Lunes 14/04/22 Semana del Fed

[admin]

Lunes

Eventos económicos

Expectativas de inflación
Entre los eventos más importantes de la semana tenemos los precios de los productores, el índice manufacturero en New York el Martes; las ventas retail, los precios de los importadores, el índice de los constructores, los inventarios de negocios y la decisión del Fed el Miércoles; los seguros de desempleo, los permisos de construcción, los inicios de casas, la manufactura en Philadelphia y la producción industrial el Jueves; las ventas de casas existentes y los indicadores líderes el Viernes.
MONDAY, MARCH 14
11 am 1-year inflation expectations Feb. -- 5.8%
11 am 3-year inflation expectations Feb. -- 3.5%
TUESDAY, MARCH 15
8:30 am Producer price index, final demand Feb. 0.9% -1.0%
8:30 am Empire state manufacturing index March 9.4 3.1
WEDNESDAY, MARCH 16
8:30 am Retail sales Feb. 0.5% 3.8%
8:30 am Retail sales excluding motor vehicles Feb. 1.0% 3.3%
8:30 am Import price index Feb. 1.5% 2.0%
8:30 am Import price index excluding fuels Feb. -- 1.4%
10 am NAHB home builders' index March 81 82
10 am Business inventories (revision) Jan. 1.1% 1.1%
2 pm FOMC announcement on fed funds rate -- 0.0%-0.25%
2:30 pm Fed Chair Jerome Powell news conference

Initial jobless claims March 12 221,000 227,000
8:30 am Continuing jobless claims March 5 -- 1.49 million
8:30 am Building permits (SAAR) Feb. 1.85 million 1.90 million
8:30 am Housing starts (SAAR) Feb. 1.70 million-- 1.64 million
8:30 am Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey March 18.0 16.0
9:15 am Industrial production index Feb. 0.5% 1.4%
9:15 am Capacity utilization rate Feb. 77.8% 77.6%
FRIDAY, MARCH 18
10 am Existing home sales (SAAR) Feb. 6.19 million 6.50 million
10 am Index of leading economic indicators

[admin]

Japan: Nikkei 225 25349.11 186.33 0.74
UK: FTSE 100 7155.64 56.55 0.80
Crude Oil Futures 106.15 -3.18 -2.91
Gold Futures 1979.20 -5.80 -0.29
Yen 117.83 0.50 0.43
Euro 1.0904

[admin]

-55.21 -1.30
China: Shanghai Composite 3266.73 -43.02 -1.30
Japan: Nikkei 225 25348.98 186.20 0.74
UK: FTSE 100 7155.64

[admin]

LAST CHG %CHG
Crude Oil Futures 106.17 -3.16 -2.89
Brent Crude Futures 109.53 -3.14 -2.79
Gold Futures 1979.30 -5.70 -0.29
Silver Futures 25.985 -0.175 -0.67
DJIA Futures 32977 164 0.50
S&P 500 Futures 4209

[admin]

Copper March 13,23:37
Bid/Ask 4.5765 - 4.5801
Change -0.0159 -0.35%
Low/High 4.5697 - 4.6001
Charts

Nickel March 11,14:17
Bid/Ask 17.3212 - 21.0452
Change +0.0000 +0.00%
Low/High 17.3212 - 21.0452
Charts

Aluminum March 13,23:39
Bid/Ask 1.6611 - 1.6656
Change -0.0088 -0.53%
Low/High 1.6527 - 1.6810
Charts

Zinc March 13,23:39
Bid/Ask 1.7599 - 1.7618
Change +0.0145 +0.83%
Low/High 1.7391 - 1.7627
Charts

Lead March 13,23:29
Bid/Ask 1.0684 - 1.0698
Change +0.0159 +1.51%
Low/High 1.0546 - 1.0748
Charts

Uranium Mar 07, 2022
Ux U308 price: 51.00
Change from
previous w

[admin]

