Lunes
Eventos economicos
Indice de las casas
Subasta de bonos
Entre los indicadores mas importantes de la semana tenemos el Martes la decision del Fed, los inicios de casas, el Miercoles el indice de las casas, el Jueves las ventas de casas existentes, los seguros de desempleo, los indicadores lideres, el balance del Fed y el money supply y el Viernes las ventas de casas nuevas y las ordenes de bienes duraderos.
Housing Market Index
10:00 AM ET
4-Week Bill Announcement
11:00 AM ET
3-Month Bill Auction
11:30 AM ET
6-Month Bill Auction
11:30 AM ET
ICSC-Goldman Store Sales
7:45 AM ET
Housing Starts
8:30 AM ET
Redbook
8:55 AM ET
4-Week Bill Auction
11:30 AM ET
52-Week Bill Auction
11:30 AM ET
FOMC Meeting Announcement
2:15 PM ET
Bank Reserve Settlement
MBA Purchase Applications
7:00 AM ET
FHFA House Price Index
10:00 AM ET
EIA Petroleum Status Report
10:30 AM ET
Weekly Bill Settlement
52-Week Bill Settlement
Jobless Claims
8:30 AM ET
Existing Home Sales
10:00 AM ET
Leading Indicators
10:00 AM ET
EIA Natural Gas Report
10:30 AM ET
3-Month Bill Announcement
11:00 AM ET
6-Month Bill Announcement
11:00 AM ET
2-Yr Note Announcement
11:00 AM ET
5-Yr Note Announcement
11:00 AM ET
7-Yr Note Announcement
11:00 AM ET
Fed Balance Sheet
4:30 PM ET
Money Supply
4:30 PM ET
Durable Goods Orders
8:30 AM ET
New Home Sales
10:00 AM ET
Lunes 20/09/10 Semana del Fed, ventas de casas, ind. lideres
Lunes 20/09/10 Semana del Fed, ventas de casas, ind. lideres
por admin » Dom Sep 19, 2010 10:21 am
- admin
- Site Admin
- Mensajes: 164292
- Registrado: Mié Abr 21, 2010 9:02 pm
Re: Lunes 20/09/10 Semana del Fed, ventas de casas, ind. lid
por admin » Dom Sep 19, 2010 10:28 am
El sondeo de Bloomberg arroja que las ventas de casas probablemente mejoraron en una senial de que el mercado de casas se esta regularizando despues que cayera dramaticamente debido a la expiracion de los creditos del gobierno.
Las ventas de casas nuevas habrian subido 7% a 4.395 millones al anio. Tambien se espera que las ordenes de bienes duraderos hayan subido 4%
Las ventas de casas existentes habiran subido 7.1%.
Las casas existentes son mas del 80% del mercado.
Los inicios de casas tambien habrian subido.
U.S. .Home Sales in U.S. Probably Rose in Sign Real Estate Market Is Stabilizing
By Courtney Schlisserman - Sep 19, 2010 12:01 AM ET
A sold sign sits in front of a home under construction in a Pulte Homes Inc. development in Leesburg, Virginia.
Home sales probably increased in August, a sign the U.S. real estate market is stabilizing after the expiration of a tax credit caused demand to plunge, economists said before reports this week.
Purchases of new and previously owned homes rose 7 percent to a combined 4.395 million annual pace, according to the median forecast in a Bloomberg News survey. A separate report may show orders for long-lasting goods excluding transportation equipment rebounded last month.
“Housing is in a fragile bottoming process,” said Aaron Smith, a senior economist at Moody’s Analytics in West Chester, Pennsylvania. The projected gains in home sales and durable goods are “consistent with stabilizing growth, albeit at a slower” pace than earlier this year, he said.
Builders such as Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. face a housing market depressed by unemployment close to 10 percent and rising foreclosures, making it difficult for mortgage rates near record lows to stoke demand. Combined with growth in manufacturing, the figures underscore the Federal Reserve’s view that the economy, while decelerating, will avoid slipping back into a recession.
Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke and his fellow U.S. central bankers meet Sept. 21 to determine whether the economy needs additional stimulus. The Fed’s benchmark interest rate is already in a range from zero to 0.25 percent, where it’s been since 2008. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg earlier this month forecast the Fed’s Open Market Committee will keep the rate unchanged until late next year.
The central bank said in its Beige Book survey of regional Fed banks earlier this month that there were “widespread signs of a deceleration” in the economy from mid-July through the end of August. Most areas of the U.S. reported “very low or declining home sales.”
Existing-Home Sales
Sales of previously owned homes rose to a 4.1 million annual rate in August from a 3.83 million pace, according to the median estimate before the National Association of Realtors’ report on Sept. 23 in Washington. The 7.1 percent gain would follow the record 27 percent plunge in July.
The following day, the Commerce Department will release the new-home sales figures. The median forecast calls for purchases to rise to a 295,000 pace, up 6.9 percent from a month earlier.
Existing-home sales account for more than 80 percent of the market and are counted when a deal is closed. New-home sales are recorded when a contract is signed.
The government’s homebuyers credit of as much as $8,000 for first-time buyers required contracts by signed by April 30. While the deadline for closing was moved to Sept. 30 from an original June 30, the bulk of purchasers wanting to qualify had already completed the buying process.
Temporary Relief
The tax incentive provided temporary relief for the industry that precipitated the worst recession since the 1930s. With the economy cooling from earlier this year, lawmakers are now debating whether to extend tax cuts put in place by President George W. Bush.
Democrats are pushing President Barack Obama’s plan to let tax cuts for the wealthiest 2 percent to 3 percent of Americans expire and permanently extend lower rates on individuals with incomes up to $200,000 and for couples up to $250,000.
The end of the homebuyer credit, joblessness and sagging consumer confidence prompted a decline in orders at Hovnanian, the largest homebuilder in New Jersey said on Sept 1. The company said its net orders dropped 37 percent in the quarter ended July 31 from a year earlier.
Jobs Are ‘Key’
“Job creation is the key to a housing recovery, which makes it difficult to predict how improvements in the economy and housing market play out,” Chief Executive Officer Ara Hovnanian said in a statement.
That may explain why shares of builders have declined this year, while the broader market has gained. The Standard & Poor’s Supercomposite Homebuilding Index, which includes D.R. Horton Inc. and Lennar Corp., is down 7.7 percent this year compared with a 0.9 percent rise for the S&P 500.
Another report on housing this week, due Sept. 21 from the Commerce Department, will show starts of homes rose to a 550,000 annual rate in August, from 546,000 a month earlier, according to the median forecast in the Bloomberg survey.
Construction permits for new homes were little changed at a 560,000 pace, indicating ground-breaking will be hard-pressed to pick up in coming months.
Rising Foreclosures
Builders and sellers are competing with rising foreclosures, which means homes stay on the market longer and prices are restrained. Home seizures reached a record for the third time in five months in August, RealtyTrac Inc. said Sept. 16.
The weakness in housing is making the economy more dependent on gains in manufacturing. The Commerce Department is scheduled to release the durable goods report on Sept. 24. Bookings including those for transportation equipment probably fell 1 percent in August after a 0.4 percent gain, according to the median forecast.
Excluding transportation, orders probably rose 1 percent last month, the survey showed. Bookings for non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft, a proxy for future business investment, may have increased 4 percent.
Las ventas de casas nuevas habrian subido 7% a 4.395 millones al anio. Tambien se espera que las ordenes de bienes duraderos hayan subido 4%
Las ventas de casas existentes habiran subido 7.1%.
