Lunes 29/08/16 Manufactura del Fed de Dallas

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Re: Lunes 29/08/16 Manufactura del Fed de Dallas

Notapor admin » Lun Ago 29, 2016 6:36 am

Mayoría de las bolsas de Asia cae por comentarios de funcionarios de la Fed

Por Nichola Saminather

SINGAPUR (Reuters) - La mayoría de las bolsas de Asia caía el lunes y el dólar extendía las ganancias que anotó después de que la presidenta de la Reserva Federal de Estados Unidos, Janet Yellen, sugirió que un aumento de las tasas de interés sigue siendo una posibilidad este año.

El índice MSCI de acciones asiáticas fuera de Japón extendía sus pérdidas a un 1 por ciento. En Japón, el índice Nikkei de la bolsa de Tokio rompió la tendencia, y trepó un 2,3 por ciento por el avance del dólar.

El referencial CSI300 de las principales acciones que cotizan en Shanghái y Shenzhen y el índice compuesto de Shanghái retrocedían un 0,2 por ciento. El índice Hang Seng de Hong Kong bajaba un 1,8 por ciento.

El argumento a favor de un alza de las tasas de interés en Estados Unidos se ha fortalecido en los últimos meses, dijo Yellen el viernes en un discurso en la conferencia anual de la Fed en Jackson Hole, Wyoming.

Si bien Yellen no dio una orientación sobre lo qué el banco central necesita ver antes de subir las tasas de interés, dijo que la Fed ya piensa que está cerca de alcanzar sus objetivos de empleo pleno y estabilidad de precios.

Los comentarios de Yellen arrastraron a la baja a Wall Street el viernes, pero fueron una gran ayuda para el índice dólar, que sigue el desempeño de la moneda estadounidense contra una canasta de seis divisas importantes, que saltó un 0,8 por ciento. El índice dólar cotizaba estable el lunes en 95,552.

Frente a la moneda japonesa, el dólar subía un 0,5 por ciento a 102,34 yenes, un máximo en dos semanas. El euro se mantenía estable en 1,120 dólares luego de caer un 0,8 por ciento el viernes.

En los mercados de materias primas, los futuros del petróleo en Estados Unidos se debilitaban un 1,5 por ciento, a 46,95 dólares por barril. El crudo Brent de Londres retrocedía un 1,2 por ciento, a 49,31 dólares por barril.
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Re: Lunes 29/08/16 Manufactura del Fed de Dallas

Notapor admin » Lun Ago 29, 2016 7:27 am

16737.49 376.78 2.30%
Stoxx Europe 600 342.42 -1.30 -0.38%
UK: FTSE 100 6838.05 21.15 0.31%
CURRENCIES8:26 AM EDT 8/29/2016
LAST(MID) CHANGE
Euro (EUR/USD) 1.1170 -0.0027
Yen (USD/JPY) 102.21 0.38
Pound (GBP/USD) 1.3070 -0.0066
Australia $ (AUD/USD) 0.7551 -0.0012
Swiss Franc (USD/CHF) 0.9797 0.0015
WSJ Dollar Index 86.73 0.24
GOVERNMENT BONDS8:20 AM EDT 8/29/2016
PRICE CHG YIELD
U.S. 10 Year 6/32 1.612
German 10 Year -9/32 -0.044
Japan 10 Year -1/32 -0.066
FUTURES8:16 AM EDT 8/29/2016
LAST CHANGE % CHG
Crude Oil 47.03 -0.61 -1.28%
Brent Crude 49.26 -0.66 -1.32%
Gold 1322.5 -3.4 -0.26%
Silver 18.645 -0.100 -0.53%
E-mini DJIA 18383 3 0.02%
E-mini S&P 500 2169.75 1.25
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Re: Lunes 29/08/16 Manufactura del Fed de Dallas

Notapor admin » Lun Ago 29, 2016 7:35 am

Oil Prices Fall on Fed Rate Rise Jitters

LONDON—Oil prices declined Monday as worries over the U.S. raising interest rates as early as next month rippled through an already jittery market.