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index drops 4% as investors monitor China’s Covid wave; oil prices fall 3%
PUBLISHED SUN, MAR 13 20227:43 PM EDTUPDATED 19 MIN AGO
Eustance Huang
@EUSTANCEHUANG
Shares in Asia-Pacific were mixed in Monday morning trade.
Investors continued to monitor developments around the Russia-Ukraine war and Covid wave in China, both of which threaten to further disrupt global supply chains.
The U.S. Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan are set to announce their interest rate decision later this week.
SINGAPORE — Shares in Asia-Pacific were mixed in Monday morning trade as investors monitor a Covid wave in China. Meanwhile, oil prices continued to be volatile amid the Russia-Ukraine war.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index dropped 4.02% in morning trade, with Chinese tech stocks taking a beating: Tencent fell 4.57%, Alibaba slipped 8.31% and Meituan plunged 11.96%. The Hang Seng Tech index tumbled more than 8%.


Mainland Chinese stocks were also lower, with the Shanghai composite down 1.51% while the Shenzhen component shed 1.761%.

South Korea’s Kospi also dipped 1.01%.

In Japan, the Nikkei 225 climbed 0.69% while the Topix index advanced 0.92%. The S&P/ASX 200 in Australia gained 1.11%.

MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan traded 1.69% lower.

Investors continued watching developments on the Russia-Ukraine war, which is disrupting shipping and air freight. Elsewhere, markets also monitored a recent wave of Covid infections in China — including the major city of Shenzhen.

“China is experiencing the largest wave of COVID since the end of national lockdown in March 2020,” ANZ Research’s Raymond Yeung and Zhaopeng Xing wrote in a Monday note.

“If the lockdown is extended, China’s economic growth will be significantly affected. It is too early for us to change our GDP growth forecast (5.0%) for 2022 , but we are wary of the impact of a partial lockdown in the economically rich provinces,” they said.

Oil prices fall 3%

Oil prices fell in the morning of Asia trading hours, with international benchmark Brent crude futures down 3.27% to $108.99 per barrel. U.S. crude futures shed 3.19% to $105.84 per barrel.

Oil prices during the Russia-Ukraine conflict have spiked to record levels but fell back last week on supply hopes, before rising again to close out the week. Over in Asia, China, India, Japan and South Korea are all major importers of oil, according to 2020 data from the International Energy Agency.

Stock picks and investing trends from CNBC Pro:
Investors should consider these deep value stocks during the market sell-off, Wolfe Research says
Goldman picks Tesla, Buffett-backed BYD and more to play rising commodity prices
There’s a 35% chance that the S&P 500 could fall into a bear market, Bank of America says
The U.S. Federal Reserve is widely expected to announce a rate hike later this week, the first such move since 2018.

In Asia, the Bank of Japan is also set to announce its monetary policy decision later in the week.

Currencies

The U.S. dollar index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of its peers, was at 99.256 after its recent bounce from below 98.

The Japanese yen traded at 117.80 per dollar after last week’s weakening from below 116 against the greenback. The Australian dollar was at $0.7252 after slipping from above $0.732 late last week.

TICKER COMPANY NAME PRICE CHANGE %CHANGE
.N225 Nikkei 225 Index *NIKKEI 25360.66 197.88 0.79
.HSI Hang Seng Index *HSI 19776.78 -777.01 -3.78
.AXJO S&P/ASX 200 *ASX 200 7138.6 75 1.06
.SSEC Shanghai *SHANGHAI 3266.73 -43.01 -1.3
.KS11 KOSPI Index *KOSPI 2637.47 -23.81 -0.89
.FTFCNBCA CNBC 100 ASIA IDX *CNBC 100 8588.25 -121.81 -1.4

[admin]

https://www.wsj.com/articles/russian-mi ... 28?mod=mhp

[admin]

T CHG %CHG
Crude Oil Futures 103.23 -6.10 -5.58
Brent Crude Futures 107.30 -5.37 -4.77
Gold Futures 1963.20 -21.80 -1.10
Silver Futures 25.390 -0.770 -2.94
DJIA Futures 33065 252 0.77
S&P 500 Futures 4210.25 17

[admin]

