Lunes 14/11/22 Expectativas de inflación

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Lunes

Eventos económicos

Expectativas of inflation

Entre los eventos más importantes de la semana tenemos los precios de los productores y la manufactura en New York el Martes; las ventas retail, los precios de los importadores, la producción industrial, los inventarios de negocios y la confianza de los constructores el Miércoles: los seguros de desempleo, los permisos de construcción, los inicios de casas y la manufactura en Philadelphia el Jueves; las ventas de casas existentes y los indicadores líderes el Viernes.


NY Fed 1-year inflation expectations Oct. -- 5.7%
11 am NY Fed 5-year inflation expectations Oct. -- 2.2%
TUESDAY, NOV. 15
8:30 am Producer price index, final demand Oct. 0.4% 0.4%
8:30 am Empire state manufacturing index Nov. -5.0 -9.1
11 am Real household debt (SAAR) Q3 -- 0.8%
11 am Real mortgage debt (SAAR) Q3 -- 0.3%
WEDNESDAY, NOV. 16
8:30 am Retail sales Oct. 1.2% 0.0%
8:30 am Retail sales excluding vehicles Oct. 0.6% 0.1%
8:30 am Import price index Oct. -0.5% -1.2%
9:15 am Industrial production Oct. 0.2% 0.4%
9:15 am Capacity utilization rate Oct. 80.4% 80.3%
10 am Business inventories (revision) Sept. 0.5% 0.5%
10 am NAHB home builders' index Nov. 36 38
THURSDAY, NOV. 17
8:30 am Initial jobless claims Nov. 12 229,000 225,000
8:30 am Continuing jobless claims Nov. 5 -- 1.49 million
8:30 am Building permits (SAAR) Oct. 1.50 million 1.56 million
8:30 am Housing starts (SAAR) Oct. 1.41 million 1.44 million
8:30 am Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index Nov. -6.0 -8.7
FRIDAY, NOV. 18
10 am Existing home sales (SAAR) Oct. 4.32 million 4.71 million
10 am Leading economic indicators

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209.18 1.88
Japan: Nikkei 225 28047.58 -215.99 -0.76
UK: FTSE 100 7318.04 -57.30 -0.78
Crude Oil Futures 89.34 0.38 0.43
Gold Futures 1767.40 -2.00 -0.11
Yen 139.00 0.20 0.14
Euro 1.0332

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.93 36.56 0.92
China: Shanghai Composite 3103.19 15.90 0.51
Japan: Nikkei 225 28047.58 -215.99 -0.76
UK: FTSE 100 7318.04

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LAST CHG %CHG
Crude Oil Futures 89.33 0.37 0.42
Brent Crude Futures 96.46 0.47 0.49
Gold Futures 1767.50 -1.90 -0.11
Silver Futures 21.650 -0.017 -0.08
DJIA Futures 33691 -72 -0.21
S&P 500 Futures 3990

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LAST CHG %CHG
Euro (EUR/USD) 1.0333 -0.0021 -0.20
Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) 139.00 0.21 0.15
U.K. Pound (GBP/USD) 1.1789 -0.0048 -0.41
Swiss Franc (USD/CHF) 0.9447 0.0034 0.36
Chinese Yuan (USD/CNY) 7.0387 -0.0696 -0.98
U.S. Dollar Index 106.68 0.38 0.36

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COUNTRY YIELD(%) YIELD CHG
U.S. 10 Year 3.890 0.049
Germany 10 Year 2.158 0.000
U.K. 10 Year 3.351 0.000
Japan 10 Year 0.241 0.010
Australia 10 Year 3.756 0.090
China 10 Year 2

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LAST CHG %CHG
Crude Oil Futures 87.75 -1.21 -1.36
Brent Crude Futures 94.84 -1.15 -1.20
Gold Futures 1759.60 -9.80 -0.55
Silver Futures 21.520 -0.147 -0.68
DJIA Futures 33685 -78 -0.23
S&P 500 Futures 3985

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LAST CHG %CHG
DJIA 33823.61 75.75 0.22
S&P 500 3990.79 -2.14 -0.05
Nasdaq Composite 11266.72 -56.61 -0.50
Japan: Nikkei 225 27963.47 -300.10 -1.06
UK: FTSE 100 7401.50 83.46 1.14
Crude Oil Futures 88.06 -0.90 -1.01
Gold Futures 1775.50 6.10 0.34
Yen 140.55 1.75 1.26
Euro 1.0330

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LAST CHG %CHG
Crude Oil Futures 88.18 -0.78 -0.88
Brent Crude Futures 95.37 -0.62 -0.65
Gold Futures 1777.70 8.30 0.47
Silver Futures 22.025 0.358 1.65
DJIA Futures 33827 64 0.19
S&P 500 Futures 3998.25 -2.00

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LAST CHG %CHG
DJIA 33871.91 124.05 0.37
S&P 500 3997.69 4.76 0.12
Nasdaq Composite 11289.40 -33.93 -0.30
Japan: Nikkei 225 27963.47 -300.10 -1.06
UK: FTSE 100 7385.17 67.13 0.92
Crude Oil Futures 85.90 -3.06 -3.44
Gold Futures 1775.40 6.00 0.34
Yen 140.29 1.50 1.08
Euro 1.0342

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S&P 500 is flat on Monday as Wall Street takes a breather after its best week since June
Tanaya Macheel
Yun Li
Check here for real-time updates of the U.S. stock market.

