Jueves 27/01/23 PBI

Los acontecimientos mas importantes en el mundo de las finanzas, la economia (macro y micro), las bolsas mundiales, los commodities, el mercado de divisas, la politica monetaria y fiscal y la politica como variables determinantes en el movimiento diario de las acciones. Opiniones, estrategias y sugerencias de como navegar el fascinante mundo del stock market.

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Jueves 27/01/23 PBI

Notapor admin » Mié Ene 25, 2023 10:05 pm

Jueves

Eventos económicos

Seguros de desempleo
PBI
Órdenes de bienes duraderos
Actividad económica en Chicago
Ventas de casas nuevas

Initial jobless claims Jan. 21 205,000 190,000
8:30 am Continuing jobless claims Jan. 14 -- 1.65 million
8:30 am Real gross domestic product, first estimate (SAAR) Q4 2.8% 3.2%
8:30 am Real final sales to domestic purchasers, first estimate (SAAR) Q4 -- 1.5%
8:30 am Trade in goods (advance) Dec. -- -$83.3 billion
8:30 am Durable goods orders Dec. 2.4% -2.1%
8:30 am Core capital goods orders Dec. -- -0.1%
8:30 am Chicago Fed national activity index Dec. -- N/A
10 am New home sales (SAAR) Dec.
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Re: Jueves 27/01/23 PBI

Notapor admin » Mié Ene 25, 2023 10:06 pm

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Re: Jueves 27/01/23 PBI

Notapor admin » Jue Ene 26, 2023 8:18 am

LAST CHG %CHG
Crude Oil Futures 81.34 1.19 1.48
Brent Crude Futures 87.31 1.12 1.30
Gold Futures 1936.40 -6.20 -0.32
Silver Futures 23.890 -0.051 -0.21
DJIA Futures 33882 59 0.17
S&P 500 Futures 4050.50 18.50 0.46
Currencies8
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Re: Jueves 27/01/23 PBI

Notapor admin » Jue Ene 26, 2023 10:17 am

LAST CHG %CHG
DJIA 33765.84 22.00 0.07
S&P 500 4038.50 22.28 0.55
Nasdaq Composite 11422.45 109.10 0.96
Japan: Nikkei 225 27362.75 -32.26 -0.12
UK: FTSE 100 7753.74 8.87 0.11
Crude Oil Futures 80.72 0.57 0.71
Gold Futures 1934.00 -8.60 -0.44
Yen 130.18 0.58 0.45
Euro 1
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Re: Jueves 27/01/23 PBI

Notapor admin » Jue Ene 26, 2023 10:18 am

U.S. GDP rose 2.9% in the fourth quarter, more than expected even as recession fears loom
PUBLISHED THU, JAN 26 20238:30 AM ESTUPDATED 10 MIN AGO
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Jeff Cox
@JEFF.COX.7528
@JEFFCOXCNBCCOM
Gross domestic product rose at a 2.9% annualized pace in the fourth quarter, slightly better than expected.
Consumer spending weakened from the previous period but remained positive.
A sharp slide in housing helped pull down GDP, while boosts in government spending and private investment aided growth.
Jobless claims fell last week while durable goods orders increased sharply in December, but mainly due to demand for aircraft.
U.S. GDP rose 2.9% in Q4; Jobless claims fell to the lowest level since April '22WATCH NOW
VIDEO03:34
U.S. GDP rose 2.9% in Q4; Jobless claims fell to the lowest level since April ’22
The U.S. economy finished 2022 in solid shape even as questions persist over whether growth will turn negative in the year ahead.

Fourth-quarter gross domestic product, the sum of all goods and services produced for the October-to-December period, rose at a 2.9% annualized pace, the Commerce Department reported Thursday. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had expected a reading of 2.8%.


The growth rate was slightly slower than the 3.2% pace in the third quarter.


Stocks turned mixed following the report while Treasury yields were mostly higher.

Consumer spending, which accounts for about 68% of GDP, increased 2.1% for the period, down slightly from 2.3% in the previous period but still positive.

Inflation readings moved considerably lower to end the year after hitting 41-year highs in the summer. The personal consumption expenditures price index increased 3.2%, in line with expectations but down sharply from 4.8% in the third quarter. Excluding food and energy, the chain-weighted index rose 3.9%, down from 4.7%.

While the inflation numbers indicated price increases are receding, they remain well above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.


Along with the boost from consumers, increases in private inventory investment, government spending and nonresidential fixed investment helped lift the GDP number.

A 26.7% plunge in residential fixed investment, reflecting a sharp slide in housing, served as a drag on the growth number, as did a 1.3% decline in exports. The housing drop subtracted about 1.3 percentage points from the headline GDP number.

Federal government spending rose 6.2%, due largely to an 11.2% surge on nondefense outlays, while state and local expenditures were up 2.3%. Government spending in total added 0.64 percentage points to GDP.

“The mix of growth was discouraging, and the monthly data suggest the economy lost momentum as the fourth quarter went on,” wrote Andrew Hunter, senior U.S. economist for Capital Economics. “We still expect the lagged impact of the surge in interest rates to push the economy into a mild recession in the first half of this year.”

What experts think about Q4 GDP dataWATCH NOW
VIDEO04:06
What experts think about Q4 GDP data
The report caps off a volatile year for the economy.

Following a 2021 that saw GDP rise at its strongest pace since 1984, the first two quarters of 2022 started off with negative growth, matching a commonly held definition of a recession. However, a resilient consumer and strong labor market helped growth turn positive in the final two quarters and gave hope for 2023.