El petróleo cae y los futuros de acciones aumentan a medida que los inversores rastrean las negociaciones en Ucrania
El confinamiento por coronavirus en Shenzhen golpea los precios del crudo y las acciones chinas
Futuros del índice bursátil
Fuente: FactSet
A partir del 14 de marzo, 7:45 a.m. ET
S&P 500
Nasdaq-100
13 de marzo
14 de marzo
-0,50
-0,25
0
0,25
0,50
0,75
1,00
1.25
%
Por Joe Wallace
Seguir
Actualizado el 14 de marzo de 2022 a las 6:16 a. m. ET

GUARDAR

COMPARTIR

TEXTO

Escuchar el artículo
Duración4 minutos

Cola
Las acciones de EE. UU. estaban preparadas para obtener ganancias moderadas y los precios del petróleo cayeron mientras los inversores encuestaban los acontecimientos en Ucrania y esperaban la próxima reunión de la Reserva Federal.

Los futuros del S&P 500 aumentaron un 0,6 % el lunes. El índice bursátil de referencia ha caído durante cinco de las últimas semanas. Los inversores se han asustado por la guerra en Ucrania y un repunte de los precios de los productos básicos provocado por el conflicto, además de la perspectiva de un aumento de las tasas de interés. Han empujado hacia paraísos percibidos como el oro, mientras vendían acciones.

Las ganancias para los futuros de acciones sugerían que los índices recuperarían algo el lunes. Los inversores dijeron que los comentarios positivos de funcionarios ucranianos y rusos sobre una ronda programada de conversaciones han dado un impulso a los mercados. Los contratos para el Nasdaq-100 centrado en la tecnología aumentaron un 0,2 % y los futuros para el promedio industrial de Dow Jones ganaron un 0,7 %.


"La historia predominante hoy en día es la música de mejor humor que sale de los negociadores ucranianos y rusos", dijo Edward Park, director de inversiones de Brooks Macdonald. "Las expectativas eran bastante bajas a finales de la semana pasada".

SUSCRIPCIÓN AL BOLETÍN
Mercados

Una cartilla de precomercialización repleta de noticias, tendencias e ideas. Además, datos de mercado actualizados.

VISTA PREVIA
SUBSCRIBED
"Ciertamente existe el riesgo de un ataque de volatilidad a corto plazo si las negociaciones se detienen o parecen estar girando en la dirección equivocada", agregó.

Por delante de la campana, las acciones de Occidental Petroleum cayeron un 4,5 %. Warren Buffett'sBerkshire Hathaway compró acciones del productor de petróleo y gas valoradas en 1.500 millones de dólares, según una presentación de finales del viernes.


Comerciante en la Bolsa de Valores de Nueva York.
FOTO: SPENCER PLATT/GETTY IMAGES
En los mercados extranjeros, el Stoxx Europe 600 aumentó un 1,4 %, liderado por acciones de fabricantes de automóviles y bancos.

En Asia, el índice compuesto de Shanghái de China cayó un 2,6 % después de que la ciudad de Shenzhen entrara en confinamiento para contener un brote de coronavirus. El apagado, que durará al menos una semana, ha detenido las operaciones en varios fabricantes, incluido Foxconn Technology Group, un importante ensamblador de iPhone.

l confinamiento podría reducir la demanda de petróleo, bajando los precios del crudo. Los futuros de Brent-crude, el punto de referencia internacional, cayeron un 2,8 % a 109,51 dólares el barril. Hace una semana, los precios de Brent alcanzaron 139 dólares el barril, su nivel más alto desde 2008, ya que la guerra en Ucrania interrumpió los mercados mundiales de suministro de productos básicos. Los inversores dijeron que la caída de los precios del petróleo desde entonces había aliviado un poco las preocupaciones por la inflación y ayudado a calmar los mercados de valores.

En otras partes de los mercados de productos básicos, el comercio de níquel permaneció suspendido en la Bolsa de Metales de Londres, que detuvo el mercado la semana pasada para contener un enorme aumento de los precios.