McGhee: Investing in commodities brings down the risk in a portfolioWATCH NOW
VIDEO03:06
McGhee: Investing in commodities brings down the risk in a portfolio
The S&P 500 was little changed on Monday after it posted its biggest weekly gain in almost five months on the back of easing inflation data.

The market was divided, with the broad-market index hovering around the flat line, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite slid 0.4%. Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced by 0.3%.

The S&P tech sector was down by about 1%, after posting its best week since April 2020 in the previous session.

“The market is trying to digest and even make sense of last week’s outsized equity market run in the face of Fed Governor Waller’s cautionary comments about the Fed still having a lot to do,” BMO Wealth Management Chief Investment Strategist Yung-Yu Ma.

“This week will have other Fed members comments and an array of economic data including retail sales, producer prices, industrial production, housing, and more – eventually we expect the market’s focus to turn away from the Fed and focus on the economic trajectory and this week may be a starting point for that,” he added.

The major stock indexes were trading off their lows after Federal Reserve Vice Chair Lael Brainard made comments Monday indicating that the central bank could soon slow the pace of its interest rate increases, and providing some comfort to the market.

Her comments came after Fed Governor Christopher Waller said Sunday: “We’re at a point we can start thinking maybe of going to a slower pace.” But, “we’re not softening. ... Quit paying attention to the pace and start paying attention to where the endpoint is going to be. Until we get inflation down, that endpoint is still a ways out there.” His remarks initially weighed on the market heading into the week.

Ahead of Brainard’s comments, stocks briefly fell to near session lows following news that Amazon will lay off about 10,000 employees as early as this week. Around the same time of the report, a Federal Reserve survey showed consumers’ inflation expectations for the year ahead rose, weighing further on sentiment.

S&P 500
Chart

Line chart with 196 data points.
The chart has 1 X axis displaying Time. Range: 2022-11-14 09:30:00 to 2022-11-14 12:45:00.
The chart has 1 Y axis displaying values. Range: 3965 to 4005.

10:00 am
11:00 am
12:00 pm
3965
3970
3975
3980
3985
3990
3995
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4005
cnbc.com
End of interactive chart.
chart logo
The S&P 500 rallied 5.9% to finish the previous week, its best weekly advance since June. Investors cheered a lighter-than-expected inflation reading, betting that the Federal Reserve would soon slow its aggressive tightening campaign. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite gained 8.1% last week for its best week since March. The blue-chip Dow advanced 4.2%.

“A notable shift has occurred in the market, with investors increasingly risk-on across asset classes,” said Mark Hackett, Nationwide’s chief of investment research. “Technical indicators have improved dramatically, with investor sentiment, momentum, breadth, and risk factors all showing notable improvement.”

The third-quarter earnings season is set to continue, with a heavy emphasis on retail. Big retailers Walmart, Home Depot, Target, Lowe’s, Macy’s and Kohl’s are all slated to post numbers this week.

10 MIN AGO
S&P 500 struggling below key retracement level

The S&P 500 struggled Monday to break above 3,998.51, a key Fibonacci retracement level, to start the week. The moves come as the market tries to build on its strong performance from last week, with the S&P 500 posting a weekly gain of 5.9%.

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LAST CHG %CHG
DJIA 33807.18 59.32 0.18
S&P 500 3990.37 -2.56 -0.06
Nasdaq Composite 11310.25 -13.08 -0.12
Japan: Nikkei 225 27963.47 -300.10 -1.06
UK: FTSE 100 7385.17 67.13 0.92
Crude Oil Futures 85.40 -3.56 -4.00
Gold Futures 1777.90 8.50 0.48
Yen 139.86 1.06 0.76
Euro 1.0346

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https://www.bvl.com.pe/

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Copper November 14,14:51
Bid/Ask 3.7841 - 3.8015
Change +0.0238 +0.63%
Low/High 3.7337 - 3.8238
Charts

Nickel November 14,14:51
Bid/Ask 11.9567 - 12.1613
Change -0.8578 -6.69%
Low/High 11.9567 - 12.8939
Charts

Aluminum November 14,14:29
Bid/Ask 1.1953 - 1.1998
Change -0.0051 -0.42%
Low/High 1.1953 - 1.2093
Charts