The October contract of global benchmark Brent dropped 1.4% to $49.44 a barrel, while its U.S. counterpart, West Texas Intermediate, declined 1.3% to $47.

Prices fell after Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen signaled growing conviction that the central bank would raise short-term interest rates in the weeks or months ahead.

The construction site of the new Great Mosque, which is being built by the China State Construction Engineering Corporation, in Algiers, Algeria. The North African OPEC state will host a meeting of oil producers in September.
The construction site of the new Great Mosque, which is being built by the China State Construction Engineering Corporation, in Algiers, Algeria. The North African OPEC state will host a meeting of oil producers in September. Photo: Reuters

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A rise in U.S. interest rates usually doesn’t bode well for oil prices, which are priced in dollars. Higher interest rates could push the dollar higher, making oil products more expensive for oil traders who hold a different currency. The WSJ Dollar Index was largely steady after rising 0.8% over the weekend.

Meanwhile, as September approaches there is continued speculation over whether major oil producers, including Russia and members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, will agree to limit output.

U.K. bank Barclays said in a note that OPEC has realized a more significant short-term driver of oil prices this year are speculative elements of the oil market reacting to headlines, rather than market fundamentals.

The bank added that any consensus reached when officials meet in Algeria in late September would give the market a long-term boost.

“If an agreement can be brokered, then oil market rebalancing, already rapidly under way could take place a little faster,” the bank said.

However, Bjarne Schieldrop from Sweden’s SEB bank warned that a freeze could reinvigorate non-OPEC supply and lead to problems in 2017, especially in the U.S., where the market is already bringing drilling rigs onstream.

The commodities analyst added that oil markets would need to run a deficit of 700,000 barrels a day in 2017 to fully clear out the global glut of crude.

Nymex reformulated gasoline blendstock for September—the benchmark gasoline contract—fell 143 points to $1.4985 a gallon, while September diesel traded at $1.4928, 44 points lower.

ICE gas oil for September changed hands at $435.25 a metric ton, down $2.50 from Friday’s settlement.

Write to Kevin Baxter at Kevin.Baxter@wsj.com and Jenny W. Hsu at jenny.hsu@wsj.com
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Re: Lunes 29/08/16 Manufactura del Fed de Dallas

Notapor admin » Lun Ago 29, 2016 7:37 am

Fed’s Dislike of Negative Interest Rates Points to Limits of Stimulus Measures

JACKSON HOLE, Wyo.—Federal Reserve officials are turning a cold shoulder to a controversial idea being tried in Japan and much of Europe to boost anemic economies: negative interest rates.

Fed officials don’t think negative rates are needed in the U.S. because the economy and job market are improving, and they are hoping they will never have to use them in the future given their uncertainty about whether the policy works.

Fed Chairwoman Janet Yellen didn’t even mention the idea in a discussion of the Fed’s options for the economy should recession hit the U.S., and other officials speaking on the sidelines of the Fed’s annual retreat here over the weekend made clear it is an approach they would like to avoid.

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“I’m treating [negative rates] as an experiment that we have the luxury to watch from a distance,” Dennis Lockhart, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, said in an interview at the Fed’s annual Jackson Hole conference in the Wyoming mountains.

The Fed’s aversion to negative rates shows how central bankers are confronting the limits of their efforts to stimulate the slow-growing global economy.

Negative rates are like a central bank’s version of the children’s game of hot potato—the potato being money nobody wants to get left holding. Commercial banks are charged for leaving funds on deposit with the central bank. By imposing a cost on parking money safely there, the policy aims to induce banks to lend their money elsewhere, to consumers and businesses, where they can earn higher returns. That risk-taking, in turn, is meant to spur economic growth.

Central banks in Japan, the eurozone, Denmark, Sweden and Switzerland have adopted negative rates with mixed effects. The Swiss National Bank ’s policy rate is -0.75%, the Bank of Japan ’s is -0.1% and ECB’s is -0.4%.

Negative rates are highly unpopular in many places because households are unhappy they earn such low returns on their savings and banks worry it squeezes their profit margins.

Subzero rates also have had some unintended effects. In Japan, negative rates were accompanied by a rising currency, the opposite of the central bank’s expectation.