El conflicto de Ucrania se está intensificando y hay cada vez más preocupaciones entre los funcionarios e inversores de que la guerra pueda extenderse fuera del país. Un ataque aéreo ruso contra un centro de entrenamiento militar ucraniano cerca de la frontera polaca mató a 35 personas el domingo. Rusia ha pedido a China equipo militar y otra asistencia para su esfuerzo de guerra, según funcionarios estadounidenses, que no especificaron lo que Rusia había solicitado.

Los inversores están centrando su atención en la reunión de política monetaria de la Reserva Federal, que concluye el miércoles. Se espera que el banco central aumente su tasa de referencia por primera vez desde 2018 mientras los funcionarios buscan enfriar la demanda y controlar la inflación.

El banco central está navegando por un entorno inusualmente complicado de un mercado laboral ajustado, interrupciones de la oferta, inflación en espiral y ahora, la invasión de Ucrania por parte de Rusia.

El rendimiento de los pagarés del Tesoro a 10 años aumentó al 2,056% el lunes desde el 2,004% del viernes antes de la reunión. Los rendimientos y los precios de los bonos se mueven en direcciones opuestas.

Mercancía vs. Precios Al Por Menor: ¿Con Qué Fuerza Están Vinculados?
TAMBIÉN TE PUEDE GUSTAR

Mercancía vs. Precios Al Por Menor: ¿Con Qué Fuerza Están Vinculados?
Mercancía vs. Precios Al Por Menor: ¿Con Qué Fuerza Están Vinculados?
Reproducir vídeo: Mercancía vs. Precios Al Por Menor: ¿Con Qué Fuerza Están Vinculados?
Los precios de los productos básicos están de moda en este momento. Pero los precios que los inversores están pagando en el mercado abierto por productos básicos como el café, el cobre o el maíz pueden tener poco que ver con el precio que los clientes paga

[admin]

LAST CHG %CHG
DJIA 33013.19 69.00 0.21
S&P 500 4198.68 -5.63 -0.13
Nasdaq Composite 12759.68 -84.13 -0.66
Japan: Nikkei 225 25307.85 145.07 0.58
UK: FTSE 100 7182.01 26.37 0.37
Crude Oil Futures 104.05 -5.28 -4.83
Gold Futures 1964.10 -20.90 -1.05
Yen 117.96 0.64 0.54
Euro 1.0942

[admin]

CHG %CHG
DJIA 33311.67 367.48 1.12
S&P 500 4226.50 22.19 0.53
Nasdaq Composite 12795.76 -48.05 -0.37
Japan: Nikkei 225 25307.85 145.07 0.58
UK: FTSE 100 7216.19 60.55 0.85
Crude Oil Futures 100.87 -8.46 -7.74
Gold Futures 1959.70 -25.30 -1.27
Yen 117.93 0.61 0.52
Euro 1.0974 0

[admin]

CHG %CHG
DJIA 33170.59 226.40 0.69
S&P 500 4203.19 -1.12 -0.03
Nasdaq Composite 12697.67 -146.13 -1.14
Japan: Nikkei 225 25307.85 145.07 0.58
UK: FTSE 100 7192.15 36.51 0.51
Crude Oil Futures 102.00 -7.33 -6.70
Gold Futures 1959.90 -25.10 -1.26
Yen 118.00 0.67 0.57
Euro 1.0990 0

[admin]

https://www.bvl.com.pe/

[admin]

Stocks Rise, Oil Falls as Investors Track Ukraine Negotiations
Shenzhen coronavirus lockdown knocks crude prices and Chinese stocks

By Joe Wallace and Scott Patterson
Updated March 14, 2022 11:45 am ET
Stocks climbed and oil prices tumbled Monday, easing fears that a surge in commodity prices could stall the U.S. economy as investors awaited a likely interest-rate increase by the Federal Reserve later this week.

Around midday in New York, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up more than 1%, and the S&P 500 gained 0.5%. The benchmark stock index has fallen for four of the five past weeks. Investors have been spooked by the war in Ukraine and a rally in commodity prices sparked by the conflict, on top of the prospect of rising rates. They have pushed into perceived havens such as gold, while selling stocks.

