US Oil Fund halted after saying it will change structure again as ETF tries to stave off collapse
PUBLISHED TUE, APR 21 20209:33 AM EDTUPDATED MOMENTS AGO
Pippa Stevens
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John Melloy
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The United States Oil Fund, a popular exchange-traded security known for its ‘USO’ ticker which is supposed to track the price of oil and is popular with retail investors, plunged nearly 40% as the managers of the fund struggled to change its structure to stave off a collapse.
The latest change came on Tuesday afternoon when the fund said that it would be changing its structure for the second time since the end of last week. This time the fund is requesting to invest in varying oil futures contracts and said it had already moved money into the August crude oil contract.
The fund was halted, down 36% to $2.40. It was repeatedly halted for volatility on Tuesday after USCF, the manager of the fund, said that it was temporarily suspending the issuance of so-called creation baskets.
Creation baskets are how an ETF creates new shares to meet demand. The baskets hold the underlying securities which in this case are plummeting oil futures. With the halting of these creation baskets, the ETF will essentially now trade with a fixed number of shares like a closed-end mutual fund.
On Friday, USCF changed the structure of the USO fund so that it can hold longer-dated contracts. Per a regulatory filing, around 80% of the fund will be in the front-month contract, with 20% in the second-month contract.
That changed again with a new filing Tuesday afternoon.
The filing stated: “Commencing on April 22, 2020, USO in response to ongoing extraordinary market conditions in the crude oil markets, including super contango, may invest in the above described crude oil futures contracts on the NYMEX and ICE Futures in any month available or in varying percentages or invest in any other of the permitted investments described below and in its prospectus, without further disclosure. USO intends to attempt to continue tracking USO’s benchmark as closely as possible, however significant tracking deviations may occur above and beyond the differences described herein.”
John Davi, founder and CIO of Astoria Portfolio Advisors, said the new structures are being implemented as a way to try and protect investors from plunging crude prices. The coronavirus pandemic continues to sap worldwide demand for crude, which has sent prices to their lowest levels on record.
According to Davi, the USO is primarily owned by retail investors, which can be dangerous for those who believe they are betting on oil prices moving higher over time, without fully understanding the dynamics in the commodity market.
“To buy USO you have to understand the oil futures market,” Davi told CNBC. “They [retail investors] just buy the ETF because they think the price of crude will go up, but they don’t understand the drivers, which are fairly complicated.”
USCF did not provide a comment.
On Monday, the May contract for oil fell to a negative price, an unprecedented event wreaking havoc on the oil markets. The contract expires today. USO likely had already sold that contract because it has stated in the past that it would invest in the next contract two weeks before expiration. So it owns futures for the June month and now likely the July month, given the revised structure.
June futures began cratering as well on Tuesday, pressuring the fund. June futures expiring in a month dropped 50% to under $10 on Tuesday. July contracts fell 27%. The May contract, however, recovered a bit and was trading with a positive value again of $9.
USO could run into trouble if those contracts also fall to a negative value as they near expiration, mimicking the May contract’s plunge ahead of its expiration.
Negative futures value is unprecedented and it is unclear how products like exchange-traded funds built for the retail investor to participate in the market will handle such events.
Hayman Capital Management CIO Kyle Bass has been warning investors about the danger of exchange traded funds that track oil prices.
“Retail has been plowing into these oil contracts thinking they’re buying spot crude oil when they’re buying the next front month. So they’re paying $22 a barrel when the spot market’s negative $38. Retail investors are going to get fleeced if they continue to fly into these oil ETFs,” he said Monday on CNBC’s “Closing Bell.”
Following Monday’s price action, Bass, who said he holds short positions against some energy-focused ETFs, tweeted that he would demand 100% collateral.