“Just as the economy wasn’t as weak in the first half of 2022 as GDP reports suggested, it’s also not as strong as the Q4 GDP release would indicate,” said Jim Baird, chief investment officer at Plante Moran Financial Advisors. “Held aloft by resilient consumer spending, the economy expanded at a solid pace late last year, but remains vulnerable to a more pronounced slowdown in the coming quarters.”

A separate economic report Thursday highlighted a strong, tight labor market. Weekly jobless claims fell by 6,000, down to 186,000 for the lowest reading since April 2022 and well below the 205,000 Dow Jones estimate.

Orders for long-lasting goods also were much better than expected, rising 5.6% for December, compared with the 2.4% estimate. However, orders fell 0.1% when excluding transportation as demand for Boeing passenger planes helped drive the headline number.

Despite the fairly strong economic data, most economists think a recession is a strong possibility this year.

A series of aggressive Fed interest rate increases aimed at taming runaway inflation are expected to come to roost this year. The Fed raised its benchmark borrowing rate by 4.25 percentage points since March 2022 to its highest rate since late 2007. Rate hikes generally operate on lags, meaning their real effect may not be felt until the time ahead.

Markets see a near certainty that the Fed is going enact another quarter percentage point increase at its meeting next week and likely follow that up with one more similar-sized hike in March.

Some sectors of the economy have shown signs of recession even though overall growth has been positive. Housing in particular has been a laggard, with building permits down 30% in December from a year ago and starts down 22%.

Corporate profit reports from the fourth quarter also are signaling a potential earnings recession. With nearly 20% of the S&P 500 companies reporting, earnings are tracking at a loss of 3%, even with revenue growing 4.1%, according to Refinitiv.

Consumer spending also is showing signs of weakening, with retail sales down 1.1% in December.
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Re: Jueves 27/01/23 PBI

Notapor admin » Jue Ene 26, 2023 10:19 am

El S&P 500 sube después de un fuerte informe del PIB, Nasdaq salta casi un 1 % en los resultados de Tesla

Samantha Subin

Alex Harring

VER AHORA

VÍDEO02:17

El mercado está realmente luchando en qué dirección quiere ir, dice Bartels de Sanctuary Wealth

El Nasdaq Composite aumentó el jueves cuando el producto interno bruto del cuarto trimestre superó las expectativas, y los inversores analizaron el último lote de ganancias corporativas.

El índice de alta tecnología aumentó un 0,9 %, mientras que el Dow Jones Industrial Average se negoció de forma plana. El S&P 500 aumentó un 0,45%.

Los datos del PIB publicados el jueves mostraron que la economía se expande a una tasa anualizada del 2,9 % durante el cuarto trimestre, dijo el Departamento de Comercio. Eso está por encima de la estimación del 2,8 % del Dow Jones, pero representa un ligero tiempo de reutilización con respecto a la lectura del tercer trimestre.

Mientras tanto, la temporada de ganancias se mantuvo firme, con fuertes resultados de Tesla dando un impulso al Nasdaq y a las acciones de vehículos eléctricos. Tesla saltó un 9 % después de registrar ingresos récord y ganancias sólidas. Los gigantes de la tecnología batidos Microsoft, Apple, Amazon y Alphabet añadieron más del 1 % cada uno.

Las ganancias de las aerolíneas también se lanzaron, con Southwest cayendo con una pérdida mayor de lo esperado alimentada por su colapso de vacaciones. American Airlines subió en un ritmo de cuarto trimestre.

En otros lugares, Chevron agregó un 3 % después de anunciar un programa de recompra de acciones de 75 mil millones de dólares.

Wall Street está saliendo de una sesión mixta, pero todos los promedios principales se dirigen a ganancias semanales y mensuales. El Dow y el S&P han subida un 1,5 % y un 1,9 % en lo que va de semana, respectivamente. El Nasdaq ha ganado un 3,1 % esta semana y está al ritmo de su mejor mes desde julio.

El enfoque ahora se traslada a la política de la Reserva Federal de la próxima semana, donde se espera que el banco central anuncie un aumento de 25 puntos básicos mientras lucha contra la alta inflación. Los inversores estarán atentos a una pista sobre cuánto más tiene la intención de subir la Reserva Federal antes de que reduzca las tasas.
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Re: Jueves 27/01/23 PBI

Notapor admin » Jue Ene 26, 2023 11:39 am

LAST CHG %CHG
DJIA 33723.42 -20.42 -0.06
S&P 500 4027.33 11.11 0.28
Nasdaq Composite 11384.09 70.73 0.63
Japan: Nikkei 225 27362.75 -32.26 -0.12
UK: FTSE 100 7762.00 17.13 0.22
Crude Oil Futures 81.22 1.07 1.33
Gold Futures 1923.30 -19.30 -0.99
Ye
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Re: Jueves 27/01/23 PBI

Notapor admin » Jue Ene 26, 2023 11:40 am

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Re: Jueves 27/01/23 PBI

Notapor admin » Jue Ene 26, 2023 11:42 am

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Re: Jueves 27/01/23 PBI

Notapor admin » Jue Ene 26, 2023 8:53 pm

LAST CHG %CHG
DJIA 33949.41 205.57 0.61
S&P 500 4060.43 44.21 1.10
Nasdaq Composite 11512.41 199.06 1.76
Japan: Nikkei 225 27353.36 -9.39 -0.03
UK: FTSE 100 7761.11 16.24 0.21
Crude Oil Futures 81.19 0.18 0.22
Gold Futures 1931.50 1.50 0.08
Yen 129.68 -0.53 -0.41
Euro 1.0888
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