Miercoles 10/04/19 minutas del Fed

Los acontecimientos mas importantes en el mundo de las finanzas, la economia (macro y micro), las bolsas mundiales, los commodities, el mercado de divisas, la politica monetaria y fiscal y la politica como variables determinantes en el movimiento diario de las acciones. Opiniones, estrategias y sugerencias de como navegar el fascinante mundo del stock market.

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Re: Miercoles 10/04/19 minutas del Fed

Notapor admin » Mié Abr 10, 2019 9:15 am

Copper April 10,09:58
Bid/Ask 2.9251 - 2.9258
Change -0.0164 -0.56%
Low/High 2.9151 - 2.9546
Charts

Nickel April 10,09:58
Bid/Ask 5.9428 - 5.9474
Change -0.0098 -0.17%
Low/High 5.9186 - 5.9839
Charts

Aluminum April 10,09:58
Bid/Ask 0.8385 - 0.8390
Change -0.0039 -0.47%
Low/High 0.8385 - 0.8443
Charts

Zinc April 10,09:58
Bid/Ask 1.3317 - 1.3322
Change +0.0112 +0.85%
Low/High 1.3140 - 1.3331
Charts

Lead April 10,09:58
Bid/Ask 0.8841 - 0.8848
Change -0.0034 -0.38%
Low/High 0.8786 - 0.9035
Charts

Uranium Mar 25, 2019
Ux U308 price: 25.75
Change fro
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Re: Miercoles 10/04/19 minutas del Fed

Notapor admin » Mié Abr 10, 2019 9:15 am

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Re: Miercoles 10/04/19 minutas del Fed

Notapor admin » Mié Abr 10, 2019 9:16 am

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Re: Miercoles 10/04/19 minutas del Fed

Notapor admin » Mié Abr 10, 2019 10:37 am

LAST CHANGE % CHG
DJIA 26137.87 -12.71 -0.05%
Nasdaq 7952.58 43.30 0.55%
S&P 500 2885.18 6.98 0.24%
Russell 2000 1572.16 12.47 0.80%
Global Dow 3066.62 1.39 0.05%
Japan: Nikkei 225 21687.57 -115.02 -0.53%
Stoxx Europe 600 386.30 0.62 0.16%
UK: FTSE 100 7415.26 -10.31 -0.14%
CURRENCIES11:37 AM EDT 4/10/2019
LAST(MID) CHANGE
Euro (EUR/USD) 1.1266 0.0005
Yen (USD/JPY) 110.89 -0.25
Pound (GBP/USD) 1.3091 0.0038
Australia $ (AUD/USD) 0.7161 0.0038
Swiss Franc (USD/CHF) 1.0024 0.0026
WSJ Dollar Index 89.91 -0.13
GOVERNMENT BONDS11:37 AM EDT 4/10/2019
PRICE CHG YIELD
U.S. 10 Year 8/32 2.473
German 10 Year 7/32 -0.029
Japan 10 Year 3/32 -0.055
FUTURES11:27 AM EDT 4/10/2019
LAST CHANGE % CHG
Crude Oil 64.34 0.36 0.56%
Brent Crude 71.44 0.83 1.18%
Gold 1312.0 3.6 0.28%
Silver 15.215 0.004 0.03%
E-mini DJIA 26118 -40 -0.15%
E-mini S&P 500
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Re: Miercoles 10/04/19 minutas del Fed

Notapor admin » Mié Abr 10, 2019 10:39 am

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Re: Miercoles 10/04/19 minutas del Fed

Notapor admin » Mié Abr 10, 2019 11:51 am

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Re: Miercoles 10/04/19 minutas del Fed

Notapor admin » Mié Abr 10, 2019 12:28 pm

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Re: Miercoles 10/04/19 minutas del Fed

Notapor admin » Mié Abr 10, 2019 1:02 pm

La Fed no espera subir intereses este año.
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Re: Miercoles 10/04/19 minutas del Fed

