Miercoles 02/02/11 ADP report privado del empleo

[Victor VE]

Guerra civil?

[Maricielo]

RCZ a 0.36 inicialmente seria mi precio objetivo, para tenerlo en corto. Entré a 0.32.

Gracias por la precisión.

[admin]

+9.31%

[admin]

+14.64

[Victor VE]

Rio Cristal Resources RCZ MINERAS 0.34 01/02/2011 0.30 0.33 0.32 0.33 5,382,043 235 -2.94 US$ 1,658,222

[admin]

AKAM -2.16%

NR -2.21%

BVN -0.50%

F -3.27%

+12.90

[admin]

HAL +2.66%

MCP +6.58%

DAG +3.75%

ERX +1.32%

APC +2.13%

[admin]

DAG +4.13%

+9.80

[Victor VE]

La Fed supera a China y Japón como el mayor tenedor de bonos de Estados Unidos

La Reserva Federal ha superado a China como el mayor tenedor de bonos del Tesoro de Estados Unidos, y a partir de junio igualará la cifra combinada de bonos que tienen en conjunto China y Japón. Esto indica que la Reserva Federal pasará a ser dueña del 27 por ciento de los bonos emitidos por el Tesoro de Estados Unidos, cuando sus tenencias lleguen a los 1.600.000 millones de dólares (1,6 billones de dólares).

Este hecho no deja de ser significativo para un país que siempre ha contado con abundante y generoso financiamiento externo. Principalmente China y Japón han financiado en los últimos años los cuantiosos déficit de Estados Unidos mediante la compra de bonos del Tesoro. Pero esta vez, y a medida que China y Japón comienzan a desprenderse de estos bonos, será la propia Reserva Federal la que adquiere mayoritarias posiciones en los pasivos del Tesoro. Esta operación da cuenta del delicado estado financiero de la primera economìa del planeta, y confirma lo manifestado por Tim Geithner que Estados Unidos está al borde de la quiebra.

Las participaciones de la Fed llegarán a los 1,6 billones de dólares, casi igualando las tenencias combinadas de bonos de deuda soberana de Estados Unidos que tienen China y Japón. De acuerdo a los últimos datos del Tesoro, China tiene 896.000 millones de dólares y Japón posee actualmente 877.000 millones. Las tenencias en bonos soberanos de Estados Unidos en los bancos centrales de otros países llega a 2,6 billones de dólares.

Las compras de bonos de la Fed es una acción muy controvertida y demuestran que a Bernanke le gusta jugar con fuego. Por un lado, la Fed continúa cometiendo los mismos errores del pasado con las políticas del dinero barato que acumuló Alan Greenspan. Como se ha demostrado, fue la Fed de Alan Greenspan la que incubó la crisis con la polìtica de los bajos tipos de interés y la generosa concesión de créditos. Esta vez, las políticas de Bernanke no hacen más que incubar una nueva crisis y dilatar para más adelante la resolución de los conflictos actuales. Ambos hechos terminarán colisionando y su estallido sumergirá aún más a la economía más endeudada del planeta.

Fuente: http://www.elblogsalmon.com/mercados-fi ... um=twitter

No es ridículo eso??

[admin]

El Dow Jones sin mayor moviemiento subio 1.81 puntos hoy dia a 12,041.97 puntos, pero el S&P 500 y el Nasdaq cerraron ligeramente a la baja.

Oil up 90.97

[admin]

Las ganancias de News Corp fueron mas del doble

News Corp. son los duenios de Fox Broadcasting y Twentieth Century Fox film estudio.

News Corp. Profit More Than Doubles on TV Fees, Ad Sales
By Brett Pulley - Feb 2, 2011 4:04 PM ET
Signage is displayed on the garage entrance to the Fox Entertainment Group Inc. Studios building in Los Angeles. Photographer: Jonathan Alcorn/Bloomberg
News Corp., the owner of Fox Broadcasting and the Twentieth Century Fox film studio, said second-quarter profit more than doubled, driven by higher television subscriber fees and advertising sales.

Net income climbed to $642 million, or 24 cents a share, from $254 million, or 10 cents, a year earlier, the New York- based company said today in a statement. Excluding restructuring and impairment charges, earnings were 29 cents a share, compared with the 28-cent average of analysts’ estimates compiled by Bloomberg.

News Corp.’s Fox broadcast network, along with other broadcasters in the industry, sought fees from TV distributors last year for their TV signals that used to be free. Those payments, along with new revenue from newspapers’ Internet paywalls and a tablet-only news product, are part of Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Rupert Murdoch’s plan to get paid for content by subscribers.

Murdoch today introduced the Daily, a news publication tailored specifically for Apple Inc.’s iPad, in a bid to expand into delivering content only digitally. The publication will cost 99 cents a week, or $39.99 a year, and include high- definition video and 360-degree photos. News Corp. spent $30 million to get the publication off the ground, and it will cost about $500,000 a week to operate, Murdoch said.

Sales in the quarter ended Dec. 31 were little changed at $8.76 billion, compared with analysts’ $8.72 billion estimate.

News Corp., also the owner of Fox News and the Wall Street Journal, rose 41 cents, or 2.6 percent, to $16 at 4 p.m. New York time in Nasdaq Stock Market trading. The Class A shares have increased 9.9 percent this year.

As part of Murdoch’s efforts to add to subscription operations, the company is bidding for the 61 percent of pay-TV operator British Sky Broadcasting Group Plc it doesn’t already own. News Corp. is offering remedies to try to avoid a lengthy antitrust review of its 7.8 billion-pound ($12.6 billion) bid.