In Switzerland, banks responded to negative rates by making mortgage borrowing more expensive and not less as hoped. Consumers are saving more in Germany, Japan, Sweden, Switzerland and Denmark, even though the aim is to prod consumers to save less and spend more.

Still, central bankers here said negative rates showed signs of working in many of their intended ways.

Yields on 30-year Japanese government bonds dropped from about 1.5% before Japan adopted negative rates in January to less than 0.5%. That could in turn drive borrowing, spending and investing in Japan, as intended.

“Declines in long-term borrowing costs have stimulated firms’ demand for long-term funding and households’ demand for mortgage loans, thereby benefiting a wide range of borrowers,” BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said here. “A significant increase in issuance of corporate bonds with a maturity of 20 years or even longer has been observed.”

European Central Bank data released this week showed loans to households were up 1.8% from a year earlier in July and loans to nonfinancial corporations up 1.9%. That is modest but still reverses a contraction in lending in the months before negative rates were introduced.

Some worry that negative rates squeeze bank profits. However net income at European banks rose to 51 billion euros in 2015, compared with 31 billion in 2014, according to the ECB.

“Negative rates work and are nothing extraordinary or immoral or absurd,” European Central Bank executive board member Benoît Coeuré said of the eurozone’s experience of negative interest rates so far. Still, speaking to the lingering trepidation about the policy among central bankers here, he said he is cautious about pushing rates “to much deeper negative levels .”

At a panel here, academics wondered whether central banks could push interest rates more deeply into negative territory by doing away with cash or imposing costs on households holding it. Cash is an impediment to imposing negative interest rates. Households and businesses can hoard it to avoid paying the penalties imposed when depositing funds in banks.

Central bankers here were reluctant to embrace the idea of pushing the policy much further, even as they defended its effects.

“There are many outstanding issues,” Marianne Nessén, who heads the Swedish central bank’s monetary policy department, said during a discussion at Jackson Hole. “Even if the experience with mildly negative interest rates has been roughly as expected, I’m not sure that we conclude that deeply negative interest rates will work in the same manner.”

“At the heart of all this lies concerns that future growth prospects are lower than we have seen in the past decades, but the remedy for that does not lie with monetary policy. It must be found elsewhere,” she said.

One growing source of uncertainty is the effect of negative rates on household saving behavior. Low and negative rates aim to induce households to spend, but critics of these policies say the effect is the opposite. People who are trying to stockpile funds for retirement might be induced to save even more if the funds they’ve got are bleeding returns.

“The idea that low interest rates are punishing savers is a very ripe issue,” said James Bullard, St. Louis Fed president. “Everyone is doing a lot of soul-searching about these issues.”

For now the Fed doesn’t need to contemplate negative rates because the U.S. economy is improving and officials are looking to gradually raise rates from exceptionally low levels.

Ms. Yellen in her talk Friday sought to lay out a roadmap for how the Fed will proceed the next time there is an economic downturn and it turns back to rate cuts to stimulate growth.

She said the Fed would seek to lean on tools it used during the postcrisis period. This includes purchases of Treasury or mortgage bonds to drive long-term interest rates lower. Ms. Yellen suggested the Fed might even expand its purchases beyond these conventional investments. The Fed would also turn to assurances that rates will stay very low far into the future, she said.

On negative rates Ms. Yellen was silent.

Write to Jon Hilsenrath at jon.hilsenrath@wsj.com and Harriet Torry at harriet.torry@wsj.com
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Re: Lunes 29/08/16 Manufactura del Fed de Dallas

Notapor admin » Lun Ago 29, 2016 8:04 am

+9
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Re: Lunes 29/08/16 Manufactura del Fed de Dallas

Notapor admin » Lun Ago 29, 2016 8:05 am

Oil down 46.90

Francia a la baja.