Las casas existentes son mas del 80% del mercado.
Los inicios de casas tambien habrian subido.
U.S. .Home Sales in U.S. Probably Rose in Sign Real Estate Market Is Stabilizing
By Courtney Schlisserman - Sep 19, 2010 12:01 AM ET
A sold sign sits in front of a home under construction in a Pulte Homes Inc. development in Leesburg, Virginia.
Home sales probably increased in August, a sign the U.S. real estate market is stabilizing after the expiration of a tax credit caused demand to plunge, economists said before reports this week.
Purchases of new and previously owned homes rose 7 percent to a combined 4.395 million annual pace, according to the median forecast in a Bloomberg News survey. A separate report may show orders for long-lasting goods excluding transportation equipment rebounded last month.
“Housing is in a fragile bottoming process,” said Aaron Smith, a senior economist at Moody’s Analytics in West Chester, Pennsylvania. The projected gains in home sales and durable goods are “consistent with stabilizing growth, albeit at a slower” pace than earlier this year, he said.
Builders such as Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. face a housing market depressed by unemployment close to 10 percent and rising foreclosures, making it difficult for mortgage rates near record lows to stoke demand. Combined with growth in manufacturing, the figures underscore the Federal Reserve’s view that the economy, while decelerating, will avoid slipping back into a recession.
Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke and his fellow U.S. central bankers meet Sept. 21 to determine whether the economy needs additional stimulus. The Fed’s benchmark interest rate is already in a range from zero to 0.25 percent, where it’s been since 2008. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg earlier this month forecast the Fed’s Open Market Committee will keep the rate unchanged until late next year.
The central bank said in its Beige Book survey of regional Fed banks earlier this month that there were “widespread signs of a deceleration” in the economy from mid-July through the end of August. Most areas of the U.S. reported “very low or declining home sales.”
Existing-Home Sales
Sales of previously owned homes rose to a 4.1 million annual rate in August from a 3.83 million pace, according to the median estimate before the National Association of Realtors’ report on Sept. 23 in Washington. The 7.1 percent gain would follow the record 27 percent plunge in July.
The following day, the Commerce Department will release the new-home sales figures. The median forecast calls for purchases to rise to a 295,000 pace, up 6.9 percent from a month earlier.
Existing-home sales account for more than 80 percent of the market and are counted when a deal is closed. New-home sales are recorded when a contract is signed.
The government’s homebuyers credit of as much as $8,000 for first-time buyers required contracts by signed by April 30. While the deadline for closing was moved to Sept. 30 from an original June 30, the bulk of purchasers wanting to qualify had already completed the buying process.
Temporary Relief
The tax incentive provided temporary relief for the industry that precipitated the worst recession since the 1930s. With the economy cooling from earlier this year, lawmakers are now debating whether to extend tax cuts put in place by President George W. Bush.
Democrats are pushing President Barack Obama’s plan to let tax cuts for the wealthiest 2 percent to 3 percent of Americans expire and permanently extend lower rates on individuals with incomes up to $200,000 and for couples up to $250,000.
The end of the homebuyer credit, joblessness and sagging consumer confidence prompted a decline in orders at Hovnanian, the largest homebuilder in New Jersey said on Sept 1. The company said its net orders dropped 37 percent in the quarter ended July 31 from a year earlier.
Jobs Are ‘Key’
“Job creation is the key to a housing recovery, which makes it difficult to predict how improvements in the economy and housing market play out,” Chief Executive Officer Ara Hovnanian said in a statement.
That may explain why shares of builders have declined this year, while the broader market has gained. The Standard & Poor’s Supercomposite Homebuilding Index, which includes D.R. Horton Inc. and Lennar Corp., is down 7.7 percent this year compared with a 0.9 percent rise for the S&P 500.
Another report on housing this week, due Sept. 21 from the Commerce Department, will show starts of homes rose to a 550,000 annual rate in August, from 546,000 a month earlier, according to the median forecast in the Bloomberg survey.
Construction permits for new homes were little changed at a 560,000 pace, indicating ground-breaking will be hard-pressed to pick up in coming months.
Rising Foreclosures
Builders and sellers are competing with rising foreclosures, which means homes stay on the market longer and prices are restrained. Home seizures reached a record for the third time in five months in August, RealtyTrac Inc. said Sept. 16.
The weakness in housing is making the economy more dependent on gains in manufacturing. The Commerce Department is scheduled to release the durable goods report on Sept. 24. Bookings including those for transportation equipment probably fell 1 percent in August after a 0.4 percent gain, according to the median forecast.
Excluding transportation, orders probably rose 1 percent last month, the survey showed. Bookings for non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft, a proxy for future business investment, may have increased 4 percent.
- admin
- Site Admin
- Mensajes: 164292
- Registrado: Mié Abr 21, 2010 9:02 pm
Re: Lunes 20/09/10 Semana del Fed, ventas de casas, ind. lid
por admin » Dom Sep 19, 2010 10:28 am
El sondeo de Bloomberg arroja que las ventas de casas probablemente mejoraron en una senial de que el mercado de casas se esta regularizando despues que cayera dramaticamente debido a la expiracion de los creditos del gobierno.
Las ventas de casas nuevas habrian subido 7% a 4.395 millones al anio. Tambien se espera que las ordenes de bienes duraderos hayan subido 4%
Las ventas de casas existentes habiran subido 7.1%.
Las casas existentes son mas del 80% del mercado.
Los inicios de casas tambien habrian subido.
U.S. .Home Sales in U.S. Probably Rose in Sign Real Estate Market Is Stabilizing
By Courtney Schlisserman - Sep 19, 2010 12:01 AM ET
A sold sign sits in front of a home under construction in a Pulte Homes Inc. development in Leesburg, Virginia.
Home sales probably increased in August, a sign the U.S. real estate market is stabilizing after the expiration of a tax credit caused demand to plunge, economists said before reports this week.
Purchases of new and previously owned homes rose 7 percent to a combined 4.395 million annual pace, according to the median forecast in a Bloomberg News survey. A separate report may show orders for long-lasting goods excluding transportation equipment rebounded last month.
“Housing is in a fragile bottoming process,” said Aaron Smith, a senior economist at Moody’s Analytics in West Chester, Pennsylvania. The projected gains in home sales and durable goods are “consistent with stabilizing growth, albeit at a slower” pace than earlier this year, he said.
Builders such as Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. face a housing market depressed by unemployment close to 10 percent and rising foreclosures, making it difficult for mortgage rates near record lows to stoke demand. Combined with growth in manufacturing, the figures underscore the Federal Reserve’s view that the economy, while decelerating, will avoid slipping back into a recession.
Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke and his fellow U.S. central bankers meet Sept. 21 to determine whether the economy needs additional stimulus. The Fed’s benchmark interest rate is already in a range from zero to 0.25 percent, where it’s been since 2008. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg earlier this month forecast the Fed’s Open Market Committee will keep the rate unchanged until late next year.
The central bank said in its Beige Book survey of regional Fed banks earlier this month that there were “widespread signs of a deceleration” in the economy from mid-July through the end of August. Most areas of the U.S. reported “very low or declining home sales.”
Existing-Home Sales
Sales of previously owned homes rose to a 4.1 million annual rate in August from a 3.83 million pace, according to the median estimate before the National Association of Realtors’ report on Sept. 23 in Washington. The 7.1 percent gain would follow the record 27 percent plunge in July.
