757.9 6.4 1751.5
E-mini Dow 11054 -30 11084
E-mini S&P 500 1165.50 -3.00 1168.50
9:08 p.m. EDT 08/11/11Currencies
Last (bid) Prior Day †
Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) 76.91 76.84
Euro (EUR/USD) 1.4188 1.4239
† Late Thursday in New York.
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Re: Viernes 12/08/11 Ventas retail, confianza consumidor
por admin » Jue Ago 11, 2011 8:15 pm
Tomorrow’s Tape: Retail Risks
By Mark Gongloff
Economics:
8:30 a.m. ET.: Retail sales for July. The wheezing donkey that is our nation’s economy feasts on retail sales, so these are sort of a big deal. They’ll give us a hint of the shape of GDP in the third quarter. Economists think sales rebounded a bit from a weakish June.
9:55 a.m.: University of Michigan consumer sentiment index for August. How are you feeling about the economy right now? There’s your forecast.
10:00 a.m.: Business inventories for June, ancient history that few will notice, though this will affect second-quarter GDP, which is already looking even more terrible than first estimated.
Earnings: We get reports from:
J.C. Penney
FedSpeak:
10:00 a.m.: New York Fed President Bill Dudley is due to speak. He’s in the dovish camp.
By Mark Gongloff
Economics:
8:30 a.m. ET.: Retail sales for July. The wheezing donkey that is our nation’s economy feasts on retail sales, so these are sort of a big deal. They’ll give us a hint of the shape of GDP in the third quarter. Economists think sales rebounded a bit from a weakish June.
9:55 a.m.: University of Michigan consumer sentiment index for August. How are you feeling about the economy right now? There’s your forecast.
10:00 a.m.: Business inventories for June, ancient history that few will notice, though this will affect second-quarter GDP, which is already looking even more terrible than first estimated.
Earnings: We get reports from:
J.C. Penney
FedSpeak:
10:00 a.m.: New York Fed President Bill Dudley is due to speak. He’s in the dovish camp.
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