Zinc November 14,14:44
Bid/Ask 1.3626 - 1.3912
Change -0.0338 -2.42%
Low/High 1.3599 - 1.4017
Charts

Lead November 14,14:59
Bid/Ask 0.9849 - 0.9859
Change +0.0020 +0.21%
Low/High 0.9658 - 0.9867
Charts

Uranium Nov 07, 2022
Ux U308 price: 49.50
Change fro

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Stocks Fluctuate as Traders Mull Latest Fedspeak: Markets Wrap
Investors are digesting comments from Fed’s Brainard, Waller Cryptocurrencies find relief on Binance plan for recovery fund

Isabelle Lee
November 13, 2022, 5:15 PM EST
US stocks fluctuated as investors mulled what the Federal Reserve Vice Chair Lael Brainard’s comments on Monday mean for the central bank’s path ahead.

The S&P 500 pared earlier gains. The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 rose after falling as much as 1.3% as the session started. Treasury yields climbed, with the 10-year rate hovering around 3.87%.

Brainard’s comments during a Bloomberg event in Washington somewhat improved sentiment after she said it would be appropriate “soon” for the central bank to slow its pace of interest-rate hikes. However, she also emphasized that the Fed had “additional work to do” to bring inflation down, which kept some investors on the edge. Brainard did not explicitly commit to a step-down to a half-point hike in December, nor did she elaborate what she meant by “soon.”

“I think Brainard’s comments underscore the uncertainty of the path forward and the data dependence of the Committee,” said Jake Schurmeier, portfolio manager at Harbor Capital Advisors. “They don’t want a slower pace of rate hikes to be confused for less restrictive policy.”

Earlier, Fed Governor Christopher Waller’s hawkish comments wobbled markets as investors mulled whether the post-CPI euphoria was overblown.

Last week’s CPI-fueled rally, which propelled the S&P 500 to its best week since June, may be unsustainable, according to Christopher Smart, chief global strategist at Barings and head of the Barings Investment Institute.

“The bad news is that in an economic moment that remains so uncertain, the data is more likely than not to be messy and contradictory in the months ahead. The pace of decline will be uneven,” he said. “Moreover, there’s still a long way to go to get to the Fed’s target of 2% average inflation. That’s why Fed governors have been lining up to talk down any market euphoria that a real pivot is in sight.”

The cumulative impact of prior interest-rate hikes will also continue to weigh on economic growth and corporate profits, according to Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS Global Wealth Management, who recommends that investors take a defensive position.

Read More: Wall Street Managers Are Pushing Back on Easing Inflation Hopes


LISTEN: Sean O’Hara, president at Pacer ETFs, discusses investing strategies with Bloomberg’s Paul Sweeney and Matt Miller.
Meanwhile, Chinese stocks listed in the US extended their rally to a third day, after Joe Biden and Xi Jinping called for reduced tensions between the world’s two biggest economies during a meeting in Bali, Indonesia.

The DAX Index, Germany’s main equity benchmark, rallied 20% from its September low. It was set to enter a bull market as investors bought shares on optimism that China is easing Covid restrictions and that its relations with the US are improving.

Cryptocurrencies rose on plans by Binance Holdings Ltd. to set up a recovery fund to stabilize the industry after FTX’s bankruptcy sparked market-wide losses of around $200 billion in the past week.

Key events this week:

Fed’s John Williams moderates panel, Monday
China retail sales, industrial production, surveyed jobless, Tuesday
Former US President Donald Trump plans to make an announcement, Tuesday
US empire manufacturing, PPI, Tuesday
US business inventories, cross-border investment, retail sales, industrial production, Wednesday
Fed’s John Williams, Lael Brainard and SEC Chair Gary Gensler speak, Wednesday
ECB President Christine Lagarde speaks, Wednesday
Eurozone CPI, Thursday
US housing starts, initial jobless claims, Thursday
Fed’s Neel Kashkari, Loretta Mester speak, Thursday
US Conference Board leading index, existing home sales, Friday
Some of the main moves in markets:

Stocks

The S&P 500 rose 0.1% as of 2:45 p.m. New York time
The Nasdaq 100 rose 0.1%
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.3%
The MSCI World index rose 1.8%
Currencies

The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.1%
The euro was little changed at $1.0349
The British pound fell 0.5% to $1.1772
The Japanese yen fell 0.8% to 139.93 per dollar
Cryptocurrencies

Bitcoin rose 0.1% to $16,382.46
Ether rose 0.2% to $1,218.18
Bonds

The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced five basis points to 3.87%
Germany’s 10-year yield declined one basis point to 2.15%
Britain’s 10-year yield advanced one basis point to 3.37%
Commodities

West Texas Intermediate crude fell 3.9% to $85.53 a barrel
Gold futures rose 0.3% to $1,775.50 an ounce