The following day, the Commerce Department will release the new-home sales figures. The median forecast calls for purchases to rise to a 295,000 pace, up 6.9 percent from a month earlier.
Existing-home sales account for more than 80 percent of the market and are counted when a deal is closed. New-home sales are recorded when a contract is signed.
The government’s homebuyers credit of as much as $8,000 for first-time buyers required contracts by signed by April 30. While the deadline for closing was moved to Sept. 30 from an original June 30, the bulk of purchasers wanting to qualify had already completed the buying process.
Temporary Relief
The tax incentive provided temporary relief for the industry that precipitated the worst recession since the 1930s. With the economy cooling from earlier this year, lawmakers are now debating whether to extend tax cuts put in place by President George W. Bush.
Democrats are pushing President Barack Obama’s plan to let tax cuts for the wealthiest 2 percent to 3 percent of Americans expire and permanently extend lower rates on individuals with incomes up to $200,000 and for couples up to $250,000.
The end of the homebuyer credit, joblessness and sagging consumer confidence prompted a decline in orders at Hovnanian, the largest homebuilder in New Jersey said on Sept 1. The company said its net orders dropped 37 percent in the quarter ended July 31 from a year earlier.
Jobs Are ‘Key’
“Job creation is the key to a housing recovery, which makes it difficult to predict how improvements in the economy and housing market play out,” Chief Executive Officer Ara Hovnanian said in a statement.
That may explain why shares of builders have declined this year, while the broader market has gained. The Standard & Poor’s Supercomposite Homebuilding Index, which includes D.R. Horton Inc. and Lennar Corp., is down 7.7 percent this year compared with a 0.9 percent rise for the S&P 500.
Another report on housing this week, due Sept. 21 from the Commerce Department, will show starts of homes rose to a 550,000 annual rate in August, from 546,000 a month earlier, according to the median forecast in the Bloomberg survey.
Construction permits for new homes were little changed at a 560,000 pace, indicating ground-breaking will be hard-pressed to pick up in coming months.
Rising Foreclosures
Builders and sellers are competing with rising foreclosures, which means homes stay on the market longer and prices are restrained. Home seizures reached a record for the third time in five months in August, RealtyTrac Inc. said Sept. 16.
The weakness in housing is making the economy more dependent on gains in manufacturing. The Commerce Department is scheduled to release the durable goods report on Sept. 24. Bookings including those for transportation equipment probably fell 1 percent in August after a 0.4 percent gain, according to the median forecast.
Excluding transportation, orders probably rose 1 percent last month, the survey showed. Bookings for non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft, a proxy for future business investment, may have increased 4 percent.
Las ventas de casas nuevas habrian subido 7% a 4.395 millones al anio. Tambien se espera que las ordenes de bienes duraderos hayan subido 4%
Las ventas de casas existentes habiran subido 7.1%.
Las casas existentes son mas del 80% del mercado.
Los inicios de casas tambien habrian subido.
U.S. .Home Sales in U.S. Probably Rose in Sign Real Estate Market Is Stabilizing
By Courtney Schlisserman - Sep 19, 2010 12:01 AM ET
A sold sign sits in front of a home under construction in a Pulte Homes Inc. development in Leesburg, Virginia.
Home sales probably increased in August, a sign the U.S. real estate market is stabilizing after the expiration of a tax credit caused demand to plunge, economists said before reports this week.
Purchases of new and previously owned homes rose 7 percent to a combined 4.395 million annual pace, according to the median forecast in a Bloomberg News survey. A separate report may show orders for long-lasting goods excluding transportation equipment rebounded last month.
“Housing is in a fragile bottoming process,” said Aaron Smith, a senior economist at Moody’s Analytics in West Chester, Pennsylvania. The projected gains in home sales and durable goods are “consistent with stabilizing growth, albeit at a slower” pace than earlier this year, he said.
Builders such as Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. face a housing market depressed by unemployment close to 10 percent and rising foreclosures, making it difficult for mortgage rates near record lows to stoke demand. Combined with growth in manufacturing, the figures underscore the Federal Reserve’s view that the economy, while decelerating, will avoid slipping back into a recession.
Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke and his fellow U.S. central bankers meet Sept. 21 to determine whether the economy needs additional stimulus. The Fed’s benchmark interest rate is already in a range from zero to 0.25 percent, where it’s been since 2008. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg earlier this month forecast the Fed’s Open Market Committee will keep the rate unchanged until late next year.
The central bank said in its Beige Book survey of regional Fed banks earlier this month that there were “widespread signs of a deceleration” in the economy from mid-July through the end of August. Most areas of the U.S. reported “very low or declining home sales.”
Existing-Home Sales
Sales of previously owned homes rose to a 4.1 million annual rate in August from a 3.83 million pace, according to the median estimate before the National Association of Realtors’ report on Sept. 23 in Washington. The 7.1 percent gain would follow the record 27 percent plunge in July.
The following day, the Commerce Department will release the new-home sales figures. The median forecast calls for purchases to rise to a 295,000 pace, up 6.9 percent from a month earlier.
Existing-home sales account for more than 80 percent of the market and are counted when a deal is closed. New-home sales are recorded when a contract is signed.
The government’s homebuyers credit of as much as $8,000 for first-time buyers required contracts by signed by April 30. While the deadline for closing was moved to Sept. 30 from an original June 30, the bulk of purchasers wanting to qualify had already completed the buying process.
Temporary Relief
The tax incentive provided temporary relief for the industry that precipitated the worst recession since the 1930s. With the economy cooling from earlier this year, lawmakers are now debating whether to extend tax cuts put in place by President George W. Bush.
Democrats are pushing President Barack Obama’s plan to let tax cuts for the wealthiest 2 percent to 3 percent of Americans expire and permanently extend lower rates on individuals with incomes up to $200,000 and for couples up to $250,000.
The end of the homebuyer credit, joblessness and sagging consumer confidence prompted a decline in orders at Hovnanian, the largest homebuilder in New Jersey said on Sept 1. The company said its net orders dropped 37 percent in the quarter ended July 31 from a year earlier.
Jobs Are ‘Key’
“Job creation is the key to a housing recovery, which makes it difficult to predict how improvements in the economy and housing market play out,” Chief Executive Officer Ara Hovnanian said in a statement.
That may explain why shares of builders have declined this year, while the broader market has gained. The Standard & Poor’s Supercomposite Homebuilding Index, which includes D.R. Horton Inc. and Lennar Corp., is down 7.7 percent this year compared with a 0.9 percent rise for the S&P 500.
Another report on housing this week, due Sept. 21 from the Commerce Department, will show starts of homes rose to a 550,000 annual rate in August, from 546,000 a month earlier, according to the median forecast in the Bloomberg survey.
Construction permits for new homes were little changed at a 560,000 pace, indicating ground-breaking will be hard-pressed to pick up in coming months.
Rising Foreclosures
Builders and sellers are competing with rising foreclosures, which means homes stay on the market longer and prices are restrained. Home seizures reached a record for the third time in five months in August, RealtyTrac Inc. said Sept. 16.
The weakness in housing is making the economy more dependent on gains in manufacturing. The Commerce Department is scheduled to release the durable goods report on Sept. 24. Bookings including those for transportation equipment probably fell 1 percent in August after a 0.4 percent gain, according to the median forecast.
Excluding transportation, orders probably rose 1 percent last month, the survey showed. Bookings for non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft, a proxy for future business investment, may have increased 4 percent.