Au down 1,324
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Re: Lunes 29/08/16 Manufactura del Fed de Dallas

Notapor admin » Lun Ago 29, 2016 8:06 am

LAST CHANGE % CHG
Get index data by Email
UK: FTSE 100 6838.05 21.15 0.31%
Germany: DAX 10536.82 -50.95 -0.48%
France: CAC 40 4411.45 -30.42 -0.68%
Stoxx Europe 600 342.69 -1.03 -0.30%
Hang Seng 22821.34 -88.20 -0.38%
Japan: Nikkei 225 16737.49 376.78 2.30%
DJIA 18395.40 -53.01 -0.29%
Europe Dow 1547.63 -21.43 -1.37%
Global Dow 2440.76 -11.37 -0.46%
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Re: Lunes 29/08/16 Manufactura del Fed de Dallas

Notapor admin » Lun Ago 29, 2016 8:06 am

LAST CHANGE % CHG
Get index data by Email
Japan: Nikkei 225 16737.49 376.78 2.30%
Hang Seng 22821.34 -88.20 -0.38%
Shanghai Composite 3070.03 -0.28 -0.01%
S&P BSE Sensex 27902.66 120.41 0.43%
Australia: S&P/ASX 5469.20 -46.30 -0.84%
UK: FTSE 100 6838.05 21.15 0.31%
DJIA 18395.40 -53.01 -0.29%
Asia Dow 2938.36 -11.68 -0.40%
Global Dow 2440.70 -11.43 -0.47%
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Re: Lunes 29/08/16 Manufactura del Fed de Dallas

Notapor admin » Lun Ago 29, 2016 8:06 am

Currencies9:06 AM EDT 8/29/2016
LAST(MID) CHANGE
Euro (EUR/USD) 1.1172 -0.0025
Yen (USD/JPY) 102.28 0.46
Pound (GBP/USD) 1.3068 -0.0068
Australia $ (AUD/USD) 0.7552 -0.0011
Swiss Franc (USD/CHF) 0.9791 0.0009
WSJ Dollar Index 86.74 0.25
Futures8:56 AM EDT 8/29/2016
LAST CHANGE % CHG
Crude Oil 46.87 -0.77 -1.62%
Brent Crude 49.13 -0.79 -1.58%
Gold 1324.0 -1.9 -0.14%
Silver 18.680 -0.065 -0.35%
E-mini DJIA 18395 15 0.08%
E-mini S&P 500 2171.25 2.75 0.13%

Government Bonds9:05 AM EDT 8/29/2016
PRICE CHG YIELD
U.S. 10 Year 11/32 1.595
German 10 Year -9/32 -0.044
Japan 10 Year -1/32 -0.066
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Re: Lunes 29/08/16 Manufactura del Fed de Dallas

Notapor admin » Lun Ago 29, 2016 8:07 am

Futures LAST CHANGE % CHG
See all Futures
Crude Oil 46.84 -0.80 -1.68%
Brent Crude 49.12 -0.80 -1.60%
Natural Gas 2.886 -0.027 -0.93%
Gasoline 1.4000 -0.0284 -1.99%
Gold 1324.0 -1.9 -0.14%
Silver 18.675 -0.070 -0.37%
Corn 323.75 -1.25 -0.38%
Wheat 399.0 -8.5 -2.09%
E-mini DJIA 18396 16 0.09%
E-mini S&P 500 2171.50 3.00 0.14%
Indexes LAST CHANGE % CHG
TR/CC CRD Index 184.647 -1.463 -0.79%
S&P GSCI 358.84 -4.24 -1.17%
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Re: Lunes 29/08/16 Manufactura del Fed de Dallas

Notapor admin » Lun Ago 29, 2016 8:08 am

Price: US$/lb

Copper August 26,13:59
Bid/Ask 2.0889 - 2.0891
Change -0.0055 -0.26%
Low/High 2.0889 - 2.1120
Charts

Nickel August 26,13:59
Bid/Ask 4.4558 - 4.4603
Change -0.0342 -0.76%
Low/High 4.4444 - 4.5314
Charts

Aluminum August 26,13:59
Bid/Ask 0.7392 - 0.7395
Change -0.0008 -0.11%
Low/High 0.7377 - 0.7448
Charts

Zinc August 26,13:59
Bid/Ask 1.0567 - 1.0572
Change +0.0073 +0.70%
Low/High 1.0460 - 1.0651
Charts