Notapor admin » Mié Abr 10, 2019 1:03 pm

DJIA 26142.07 -8.51 -0.03%
Nasdaq 7951.57 42.29 0.53%
S&P 500 2885.65 7.45 0.26%
Russell 2000 1576.33 16.65 1.07%
Global Dow 3068.45 3.22 0.11%
Japan: Nikkei 225 21687.57 -115.02 -0.53%
Stoxx Europe 600 386.68 1.00 0.26%
UK: FTSE 100 7421.91 -3.66 -0.05%
CURRENCIES2:02 PM EDT 4/10/2019
LAST(MID) CHANGE
Euro (EUR/USD) 1.1272 0.0010
Yen (USD/JPY) 110.90 -0.23
Pound (GBP/USD) 1.3113 0.0060
Australia $ (AUD/USD) 0.7166 0.0043
Swiss Franc (USD/CHF) 1.0020 0.0022
WSJ Dollar Index 89.85 -0.19
GOVERNMENT BONDS2:02 PM EDT 4/10/2019
PRICE CHG YIELD
U.S. 10 Year 7/32 2.474
German 10 Year 5/32 -0.024
Japan 10 Year 3/32 -0.055
FUTURES1:52 PM EDT 4/10/2019
LAST CHANGE % CHG
Crude Oil 64.57 0.59 0.92%
Brent Crude 71.66 1.05 1.49%
Gold 1313.6 5.3 0.41%
Silver 15.240 0.029 0.19%
E-mini DJIA 26143 -15 -0.06%
E-mini S&P 500
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Re: Miercoles 10/04/19 minutas del Fed

Notapor admin » Mié Abr 10, 2019 1:04 pm

Fed officials are leaving the door open for more rate hikes if the economy improves, minutes say
PUBLISHED 3 MINS AGO

Jeff Cox
@JeffCoxCNBCcom
CNBC.COM
Several participants noted that their views of the appropriate range for the federal funds rate could shift in either direction based on incoming data and other developments," the meeting summary stated.
Federal Reserve officials at their most recent meeting left room for the possibility of interest rate increases before the end of the year, should economic conditions improve, according to minutes from the session released Wednesday.
The central bank's Federal Open Market Committee voted unanimously to not raise its benchmark rate at the March 19-20 gathering, and simultaneously indicated that it didn't see a likelihood for any hikes through 2019.
However, that came after a discussion in which members said they would be watching the data on an economy most of them expected to improve through the year.