- admin
- Site Admin
- Mensajes: 164292
- Registrado: Mié Abr 21, 2010 9:02 pm
Re: Lunes 20/09/10 Semana del Fed, ventas de casas, ind. lid
por admin » Dom Sep 19, 2010 10:30 am
Si es verdad lo del sondeo de Bloomberg vamos a tener otra semana buena. Esperemos que los traders no esten esperando que Bernanke anuncie la compra de bonos este Martes por que si no es asi, la reaccion podria hacer bajar a las bolsas.
- admin
- Site Admin
- Mensajes: 164292
- Registrado: Mié Abr 21, 2010 9:02 pm
Re: Lunes 20/09/10 Semana del Fed, ventas de casas, ind. lid
por admin » Dom Sep 19, 2010 10:38 am
Korea dice que Japon no puede actuar solo en sus esfuerzos de detener la caida del yen.
Un asesor de China dice que este pais debe incrementar la demanda interna para confrontar la presion internacional.
La economia de China se duplica en siete anios, su money supply se duplica en cinco. Impresionante.
El typhoon Fanapi golpea a Taiwan provocando vientos de mas de 180 km (112 millas) por hora paralizando a la ciudad, aeropuertos cerrados, escuelas, torres de electricidad, etc, etc.
Japon y China con problemas de nuevo, ya no se hablan debido a que Japon ha detenido un barco pesquero. La friccion que hay en el Asia contra Japon es inmensa. Especialmente proveniente de China.
BP espera los resultados del cierre de su torre de petroleo en el Golfo de Mexico.
Un asesor de China dice que este pais debe incrementar la demanda interna para confrontar la presion internacional.
La economia de China se duplica en siete anios, su money supply se duplica en cinco. Impresionante.
El typhoon Fanapi golpea a Taiwan provocando vientos de mas de 180 km (112 millas) por hora paralizando a la ciudad, aeropuertos cerrados, escuelas, torres de electricidad, etc, etc.
Japon y China con problemas de nuevo, ya no se hablan debido a que Japon ha detenido un barco pesquero. La friccion que hay en el Asia contra Japon es inmensa. Especialmente proveniente de China.
BP espera los resultados del cierre de su torre de petroleo en el Golfo de Mexico.
- admin
- Site Admin
- Mensajes: 164292
- Registrado: Mié Abr 21, 2010 9:02 pm
Re: Lunes 20/09/10 Semana del Fed, ventas de casas, ind. lid
por admin » Dom Sep 19, 2010 10:43 am
Ya estan hablando de los candidatos republicanos a la presidencia en el 2012. Que sea alguien que ha sido gobernador, que haya manejado una empresa, que haya tomado decisiones, que haya balanceado un presupuesto, ningun Senador, profesor, abogado por favor, los teoricos que se queden en los salones cerrados hablando, de alli que no salgan.
No mas experimentos, se necesita gente con esperiencia.
A mi se me revuelve el estomago cuando escucho sobre todo a las mujeres que no votarian por un presidente que no este de acuerdo con el aborto, o con la pena de muerte o con no se que otra idiotez.
Es que vamos a medir a un presidente por su posicion religiosa? socialmente conservadora?, etc, etc.
Un presidente tiene que preocuparse por la generacion de empleo, por la economia y la prosperidad y la seguridad (defensa de su pais) creo que esos son sus trabajos principales. Lo demas que lo decidan los estados, los individuos, etc.
Creo que las prioridades para algunas personas estan totalmente de cabeza. Si no hay trabajo lo demas no tiene importancia, sentido.
Hay decisiones personales en las que el gobierno no debe intervenir.
No mas experimentos, se necesita gente con esperiencia.
A mi se me revuelve el estomago cuando escucho sobre todo a las mujeres que no votarian por un presidente que no este de acuerdo con el aborto, o con la pena de muerte o con no se que otra idiotez.
Es que vamos a medir a un presidente por su posicion religiosa? socialmente conservadora?, etc, etc.
Un presidente tiene que preocuparse por la generacion de empleo, por la economia y la prosperidad y la seguridad (defensa de su pais) creo que esos son sus trabajos principales. Lo demas que lo decidan los estados, los individuos, etc.
Creo que las prioridades para algunas personas estan totalmente de cabeza. Si no hay trabajo lo demas no tiene importancia, sentido.
Hay decisiones personales en las que el gobierno no debe intervenir.
- admin
- Site Admin
- Mensajes: 164292
- Registrado: Mié Abr 21, 2010 9:02 pm
Re: Lunes 20/09/10 Semana del Fed, ventas de casas, ind. lid
por admin » Dom Sep 19, 2010 10:44 am
Fue exitoso el cierre del derrame de petroleo por parte de BP en el Golfo de Mexico. Se declaro muerto. Aleluya!!
A ver si BP puede poner todo esto en el pasado y esa accion recupera su precio normal de antes del derrame. Ojala.
A ver si BP puede poner todo esto en el pasado y esa accion recupera su precio normal de antes del derrame. Ojala.
- admin
- Site Admin
- Mensajes: 164292
- Registrado: Mié Abr 21, 2010 9:02 pm
Re: Lunes 20/09/10 Semana del Fed, ventas de casas, ind. lid
por admin » Dom Sep 19, 2010 10:46 am
A los que no pudieron leer el foro de Viernes les recomiendo que lo lean ya que hay noticias importantes relacionadas con esta semana.
- admin
- Site Admin
- Mensajes: 164292
- Registrado: Mié Abr 21, 2010 9:02 pm
Re: Lunes 20/09/10 Semana del Fed, ventas de casas, ind. lid
por admin » Dom Sep 19, 2010 10:58 am
Israel Corp aumentará participación en peruana Edegel a 25 pct
domingo 19 de septiembre de 2010 05:37 GYT
Imprimir[-] Texto [+] TEL AVIV (Reuters) - El holding Israel Corp dijo el domingo que su filial Inkia Energy planea aumentar su participación en la peruana Edegel hasta cerca de un 25 por ciento desde el 14 por ciento en tres pasos.
Edegel, controlada por la firma italiana de electricidad Enel, es la mayor generadora de electricidad de Perú con una capacidad de producción de 1.700 megavatios, dijo Israel Corp en un comunicado. Opera siete plantas de energía hidroeléctrica y siete plantas termoeléctricas.
En la primera etapa, Inkia ofrecerá comprar un 3,47 por ciento de Edegel de los accionistas con un valor que será determinado por un evaluador.
Israel Corp dijo que no puede estimar en este momento el costo de la compra de las acciones, pero si compra la cantidad total a precio de mercado serían unos 47 millones de dólares.
Inkia planea comprar otro 6,4 por ciento por 50 millones de sus socios en el holding al ejercer su derecho de primera negativa, seguida de la compra de un 0,4 por ciento a otro socio.
domingo 19 de septiembre de 2010 05:37 GYT
Imprimir[-] Texto [+] TEL AVIV (Reuters) - El holding Israel Corp dijo el domingo que su filial Inkia Energy planea aumentar su participación en la peruana Edegel hasta cerca de un 25 por ciento desde el 14 por ciento en tres pasos.
Edegel, controlada por la firma italiana de electricidad Enel, es la mayor generadora de electricidad de Perú con una capacidad de producción de 1.700 megavatios, dijo Israel Corp en un comunicado. Opera siete plantas de energía hidroeléctrica y siete plantas termoeléctricas.
