Martes 08/10/19 Optimismo de los pequeños negocios

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¡¡¡NEW!!! Los graficos del dia,
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Satélites espía: el nuevo arma de los operadores para vigilar fundiciones de cobre

LONDRES, 8 oct (Reuters) - La próxima semana se lanzará un servicio para administradores de fondos, operadores y mineras que utiliza satélites para observar fundiciones de cobre y saber cuándo paralizan operaciones y cuándo aumentan su actividad.

Proceso de manufactura de cátodos en fundición de cobre de Codelco, Ventanas, Chile. 7 enero 2015. REUTERS/Rodrigo Garrido
Earth-i, con sede en Reino Unido y que se especializa en datos geoespaciales, quiere ofrecer su servicio SAVANT al sector financiero. Las noticias sobre la actividad de fundiciones -inactividad o reinicio de operaciones- pueden impactar en el precio del cobre.

Los analistas también miran al mercado del cobre como un indicador de la salud de la economía mundial, ya que el metal tiene una amplia gama de usos, desde la construcción hasta la fabricación.

El nuevo servicio busca informar a sus suscriptores antes de que las empresas de fundición hagan sus anuncios, algo que puede retrasarse muchos días aun cuando las compañías que cotizan en bolsa están obligadas a informar. Las privadas no tienen la obligación de reportar la actividad de fundición al mercado.

La mayoría de los sondeos sobre la actividad de la fundición se publican ahora mensualmente.

Earth-i, que ya ofrece servicios a los sectores de construcción, defensa y agricultura, planea lanzar el nuevo servicio el 18 de octubre, según un comunicado.

“Históricamente, cuando se miran las fundiciones, el desafío ha sido obtener información actualizada”, dijo a Reuters el director de tecnología de Earth-i, John Linwood.

Durante el último año, Earth-i ha estado probando el producto SAVANT con operadores, gestores de fondos y productores.

Linwood dijo que SAVANT, desarrollado con la Agencia Espacial Europea y la correduría Marex Spectron, pudo detectar este año una paralización prolongada en el mayor país productor de cobre del mundo, Chile.

Codelco había dicho que detendría sus fundiciones de Chuquicamata y Salvador a partir del 13 de diciembre de 2018 durante 75 y 45 días, respectivamente, para cumplir con las normas ambientales más estrictas. Pero el cierre duró más de lo esperado. [nL1N21611O]

“Pudimos decir que iba a pasar mucho más tiempo antes de que salieran a decirlo”, agregó Linwood.

El sistema, que rastrea 100 fundiciones que representan del 80% al 90% de la producción mundial, combina imágenes satelitales con inteligencia artificial y aprendizaje automático para producir sus datos.

“Obtiene todo tipo de información espuria que tiene que filtrar, como la luz solar que se refleja en el agua. Hemos tenido que desarrollar todos nuestros algoritmos para lidiar con esas cosas”, dijo Linwood.

Earth-i utiliza más de 20 satélites de alta resolución y lanzó su propio satélite el año pasado, capaz de recopilar video en color de alta definición.

Un producto básico costaría alrededor de 10.000 dólares al año, pero podría llegar a 250.000 dólares con niveles más altos de datos detallados y frecuencia, dijo Guy Wolf, jefe global de análisis de mercado de Marex Spectron.

También se publicará mensualmente un índice libre de la actividad mundial de fundición de cobre con retraso.

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Powell indicó que comenAran a expandir su hoja de balance para responder a las necesidades de financiamiento.

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Powell says the Fed will start expanding its balance sheet 'soon' in response to funding issues
PUBLISHED 7 MINS AGO

Jeff Cox
@JeffCoxCNBCcom
CNBC.COM
The Fed will start expanding its balance sheet again "soon," Chairman Jerome Powell said Tuesday.
Trouble in overnight lending markets several weeks ago helped spur the the Fed into action.
Pertaining to interest rates, Powell did not commit to a future course, saying the Fed will stay data dependent.
The Federal Reserve will soon start growing its balance sheet again, a response in part to the jolt to overnight lending markets in September, Chairman Jerome Powell said Tuesday.
How the Fed will go about expanding the securities it holds will be explained in the coming days, the central bank chief said during a speech in Denver.
On monetary policy more broadly, Powell stuck to his recent script: He and his fellow policymakers view the economy as being strong but susceptible to shocks, particularly from a global slowdown, trade and geopolitics like a potentially messy Brexit. He said the Fed stands committed to supporting the recovery but is data dependent and not on a preset course of cutting rates.

The Fed has reduced its benchmark rate twice in 2019 and is expected to approve a third cut late this month.
Time to expand 'is now upon us'

On the balance sheet issue, overnight repurchase markets malfunctioned in several weeks ago, due in part to funding constraints caused by money getting sucked out of the system as companies made tax payments and the Treasury Department settled bond auctions. The lack of funding caused repo rates to spike as high as 10% and the Fed's benchmark funds rate, which banks charge each other for short-term borrowing, to go above its targeted range by 5 basis points.
Since then, the Fed has been conducting temporary operations in which it is providing cash in exchange for ultra-safe assets.
Powell said the Fed is about to embark on more permanent operations to make sure the system has enough reserves and the market volatility events are controlled.
"This volatility can impede the effective implementation of monetary policy, and we are addressing it," Powell said in prepared remarks. "Indeed, my colleagues and I will soon announce measures to add to the supply of reserves over time."
Fed officials have been contemplating the proper level of reserves to keep in the system. The cash level that banks store at the Fed has fallen to about $1.5 trillion from a peak of $2.8 trillion in September 2014 as the Fed has ended its liquidity programs. Three rounds of quantitative easing, or asset purchases, took the balance sheet to as high as $4.5 trillion before the Fed started allowing proceeds to roll off each month.
President Donald Trump sharply criticized the balance sheet reduction, calling it "quantitative tightening" and charging that it was slowing economic growth.
Powell said the Fed is settling into an "ample reserves" regime and now sees that it is around the level banks need.
"As we indicated in our March statement on balance sheet normalization, at some point, we will begin increasing our securities holdings to maintain an appropriate level of reserves," he said. "That time is now upon us."
While he did not specify how the Fed will proceed he was quick to draw one line — that this program should not be confused with the three rounds of QE, which were aggressive efforts to expand the balance sheet. Instead, this will be a more organic procedure that will follow operations similar to what the Fed conducted before the financial crisis of 2008.
Both interest rate policy and the approach to the balance sheet came following a dissertation from Powell on "profound changes in the economy" and what challenges they present to current conditions.
He broke the challenges into three questions: how a gas price spike might impact the economy, whether productivity is being measured adequately, and whether the labor market is tight.
A jump in gas prices probably can be absorbed and likely would have little overall impact, he said. Current productivity measures are likely inadequate due to technological factors, he added. And he said that jobs are likely growing more slowly than the data indicates, though still expanding quickly enough to absorb new entrants to the labor force.

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