"Several participants noted that their views of the appropriate range for the federal funds rate could shift in either direction based on incoming data and other developments," the meeting summary stated. "Some participants indicated that if the economy evolved as they currently expected, with economic growth above its longer-run trend rate, they would likely judge it appropriate to raise the target range for the federal funds rate modestly later this year."
The suggestion of a modest move implies one quarter-point adjustment in the current target range of 2.25 percent to 2.5 percent. Futures markets are currently pricing in no chance of an increase and in fact a considerable possibility that the Fed might choose to cut rates.
Through the first months of 2019, market participants have seen a more dovish Fed in favor of a "patient" approach to policy and one that will focus on economic data points like unemployment and inflation. That's a switch from a central bank that hiked rates four times last year and until the March meeting had been indicating two more increases before the end of this year.
Softening data on consumer spending and housing, a weak global picture and, importantly, muted inflation pressures have pushed the Fed to the sidelines.
At the March meeting, members noted the weak beginning to 2019, specifically citing household spending and business investment as metrics holding back broader economic growth. However, since that meeting, expectations for the first quarter have gotten more optimistic, with the Atlanta Fed's GDP tracker going from 0.2 percent in the early part of March to around 2.1 percent now.
Even with the low growth expectations, the minutes noted that members expected GDP to "bounce back solidly" in the second quarter.
Fed members noted that financial conditions, which tightened sharply in the fourth quarter, loosened to start 2019. The officials gave themselves credit for the change, saying, "Federal Reserve communications since the beginning of the year were seen as an important contributor to the recent improvements in financial conditions."
In addition to dealing with the evolving economy, the Fed has been under intense political pressure. President Donald Trump has continued his attacks on the central bank, going so far last Friday to suggest that not only should the bank be cutting rates but that it also ought to consider restarting the bond purchase program known as quantitative easing.
On top of that, two of the president's prospective nominees for the Board of Governors, economic commentator Stephen Moore and former presidential candidate Herman Cain, have been under scrutiny and face uncertain prospects should their names be submitted for Senate confirmation.
Judging by the minutes, the discussion steered clear of politics, focusing on the monetary policy calculus that must take into account a labor market near a 50-year low in unemployment and an economy pressured by waning fiscal stimulus.
Members said they viewed the upside and downside risks as "roughly balanced."
Potential upside risks are accelerations in household spending and business investment as well as the remaining effects of the 2017 tax cuts, a still-improving labor market and strong consumer sentiment.
Downside risks include some weakening data that "could be the harbinger of a substantial deterioration in economic activity. Moreover, trade policies and foreign economic developments could move in directions that have significant negative effects on U.S. economic growth."
Officials also discussed the Fed's balance sheet, which consists mostly of Treasury and mortgage-backed securities holdings that have been reducing since October 2017. The committee approved a plan that would see the bond reduction begin to taper in May and then halt altogether in September.
Minutes indicated that members were interested in reducing uncertainty about the plan, so they decided to come up with a firm timetable at the meeting.
The Fed built up the asset portfolio to more than $4 trillion through three rounds of bond purchases during and after the financial crisis, in an effort to lower long-term interest rates and ease financial conditions. The moves coincided with the longest bull market run in Wall Street's history and an economic expansion that is also approaching an all-time mark.
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Re: Miercoles 10/04/19 minutas del Fed

Notapor RCHF » Mié Abr 10, 2019 1:44 pm

Tipo de cambio del dólar podría subir a S/3,35 a fin de año: ¿a qué se debería?
En lo que va del año, el tipo de cambio ha caído en 2,2% debido a la entrada de capitales del exterior a la economía peruana. Pero la tendencia podría revertirse, según el BCP

El tipo de cambio cotizaba a 3,799.14 bolívares soberanos en la víspera.
Nicolás Castillo

10.04.2019 / 09:39 am
En lo que va del año, el tipo de cambio ha caído en 2,2%, debido a la entrada de capitales del exterior a la economía peruana, atraídos por la mayor rentabilidad que ofrecen los bonos peruanos frente a los de Estados Unidos.

En el primer trimestre, a decir del Banco de Crédito (BCP) ingresaron al país dólares de inversionistas extranjeros por un valor cercano a los S/10.000 millones, a través de la compra de bonos soberanos, lo que incidió en la caída del billete verde y en la fortaleza del sol.



No obstante, esta tendencia podría revertirse a fin de año de año, estima Carlos Prieto, gerente de Estudios Económicos del BCP. Según el economista, de acentuarse la desaceleración de la economía global --expectativa que llevó a la Reserva Federal a mantener sus tasas de interés-, a fin de año, el tipo de cambio podría cerrar alrededor del S/3,35, es decir 1,7% mayor respecto a la cotización vigente de S/3,295.

“Si se exacerba la desaceleración de la economía mundial, ello podría llevar a que, en algún momento, los inversionistas opten por activos refugios y salgan de los países emergentes. Es decir, esos capitales que han entrado fuertemente y que han presionado la apreciación de la moneda, hacia fines de año o hacia el primer trimestre del próximo año podrían salir, depreciando el sol”, afirmó Prieto.

ECONOMÍA Y EMPLEO
De acuerdo con el economista, pese al conflicto de Las Bambas, la economía peruana alcanzaría un crecimiento del 3,7% para este año, debido al dinamismo que experimentaría la inversión privada por la construcción de puertos, aeropuertos, proyectos inmobiliarios, inversiones en minería, entre otros.

"Si bien la inversión pública puede caer este año, la privada crecerá a su mayor ritmo en 6 años. Nosotros esperamos que crezca alrededor del 5,5%", aseveró el economista del BCP.