En la primera etapa, Inkia ofrecerá comprar un 3,47 por ciento de Edegel de los accionistas con un valor que será determinado por un evaluador.
Israel Corp dijo que no puede estimar en este momento el costo de la compra de las acciones, pero si compra la cantidad total a precio de mercado serían unos 47 millones de dólares.
Inkia planea comprar otro 6,4 por ciento por 50 millones de sus socios en el holding al ejercer su derecho de primera negativa, seguida de la compra de un 0,4 por ciento a otro socio.
- admin
- Site Admin
- Mensajes: 164292
- Registrado: Mié Abr 21, 2010 9:02 pm
Re: Lunes 20/09/10 Semana del Fed, ventas de casas, ind. lid
por admin » Dom Sep 19, 2010 10:59 am
Bundesbank ve bancos alemanes necesitan 50.000 mln euros-reporte
sábado 18 de septiembre de 2010 16:22 GYT
Imprimir[-] Texto [+] BERLIN (Reuters) - Los 10 mayores bancos de Alemania necesitarán un adicional de 50.000 millones de euros (65.440 millones de dólares) en valor de capital propio para cumplir con nuevos requerimientos más duros para prestamistas, de acuerdo a cálculos del Bundesbank, reportó el sábado una revista.
El semanario Der Spiegel dijo que expertos del banco central de Alemania estimaron que los prestamistas, incluyendo al Deutsche Bank, Commerzbank y bancos regionales de propiedad pública como WestLB, LBBW y BayernLB podrían cubrir gran parte, pero no toda la necesidad solos.
Las nuevas reglas acordadas el fin de semana pasado conocidas como Basilea III estipulan que los bancos tendrán que poseer capital de alta calidad que totalice el 7 por ciento de sus activos que soportan riesgo.
Para facilitar la carga a los bancos y mercados, los reguladores dieron a los prestadores períodos de transición para cumplir con las reglas. Los períodos se extienden en algunos casos hasta enero del 2019 o posteriormente.
La revista dijo que el Bundesbank calculó que apenas encima de 40.000 millones de euros podrían ser recaudados por los bancos a fines del 2019 mediante ganancias y al recaudar nuevo capital. Pero los prestamistas necesitan hallar nuevas fuentes de capital para conformar el resto, afirmó.
Esto podría resultar duro en particular para los bancos regionales, destacó la revista. El ministro de Finanzas alemán, Wolfgang Schaeuble, ha lanzado una nueva campaña para fusionar los bancos regionales
sábado 18 de septiembre de 2010 16:22 GYT
Imprimir[-] Texto [+] BERLIN (Reuters) - Los 10 mayores bancos de Alemania necesitarán un adicional de 50.000 millones de euros (65.440 millones de dólares) en valor de capital propio para cumplir con nuevos requerimientos más duros para prestamistas, de acuerdo a cálculos del Bundesbank, reportó el sábado una revista.
El semanario Der Spiegel dijo que expertos del banco central de Alemania estimaron que los prestamistas, incluyendo al Deutsche Bank, Commerzbank y bancos regionales de propiedad pública como WestLB, LBBW y BayernLB podrían cubrir gran parte, pero no toda la necesidad solos.
Las nuevas reglas acordadas el fin de semana pasado conocidas como Basilea III estipulan que los bancos tendrán que poseer capital de alta calidad que totalice el 7 por ciento de sus activos que soportan riesgo.
Para facilitar la carga a los bancos y mercados, los reguladores dieron a los prestadores períodos de transición para cumplir con las reglas. Los períodos se extienden en algunos casos hasta enero del 2019 o posteriormente.
La revista dijo que el Bundesbank calculó que apenas encima de 40.000 millones de euros podrían ser recaudados por los bancos a fines del 2019 mediante ganancias y al recaudar nuevo capital. Pero los prestamistas necesitan hallar nuevas fuentes de capital para conformar el resto, afirmó.
Esto podría resultar duro en particular para los bancos regionales, destacó la revista. El ministro de Finanzas alemán, Wolfgang Schaeuble, ha lanzado una nueva campaña para fusionar los bancos regionales
- admin
- Site Admin
- Mensajes: 164292
- Registrado: Mié Abr 21, 2010 9:02 pm
Re: Lunes 20/09/10 Semana del Fed, ventas de casas, ind. lid
por admin » Dom Sep 19, 2010 11:49 am
BP "sella" permanentemente pozo Macondo: Gobierno EEUU
domingo 19 de septiembre de 2010 12:07 GYT
Imprimir[-] Texto [+]
1 de 1Tamaño CompletoHOUSTON, EEUU (Reuters) - Con una descarga final de cemento BP Plc "selló" permanentemente el averiado pozo Macondo en el Golfo de México que desencadenó el peor derrame de crudo en la historia de Estados Unidos, informó el domingo un funcionario estadounidense de alto rango.
El petróleo fluyó sin control por 87 días tras la explosión del 20 de abril en la plataforma Deepwater Horizon que dejó 11 muertos y dio paso a un desastre ecológico que afectó las costas de cuatro estados estadounidenses.
El derrame también condujo a una moratoria a la perforación petrolera en mar abierto de ese país.
Ingenieros de BP cortaron el flujo el 15 de julio con una cúpula ubicada en la boca del pozo luego de que este vertió cuatro millones de barriles de crudo al Golfo de México.
El derrame redujo en unos 70.000 millones de dólares el valor de mercado de BP y llevó a que la firma reemplazara a su presidente ejecutivo Tony Hayward por el estadounidense Bob Dudley, medida que entrará en vigor el 1 de octubre.
domingo 19 de septiembre de 2010 12:07 GYT
Imprimir[-] Texto [+]
1 de 1Tamaño CompletoHOUSTON, EEUU (Reuters) - Con una descarga final de cemento BP Plc "selló" permanentemente el averiado pozo Macondo en el Golfo de México que desencadenó el peor derrame de crudo en la historia de Estados Unidos, informó el domingo un funcionario estadounidense de alto rango.
El petróleo fluyó sin control por 87 días tras la explosión del 20 de abril en la plataforma Deepwater Horizon que dejó 11 muertos y dio paso a un desastre ecológico que afectó las costas de cuatro estados estadounidenses.
El derrame también condujo a una moratoria a la perforación petrolera en mar abierto de ese país.
Ingenieros de BP cortaron el flujo el 15 de julio con una cúpula ubicada en la boca del pozo luego de que este vertió cuatro millones de barriles de crudo al Golfo de México.
El derrame redujo en unos 70.000 millones de dólares el valor de mercado de BP y llevó a que la firma reemplazara a su presidente ejecutivo Tony Hayward por el estadounidense Bob Dudley, medida que entrará en vigor el 1 de octubre.
- admin
- Site Admin
- Mensajes: 164292
- Registrado: Mié Abr 21, 2010 9:02 pm
Re: Lunes 20/09/10 Semana del Fed, ventas de casas, ind. lid
por admin » Dom Sep 19, 2010 12:55 pm
Increible, un conglomerado Indu quiere comprar la Metro Goldwyn Mayer.
- admin
- Site Admin
- Mensajes: 164292
- Registrado: Mié Abr 21, 2010 9:02 pm
Re: Lunes 20/09/10 Semana del Fed, ventas de casas, ind. lid
por admin » Dom Sep 19, 2010 2:19 pm
Estamos siendo testigos de un cambio que impactara el escenario politico. Por muchos anios se especulaba si se podia formar un tercer partido politico, mientras nos seguimos preguntando si es posible, un tercer partido se ha formado. Y nadie lo ha organizado.