Investors said positive comments from both Ukrainian and Russian officials about a round of negotiations boosted markets Monday. The technology-focused Nasdaq Composite Index was down about 0.1%.

Shares of Apple fell 1.1% as a Covid-19 outbreak in China disrupted manufacturing by a key supplier in the city of Shenzhen.

While falling oil prices could ease fears that consumer spending will slow down amid record-high gasoline prices, one likely cause of oil’s decline—the Covid-19 outbreak in China—could renew concerns about potential supply-chain snafus and ensuing the impact on the U.S. economy. Shortages of everything from computer chips to chocolate have hampered growth for months as the Omicron variant scrambled business plans and raised costs for big and small businesses.

“The China shutdown and potential supply chain issues, people are scared of that,” said Joe Saluzzi, co-head of equity trading at Themis Trading. “Just as you thought you were getting relief in the supply chain, we might get another hit.”

The potential economic toll could tamper expectations for interest-rate increases by the Federal Reserve later this year, he said. Investors are turning their attention toward the Fed’s monetary-policy meeting, which wraps up Wednesday. The central bank is expected to raise its benchmark rate for the first time since 2018 as officials look to cool demand and control inflation. It is navigating an unusually complicated environment of a tight labor market, supply disruptions and lately, the war in Ukraine.

Treasury note, 10-year yield
Source: Tullett Prebon
As of March 14, 12:30 p.m. ET

March 8
March 14
1.70
1.75
1.80
1.85
1.90
1.95
2.00
2.05
2.10
2.15
%

Bank of America economists said they expect the Fed to remain aggressive this year and next amid mounting fears of inflation. U.S. central bankers, led by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, are likely to boost rates five times this year and four times in 2023, BofA economists said in a Monday note. “[W]e expect a hawkish message from Chair Powell, who will likely reiterate that the Fed needs to get serious about price stability,” BofA said.

China’s Shanghai Composite Index dropped 2.6% after Shenzhen went into lockdown to contain the coronavirus. In Europe, the Stoxx Europe 600 rose 0.9%, led by shares of auto makers and banks.

The lockdown could knock oil demand, and Brent-crude futures, the international benchmark, fell 5.6% to $103.19 a barrel.

“The lockdown in Shenzhen and possible lockdown to come in Shanghai have chilled trader enthusiasm,” said Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis for OPIS, which is owned by Dow Jones & Co., owner of The Wall Street Journal.

Mr. Kloza said oil prices were also reflecting a potentially temporary break in trader enthusiasm, which he said reached a record high last week according to certain measures. A week ago, Brent prices hit $139 a barrel, the highest level since 2008, as the war in Ukraine disrupted global commodity markets. That has driven gasoline prices to record highs, sparking concerns that pinched consumers could slow spending heading into the spring and summer driving seasons.

The yield on 10-year Treasury notes rose to 2.1% Monday from 2.004% Friday. Yields move in the opposite direction to bond prices and are on course for their highest close since July 2019.


The benchmark S&P 500 index has fallen for four of the five past weeks.
Photo: Spencer Platt/Getty Images
Elsewhere in commodity markets, nickel trading remained suspended on the London Metal Exchange, which stopped the market last week to contain a huge run-up in prices.

Despite hopes for the negotiations, the conflict is intensifying and there are increasing concerns among officials and investors that the war could spill out of Ukraine. A Russian airstrike on a Ukrainian military training center close to the Polish border killed 35 people Sunday. Russia has asked China for military equipment and other assistance for its war effort, according to U.S. officials.

[admin]

ST CHG %CHG
DJIA 32895.82 -48.37 -0.15
S&P 500 4173.50 -30.81 -0.73
Nasdaq Composite 12605.23 -238.58 -1.86
Japan: Nikkei 225 25307.85 145.07 0.58
UK: FTSE 100 7193.47 37.83 0.53
Crude Oil Futures 101.33 -8.00 -7.32
Gold Futures 1959.80 -25.20 -1.27
Yen 117.97 0.65 0.55
Euro 1.0973 0