Sobre el impacto que el dinamismo de la inversión privada tendría sobre el empleo, Prieto afirmó que el banco espera un crecimiento del empleo formal en torno al 4% para este año, con mayor dinamismo en las regiones.

A decir de Prieto, el empleo formal en las regiones se vería favorecido por el dinamismo de las agroexportaciones y el desarrollo de los proyectos mineros que se están llevando a cabo.

"También, prevemos que el empleo formal será más dinámico que el empleo informal", concluyó Prieto.
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Re: Miercoles 10/04/19 minutas del Fed

Notapor admin » Mié Abr 10, 2019 1:55 pm

LAST CHANGE % CHG
DJIA 26137.64 -12.94 -0.05%
Nasdaq 7947.68 38.40 0.49%
S&P 500 2885.22 7.02 0.24%
Russell 2000 1577.25 17.57 1.13%
Global Dow 3067.37 2.14 0.07%
Japan: Nikkei 225 21687.57 -115.02 -0.53%
Stoxx Europe 600 386.68 1.00 0.26%
UK: FTSE 100 7421.91 -3.66 -0.05%
CURRENCIES2:55 PM EDT 4/10/2019
LAST(MID) CHANGE
Euro (EUR/USD) 1.1275 0.0013
Yen (USD/JPY) 110.97 -0.17
Pound (GBP/USD) 1.3085 0.0032
Australia $ (AUD/USD) 0.7167 0.0044
Swiss Franc (USD/CHF) 1.0025 0.0027
WSJ Dollar Index 89.89 -0.15
GOVERNMENT BONDS2:54 PM EDT 4/10/2019
PRICE CHG YIELD
U.S. 10 Year 7/32 2.476
German 10 Year 5/32 -0.024
Japan 10 Year 3/32 -0.055
FUTURES2:45 PM EDT 4/10/2019
LAST CHANGE % CHG
Crude Oil 64.59 0.61 0.95%
Brent Crude 71.70 1.09 1.54%
Gold 1312.3 4.0 0.31%
Silver 15.210 -0.001 -0.01%
E-mini DJIA 26139 -19 -0.07%
E-mini S&P 500 2888.50
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Re: Miercoles 10/04/19 minutas del Fed

Notapor admin » Mié Abr 10, 2019 4:22 pm

DJIA 26157.16 6.58 0.03%
Nasdaq 7964.24 54.97 0.69%
S&P 500 2888.21 10.01 0.35%
Russell 2000 1581.55 21.87 1.40%
Global Dow 3068.01 2.78 0.09%
Japan: Nikkei 225 21687.57 -115.02 -0.53%
Stoxx Europe 600 386.68 1.00 0.26%
UK: FTSE 100 7421.91 -3.66 -0.05%
CURRENCIES5:21 PM EDT 4/10/2019
LAST(MID) CHANGE
Euro (EUR/USD) 1.1278 0.0002
Yen (USD/JPY) 110.98 -0.03
Pound (GBP/USD) 1.3088 -0.0001
Australia $ (AUD/USD) 0.7170 0.0000
Swiss Franc (USD/CHF) 1.0024 -0.0001
WSJ Dollar Index 89.87 -0.01
GOVERNMENT BONDS4:58 PM EDT 4/10/2019
PRICE CHG YIELD
U.S. 10 Year 9/32 2.468
German 10 Year 5/32 -0.024
Japan 10 Year 3/32 -0.055
FUTURES5:00 PM EDT 4/10/2019
LAST CHANGE % CHG
Crude Oil 64.47 0.49 0.77%
Brent Crude 71.60 0.99 1.40%
Gold 1312.0 3.7 0.28%
Silver 15.195 -0.016 -0.11%
E-mini DJIA 26177 19 0.07%
E-mini S&P 500 2895
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Re: Miercoles 10/04/19 minutas del Fed

Notapor admin » Mié Abr 10, 2019 4:22 pm

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Re: Miercoles 10/04/19 minutas del Fed

Notapor admin » Mié Abr 10, 2019 4:23 pm

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