El pendulo esta moviendose mas rapido marcando arcos mas pequenios de los que hemos visto en nuestras vidas. Pocos pudieron predecir el terremoto del 2008 en el 2006.ningun politico certificado hubiera podia predecir el dia de la eleccion en el 2008 lo que pasaria en el 2009-10 (New Jersey, Virginia y Massachusetts) y lo que viene pasando y seguira pasando, desde entonces. Todo se mueve muy rapido, todo depende de que lado cae la moneda.
Jonathan Rauch del National Journal dice del nuevo y ancho de base Tea Party: no hay cadena de comando, no jerarquia. Individuos mueven el movimiento. En la politica Americana, una radical descentralizacion nunca se ha implementado en una escala tan grande.
S. Rasmussen y D. Schoen en el Washintong Examiner: El movimiento Tea Party se ha convertido en uno de los mas poderosos y extraordinarios movimientos en la historia politica de America. Es tan popular como los otros dos partidos. Mas de la mitad del electorado favorece al Tea Party, hasta el momento el Tea Party n o es una ala del partido republicano sino un partido que lo critica. Asi lo ha demostrado la reciente victoria de C. O'Donnell in Delaware. Es por lo que hizo el partido republicano que tenemos el Tea Party. Fue Bush el que nos dio un deficit mas grande, abrio nuestras fronteras, nos dio Medicare Part D e hizo explotar el presupuesto.
El Tea Party existe por que estan cansados, nuestras instituciones nos han fallado.
Si se mira a los ultimos cincuenta anios, uno se dice: como es posible que cuando los republicanos estuvieron en el poder, cuando dominaron siempre el gobierno se hizo mas poderoso y mas grande.
Las victorias de los republicanos ha sido gastar un poquito menos que los democratas, eso no es suficiente. Los democratas decian hay que gastar un trillon y los republiicanos decian hay que gastar $700 billones, que tal si no se gastaba nada y que tal si encima de eso se empezaba a recortar los gastos.
Otra gran virtud del Tea Party es que ellos saben que es tiempo. Ellos saben que es tarde. Si no se controla el tamanioi del gobierno ahora nunca podremos hacerlo.
Los estados y ciudades estan a punto de la bancarrota y el gobierno federal esta en la misma situacion. El problema ya no es el excesivo gasto. Ellos tienen miedo que la America que conocemos, debido al excesivo gsdto se termina, ellos no podran entregar el mismo pais a sus hijos como lo habian prometido.
Por eso el sentimiento de accion inmediata de urgencia. Agrega drama a la urgencia y el resultado es la victoria de los candidatos del Tea Party.
DECLARATIONSSEPTEMBER 17, 2010
Why It's Time for the Tea Party
The populist movement is more a critique of the GOP than a wing of it.
By PEGGY NOONAN
This fact marks our political age: The pendulum is swinging faster and in shorter arcs than it ever has in our lifetimes. Few foresaw the earthquake of 2008 in 2006. No board-certified political professional predicted, on Election Day 2008, what happened in 2009-10 (New Jersey, Virginia and Massachusetts) and has been happening, and will happen, since then. It all moves so quickly now, it all turns on a dime.
But at this moment we are witnessing a shift that will likely have some enduring political impact. Another way of saying that: The past few years, a lot of people in politics have wondered about the possibility of a third party. Would it be possible to organize one? While they were wondering, a virtual third party was being born. And nobody organized it.
Here is Jonathan Rauch in National Journal on the tea party's innovative, broad-based network: "In the expansive dominion of the Tea Party Patriots, which extends to thousands of local groups and literally countless activists," there is no chain of command, no hierarchy. Individuals "move the movement." Popular issues gain traction and are emphasized, unpopular ones die. "In American politics, radical decentralization has never been tried on such a large scale."
Here are pollsters Scott Rasmussen and Doug Schoen in the Washington Examiner: "The Tea Party has become one of the most powerful and extraordinary movements in American political history." "It is as popular as both the Democratic and Republican parties." "Over half of the electorate now say they favor the Tea Party movement, around 35 percent say they support the movement, 20 to 25 percent self-identify as members of the movement."
So far, the tea party is not a wing of the GOP but a critique of it. This was demonstrated in spectacular fashion when GOP operatives dismissed tea party-backed Christine O'Donnell in Delaware. The Republican establishment is "the reason we even have the Tea Party movement," shot back columnist and tea party enthusiast Andrea Tantaros in the New York Daily News. It was the Bush administration that "ran up deficits" and gave us "open borders" and "Medicare Part D and busted budgets."
Everyone has an explanation for the tea party that is actually not an explanation but a description. They're "angry." They're "antiestablishment," "populist," "anti-elite." All to varying degrees true. But as a network television executive said this week, "They should be fed up. Our institutions have failed."
View Full Image
Barbara Kelley
I see two central reasons for the tea party's rise. The first is the yardstick, and the second is the clock. First, the yardstick. Imagine that over at the 36-inch end you've got pure liberal thinking—more and larger government programs, a bigger government that costs more in the many ways that cost can be calculated. Over at the other end you've got conservative thinking—a government that is growing smaller and less demanding and is less expensive. You assume that when the two major parties are negotiating bills in Washington, they sort of lay down the yardstick and begin negotiations at the 18-inch line. Each party pulls in the direction it wants, and the dominant party moves the government a few inches in their direction.
But if you look at the past half century or so you have to think: How come even when Republicans are in charge, even when they're dominant, government has always gotten larger and more expensive? It's always grown! It's as if something inexorable in our political reality—with those who think in liberal terms dominating the establishment, the media, the academy—has always tilted the starting point in negotiations away from 18 inches, and always toward liberalism, toward the 36-inch point.
Democrats on the Hill or in the White House try to pull it up to 30, Republicans try to pull it back to 25. A deal is struck at 28. Washington Republicans call it victory: "Hey, it coulda been 29!" But regular conservative-minded or Republican voters see yet another loss. They could live with 18. They'd like eight. Instead it's 28.
For conservatives on the ground, it has often felt as if Democrats (and moderate Republicans) were always saying, "We should spend a trillion dollars," and the Republican Party would respond, "No, too costly. How about $700 billion?" Conservatives on the ground are thinking, "How about nothing? How about we don't spend more money but finally start cutting."
More Peggy Noonan
Read Peggy Noonan's previous columns
click here to order her new book, Patriotic Grace
What they want is representatives who'll begin the negotiations at 18 inches and tug the final bill toward five inches. And they believe tea party candidates will do that.
The second thing is the clock. Here is a great virtue of the tea party: They know what time it is. It's getting late. If we don't get the size and cost of government in line now, we won't be able to. We're teetering on the brink of some vast, dark new world—states and cities on the brink of bankruptcy, the federal government too. The issue isn't "big spending" anymore. It's ruinous spending that they fear will end America as we know it, as they promised it to their children.
So there's a sense that dramatic action is needed, and a sense of profound urgency. Add drama to urgency and you get the victory of a tea party-backed candidate.
That is the context. Local tea parties seem—so far—not to be falling in love with the particular talents or background of their candidates. It's more detached than that. They don't say their candidates will be reflective, skilled in negotiations, a great senator, a Paul Douglas or Pat Moynihan or a sturdy Scoop Jackson. These qualities are not what they think are urgently needed. What they want is someone who will walk in, put her foot on the conservative end of the yardstick, and make everything slip down in that direction.