Lead August 26,13:59
Bid/Ask 0.8459 - 0.8464
Change +0.0056 +0.67%
Low/High 0.8403 - 0.8527
Charts

Uranium Aug 22, 2016
Ux U308 price: 25.75
Change from
previous week -0.25



London Metal Exchange Warehouse Stocks*
( August 26 )
Metal Tonnes in Storage Change from
previous day
Aluminum 2253775 -5325
Copper 263875 +9175
Nickel 372414 -792
Lead 187300 -350
Zinc 455075 -200
Charts



New York Futures Market Warehouse Stocks
Metal Tons in Storage Change from
previous day
Copper 67253 +307

1
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Re: Lunes 29/08/16 Manufactura del Fed de Dallas

Notapor admin » Lun Ago 29, 2016 8:08 am

Gasto del consumidor de EEUU sube en julio; inflación permanece contenida
lunes 29 de agosto de 2016 08:42 GYT Imprimir [-] Texto [+]
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - El gasto del consumidor en Estados Unidos subió en julio por cuarto mes consecutivo ante una fuerte demanda por automóviles, lo que apunta a una aceleración del crecimiento económico que podría permitir que la Reserva Federal suba las tasas de interés este año.

El Departamento de Comercio dijo el lunes que el gasto del consumidor, que responde por más de dos tercios de la actividad económica de Estados Unidos, subió un 0,3 por ciento el mes pasado tras una revisión al alza a 0,5 por ciento en el dato de junio.

El incremento de julio estuvo en línea con las expectativas de los economistas.

En tanto, los ingresos personales se elevaron un 0,4 por ciento en julio tras subir un 0,3 por ciento en junio. Los salarios subieron un 0,5 por ciento y los ahorros avanzaron a 794.700 millones de dólares, frente a 776.200 millones de dólares en junio.

(Reporte de Lucia Mutikani. Editado en español por Patricio Abusleme)
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Re: Lunes 29/08/16 Manufactura del Fed de Dallas

Notapor admin » Lun Ago 29, 2016 8:35 am

DJIA 18437.52 42.12 0.23%
Nasdaq 5222.81 3.89 0.07%
S&P 500 2173.07 4.03 0.19%
Russell 2000 1238.03 -1.97 -0.16%
Global Dow 2442.68 -9.45 -0.39%
Japan: Nikkei 225 16737.49
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Re: Lunes 29/08/16 Manufactura del Fed de Dallas

Notapor admin » Lun Ago 29, 2016 12:45 pm

18516.82 121.42 0.66%
Nasdaq 5243.78 24.86 0.48%
S&P 500 2182.94 13.90 0.64%
Russell 2000 1246.94 8.91 0.72%
Global Dow 2453.23 1.10 0.04%
Japan: Nikkei 225 16737.49 376.78 2.30%
Stoxx Europe 600 343.20 -0.52 -0.15%
UK: FTSE 100 6838.05 21.15 0.31%
CURRENCIES1:43 PM EDT 8/29/2016
LAST(MID) CHANGE
Euro (EUR/USD) 1.1191 -0.0006
Yen (USD/JPY) 101.94 0.12
Pound (GBP/USD) 1.3105 -0.0031
Australia $ (AUD/USD) 0.7583 0.0020
Swiss Franc (USD/CHF) 0.9770 -0.0012
WSJ Dollar Index 86.51 0.03
GOVERNMENT BONDS1:43 PM EDT 8/29/2016
PRICE CHG YIELD
U.S. 10 Year 19/32 1.568
German 10 Year -9/32 -0.044
Japan 10 Year -1/32 -0.066
FUTURES1:34 PM EDT 8/29/2016
LAST CHANGE % CHG
Crude Oil 46.95 -0.69 -1.45%
Brent Crude 49.28 -0.64 -1.28%
Gold 1327.6 1.7 0.13%
Silver 18.880 0.135 0.72%
E-mini DJIA 18494 114 0.62%
E-mini S&P 500 2181
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Re: Lunes 29/08/16 Manufactura del Fed de Dallas

Notapor admin » Lun Ago 29, 2016 12:45 pm

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