Nobody knows how all this will play out, but we are seeing something big—something homegrown, broad-based and independent. In part it is a rising up of those who truly believe America is imperiled and truly mean to save her. The dangers, both present and potential, are obvious.
A movement like this can help a nation by acting as a corrective, or it can descend into a corrosive populism that celebrates unknowingness as authenticity, that confuses showiness with seriousness and vulgarity with true conviction. Parts could become swept by a desire just to tear down, to destroy.
But establishments exist for a reason. It is true that the party establishment is compromised, and by many things, but one of them is experience. They've lived through a lot, seen a lot, know the national terrain. They know how things work. They know the history. I wonder if tea party members know how fragile are the institutions that help keep the country together.
One difference so far between the tea party and the great wave of conservatives that elected Ronald Reagan in 1980 is the latter was a true coalition—not only North and South, East and West but right-wingers, intellectuals who were former leftists, and former Democrats. When they won presidential landslides in 1980, '84 and '88, they brought the center with them. That in the end is how you win. Will the center join arms and work with the tea party? That's a great question of 2012.
El pendulo esta moviendose mas rapido marcando arcos mas pequenios de los que hemos visto en nuestras vidas. Pocos pudieron predecir el terremoto del 2008 en el 2006.ningun politico certificado hubiera podia predecir el dia de la eleccion en el 2008 lo que pasaria en el 2009-10 (New Jersey, Virginia y Massachusetts) y lo que viene pasando y seguira pasando, desde entonces. Todo se mueve muy rapido, todo depende de que lado cae la moneda.
Jonathan Rauch del National Journal dice del nuevo y ancho de base Tea Party: no hay cadena de comando, no jerarquia. Individuos mueven el movimiento. En la politica Americana, una radical descentralizacion nunca se ha implementado en una escala tan grande.
S. Rasmussen y D. Schoen en el Washintong Examiner: El movimiento Tea Party se ha convertido en uno de los mas poderosos y extraordinarios movimientos en la historia politica de America. Es tan popular como los otros dos partidos. Mas de la mitad del electorado favorece al Tea Party, hasta el momento el Tea Party n o es una ala del partido republicano sino un partido que lo critica. Asi lo ha demostrado la reciente victoria de C. O'Donnell in Delaware. Es por lo que hizo el partido republicano que tenemos el Tea Party. Fue Bush el que nos dio un deficit mas grande, abrio nuestras fronteras, nos dio Medicare Part D e hizo explotar el presupuesto.
El Tea Party existe por que estan cansados, nuestras instituciones nos han fallado.
Si se mira a los ultimos cincuenta anios, uno se dice: como es posible que cuando los republicanos estuvieron en el poder, cuando dominaron siempre el gobierno se hizo mas poderoso y mas grande.
Las victorias de los republicanos ha sido gastar un poquito menos que los democratas, eso no es suficiente. Los democratas decian hay que gastar un trillon y los republiicanos decian hay que gastar $700 billones, que tal si no se gastaba nada y que tal si encima de eso se empezaba a recortar los gastos.
Otra gran virtud del Tea Party es que ellos saben que es tiempo. Ellos saben que es tarde. Si no se controla el tamanioi del gobierno ahora nunca podremos hacerlo.
Los estados y ciudades estan a punto de la bancarrota y el gobierno federal esta en la misma situacion. El problema ya no es el excesivo gasto. Ellos tienen miedo que la America que conocemos, debido al excesivo gsdto se termina, ellos no podran entregar el mismo pais a sus hijos como lo habian prometido.
Por eso el sentimiento de accion inmediata de urgencia. Agrega drama a la urgencia y el resultado es la victoria de los candidatos del Tea Party.
DECLARATIONSSEPTEMBER 17, 2010
Why It's Time for the Tea Party
The populist movement is more a critique of the GOP than a wing of it.
By PEGGY NOONAN
This fact marks our political age: The pendulum is swinging faster and in shorter arcs than it ever has in our lifetimes. Few foresaw the earthquake of 2008 in 2006. No board-certified political professional predicted, on Election Day 2008, what happened in 2009-10 (New Jersey, Virginia and Massachusetts) and has been happening, and will happen, since then. It all moves so quickly now, it all turns on a dime.
But at this moment we are witnessing a shift that will likely have some enduring political impact. Another way of saying that: The past few years, a lot of people in politics have wondered about the possibility of a third party. Would it be possible to organize one? While they were wondering, a virtual third party was being born. And nobody organized it.
Here is Jonathan Rauch in National Journal on the tea party's innovative, broad-based network: "In the expansive dominion of the Tea Party Patriots, which extends to thousands of local groups and literally countless activists," there is no chain of command, no hierarchy. Individuals "move the movement." Popular issues gain traction and are emphasized, unpopular ones die. "In American politics, radical decentralization has never been tried on such a large scale."
Here are pollsters Scott Rasmussen and Doug Schoen in the Washington Examiner: "The Tea Party has become one of the most powerful and extraordinary movements in American political history." "It is as popular as both the Democratic and Republican parties." "Over half of the electorate now say they favor the Tea Party movement, around 35 percent say they support the movement, 20 to 25 percent self-identify as members of the movement."
So far, the tea party is not a wing of the GOP but a critique of it. This was demonstrated in spectacular fashion when GOP operatives dismissed tea party-backed Christine O'Donnell in Delaware. The Republican establishment is "the reason we even have the Tea Party movement," shot back columnist and tea party enthusiast Andrea Tantaros in the New York Daily News. It was the Bush administration that "ran up deficits" and gave us "open borders" and "Medicare Part D and busted budgets."
Everyone has an explanation for the tea party that is actually not an explanation but a description. They're "angry." They're "antiestablishment," "populist," "anti-elite." All to varying degrees true. But as a network television executive said this week, "They should be fed up. Our institutions have failed."
View Full Image
Barbara Kelley
I see two central reasons for the tea party's rise. The first is the yardstick, and the second is the clock. First, the yardstick. Imagine that over at the 36-inch end you've got pure liberal thinking—more and larger government programs, a bigger government that costs more in the many ways that cost can be calculated. Over at the other end you've got conservative thinking—a government that is growing smaller and less demanding and is less expensive. You assume that when the two major parties are negotiating bills in Washington, they sort of lay down the yardstick and begin negotiations at the 18-inch line. Each party pulls in the direction it wants, and the dominant party moves the government a few inches in their direction.
But if you look at the past half century or so you have to think: How come even when Republicans are in charge, even when they're dominant, government has always gotten larger and more expensive? It's always grown! It's as if something inexorable in our political reality—with those who think in liberal terms dominating the establishment, the media, the academy—has always tilted the starting point in negotiations away from 18 inches, and always toward liberalism, toward the 36-inch point.
Democrats on the Hill or in the White House try to pull it up to 30, Republicans try to pull it back to 25. A deal is struck at 28. Washington Republicans call it victory: "Hey, it coulda been 29!" But regular conservative-minded or Republican voters see yet another loss. They could live with 18. They'd like eight. Instead it's 28.
For conservatives on the ground, it has often felt as if Democrats (and moderate Republicans) were always saying, "We should spend a trillion dollars," and the Republican Party would respond, "No, too costly. How about $700 billion?" Conservatives on the ground are thinking, "How about nothing? How about we don't spend more money but finally start cutting."
More Peggy Noonan
Read Peggy Noonan's previous columns
click here to order her new book, Patriotic Grace
What they want is representatives who'll begin the negotiations at 18 inches and tug the final bill toward five inches. And they believe tea party candidates will do that.
The second thing is the clock. Here is a great virtue of the tea party: They know what time it is. It's getting late. If we don't get the size and cost of government in line now, we won't be able to. We're teetering on the brink of some vast, dark new world—states and cities on the brink of bankruptcy, the federal government too. The issue isn't "big spending" anymore. It's ruinous spending that they fear will end America as we know it, as they promised it to their children.
So there's a sense that dramatic action is needed, and a sense of profound urgency. Add drama to urgency and you get the victory of a tea party-backed candidate.
That is the context. Local tea parties seem—so far—not to be falling in love with the particular talents or background of their candidates. It's more detached than that. They don't say their candidates will be reflective, skilled in negotiations, a great senator, a Paul Douglas or Pat Moynihan or a sturdy Scoop Jackson. These qualities are not what they think are urgently needed. What they want is someone who will walk in, put her foot on the conservative end of the yardstick, and make everything slip down in that direction.
Nobody knows how all this will play out, but we are seeing something big—something homegrown, broad-based and independent. In part it is a rising up of those who truly believe America is imperiled and truly mean to save her. The dangers, both present and potential, are obvious.
A movement like this can help a nation by acting as a corrective, or it can descend into a corrosive populism that celebrates unknowingness as authenticity, that confuses showiness with seriousness and vulgarity with true conviction. Parts could become swept by a desire just to tear down, to destroy.
But establishments exist for a reason. It is true that the party establishment is compromised, and by many things, but one of them is experience. They've lived through a lot, seen a lot, know the national terrain. They know how things work. They know the history. I wonder if tea party members know how fragile are the institutions that help keep the country together.
One difference so far between the tea party and the great wave of conservatives that elected Ronald Reagan in 1980 is the latter was a true coalition—not only North and South, East and West but right-wingers, intellectuals who were former leftists, and former Democrats. When they won presidential landslides in 1980, '84 and '88, they brought the center with them. That in the end is how you win. Will the center join arms and work with the tea party? That's a great question of 2012.
- admin
- Site Admin
- Mensajes: 164292
- Registrado: Mié Abr 21, 2010 9:02 pm
Re: Lunes 20/09/10 Semana del Fed, ventas de casas, ind. lid
por admin » Dom Sep 19, 2010 2:31 pm
Lo que esta pasando en el ambiente politico en US es historico desde todo punto de vista. A muchos de Uds. No les interesara lo que pasa en la politica Americana o de ningun pais incluyendo el Peru, pero creanme cuando les digo que todo lo que pasa en el mundo economico y financiero esta determinado por las decisiones politicas. Asi que dediquen 5 minutos a leer el articulo que les puse, ya que me di el trabajo de traducirlo.
Es importante notar como el movimiento Tea Party esta molesto con Bush no por la guerra en Irak si no por no controlar la entrada de los. inmigrantes ilegales en la frontera y por extender los beneficios del Medicare, por aumentar el deficit, por el excesivo gasto.
Y como estaran de furiosos que eligieron a Obama para solo verlo poner el pais en mas deuda aun, tanto es el aumento de la deuda que si ponemos el gasto junto de todos los demas presidentes anteriores, es mucho menor que la deuda proyectada por Obama.
El pais esta furioso y ya no lo van a soportar mas.
Es importante notar como el movimiento Tea Party esta molesto con Bush no por la guerra en Irak si no por no controlar la entrada de los. inmigrantes ilegales en la frontera y por extender los beneficios del Medicare, por aumentar el deficit, por el excesivo gasto.
Y como estaran de furiosos que eligieron a Obama para solo verlo poner el pais en mas deuda aun, tanto es el aumento de la deuda que si ponemos el gasto junto de todos los demas presidentes anteriores, es mucho menor que la deuda proyectada por Obama.
El pais esta furioso y ya no lo van a soportar mas.
- admin
- Site Admin
- Mensajes: 164292
- Registrado: Mié Abr 21, 2010 9:02 pm
Re: Lunes 20/09/10 Semana del Fed, ventas de casas, ind. lid
por carl_ » Dom Sep 19, 2010 2:52 pm
El Tea Party es un partido ultraconservador, pero sobre todo ultramanipulador. A través de la cadena de televisión Fox y medios afines ha conseguido pasar entre los estadounidenses la idea de que Barack Obama es socialista (aunque provenga de la Universidad de Chicago), de que es musulmán (aunque sea cristiano) y de ser un pitucazo pues pronuncia bien las palabras en francés y en castellano (mejor sería que, como Sarah Palin, no hable bien ni el inglés). Además, con ayuda de la ignorancia carismática del conductor de televisión Glenn Beck disfrazan la emergencia del Tea Party como un movimiento popular, cuando es financiado y dirigido por unos granjeros azucareros multimillonarios. Pero el objetivo último es asustar al elector gringo, convencerlo de que unos negros, musulmanes y comunistas le quieren robar sus libertades y que el remedio contra tremenda injusticia es eliminar los impuestos a los millonarios. Y de tanto martillar, en una encuesta reciente 24% de los estadounidenses manifiestan que Obama es musulmán y, gran casualidad, ese mismo grupo “desaprueba” la gestión del Presidente. Se asustaron los granjeros.
En el Perú se viene fraguando nuestro Tea Party, nuestro Fox News y nuestro Glenn Beck. El diario Correo ha abierto fuego contra Susana Villarán con una lógica de Tea Party: quieren asustarme como a granjero gringo. Creen que por ser de derecha me voy a convencer de que la tía es terruca, pastrula y ladrona. No se pasen. Puesto que acusarla de pituca no ha tenido efecto entre sus votantes (lo cual es lógico pues su bastión ha sido el A/B... ¡los pitucos no se asustan de los pitucos!), Mariátegui y su primera plana han decidido cambiar de estrategia y asustar a los de arriba con el asunto de que Villarán es una Elena Iparraguirre new age. Así de explícito. Ella sería el vehículo de los extremistas de Patria Roja, estaría buscando la alcaldía para saquearla y entregarle todo el dinero a sus amigos comunistas y así convertir al Perú en Bolivia. Eso ya no es periodismo.
http://www.poder360.com/article_detail. ... ticle=4674
En el Perú se viene fraguando nuestro Tea Party, nuestro Fox News y nuestro Glenn Beck. El diario Correo ha abierto fuego contra Susana Villarán con una lógica de Tea Party: quieren asustarme como a granjero gringo. Creen que por ser de derecha me voy a convencer de que la tía es terruca, pastrula y ladrona. No se pasen. Puesto que acusarla de pituca no ha tenido efecto entre sus votantes (lo cual es lógico pues su bastión ha sido el A/B... ¡los pitucos no se asustan de los pitucos!), Mariátegui y su primera plana han decidido cambiar de estrategia y asustar a los de arriba con el asunto de que Villarán es una Elena Iparraguirre new age. Así de explícito. Ella sería el vehículo de los extremistas de Patria Roja, estaría buscando la alcaldía para saquearla y entregarle todo el dinero a sus amigos comunistas y así convertir al Perú en Bolivia. Eso ya no es periodismo.
http://www.poder360.com/article_detail. ... ticle=4674
- carl_
- Mensajes: 490
- Registrado: Vie Abr 30, 2010 11:06 am
¿Quién está conectado?
Usuarios navegando por este Foro: No hay usuarios registrados visitando el Foro y 55 invitados