[carl_]

BCR compra US$ 97 millones y logra sostener al dólar en segunda intervención en el mercado

Lima, feb. 02 (ANDINA). El nuevo sol se mantuvo estable frente al dólar al cierre de la sesión de hoy, pese a la presión a la baja sobre el tipo de cambio, en un contexto en que el Banco Central de Reserva (BCR) intervino por segundo día sucesivo en el mercado comprando 97 millones de dólares.
De esta manera, el tipo de cambio terminó hoy en 2.767 soles por dólar, nivel similar al de la víspera.

[admin]

Que le VIX baja a sus niveles mas bajos en tes anios es la apuesta mas grande de los traders. Ya no hay tanta preocupacion de que el el mercado va a bajar mas.

El numero de outstanding May 15 pu options en el Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility subio a 54,527 de 8.318 en Enero 27 y fue el iaumento mas grande de un dia entre los contratos la semana pasada.

El mercado de valores indico que bajaria el 28 de Enero cuando las protestas aumentaron en Egipto.

Ahora ha habido un cambio que muestra que la volatilidad se mantendra baja por un buen tiempo.

Los inversionistas estan apostando a un bajo VIX, el cual esta en sus niveles mas bajos en casi una decada, lo cual reduce los precios de las opciones. Los compradores de los contratos que tienen mas ganancias si el IVX baja a 15 indican que el indice bajara a un nivel de 26% menor a su promedio anual de 21 anios o 20.38 y que caera mas de las dos terceras partes de el punto mas alto de 45.79 en Mayo.

El VIX mide las expectativas de los inversionistas de los movimientos del mercado durante los proximos 30 dias mediante una formula que incorpora la volatilidad implicita, una medida de los precios de las opciones, para los contratos del S&P 500 que expiran en uno o dos meses.


VIX Sinking to Three-Year Low Is Fastest-Growing Bet
By Jeff Kearns and Cecile Vannucci - Feb 2, 2011 9:45 AM ET
Traders are snapping up bets that the U.S. options market gauge known as the VIX will sink to a three- year low after concern that equities will retreat fades.

The number of outstanding May 15 put options on the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index jumped to 54,527 from 8,318 on Jan. 27 for the biggest one-day increase among all contracts during the past week, according to data compiled by Trade Alert LLC. The VIX, which measures the cost of insurance against losses in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index, fell to 17.63 yesterday. It surged the most since May on Jan. 28, rising to 20.04, as the S&P 500 posted the largest slump since August.

Equity market indicators showed U.S. stocks were poised for a retreat on Jan. 28, when protests in Egypt drove down shares around the world. The MSCI All-Country World Index recouped that retreat yesterday after manufacturing expanded in the U.S. and China. The VIX hasn’t closed below 15 since July 2007, a month before BNP Paribas SA barred withdrawals from funds that owned subprime loans and worsened the credit crisis.

“There’s been a clear shift in view that it’s at least possible that the market will remain in a low-volatility environment for a while,” said Jeremy Wien, head of VIX options trading at Chicago-based Peak6 Capital Management. “You don’t normally see people buy way out-of-the-money puts in VIX in such big size.”

Peak in May

Investors are betting on a lower VIX as the S&P 500’s historic volatility, a measure of past stock swings, remains near the lowest level in at least a decade, reducing options prices. Buyers of contracts that profit most if the VIX falls to 15 are wagering that the index will slip to a level 26 percent below its 21-year average of 20.38, and that it will drop by more than two-thirds from last year’s peak of 45.79 in May.

The VIX measures investor expectations for market swings over the next 30 days using a formula that incorporates the implied volatility, a key gauge of options prices, for S&P 500 contracts that are one or two months from expiration.

The options index added 0.1 percent to 17.65 at 9:43 a.m. New York time today.

May 18 puts had the second-biggest one-day increase, according to Trade Alert, jumping by 42,388 contracts, followed by April 15 puts, which grew by 41,057 contracts. Puts accounted for 7 of the 10 biggest gains.

Positive on Market

“This is a bearish bet on volatility, which could be viewed as a positive bet on the marketplace,” said Dominic Salvino, a specialist at Group One Trading, the primary market maker for VIX options. “If the market goes up, you’d see volatility coming in -- that’s what this position is hoping for.”

Total open interest for VIX puts increased 33 percent to 1.76 million in the week ended Jan. 31. That boosted the ratio of outstanding puts to calls to 0.55, up from a nine-month low of 0.45 on Jan. 21. The ratio surged 12 percent, the most in four months, on Jan. 28.

The VIX fell to a three-year low of 15.45 on Dec. 22 as the S&P 500 moved in its narrowest range since April 2007 and rose for a fifth day, reaching a two-year high. The stock benchmark’s 21-day historic volatility, a gauge of past price swings, has fallen to 11.56 from 86.53 in November 2008 and dropped to 4.64 on Dec. 31, the lowest in at least a decade.

Hedging Stocks

Short sellers may be buying VIX puts to reduce their risk from losing on bets that the stock market will retreat, according to Joshua Parker, who oversees $360 million in options and stocks at Gargoyle Asset Management LLC in Englewood, New Jersey. Short sellers borrow stocks and sell them in the hope of profiting by repurchasing the securities later at a lower price and returning them to the holder.

“Since the VIX moves in the opposite direction of the market, the buyers could be hedging their short positions,” Parker said. “The market’s being driven by people wanting to buy those puts.”

Bearish bets against S&P 500 companies rose last month for the first time since September as short sellers increased speculation stocks may decline after the benchmark gauge soared to the highest level since August 2008. The proportion of S&P 500 shares available for trading -- or float -- that was sold short on Jan. 14 rose to 3.99 percent, up from 3.93 percent two weeks before, according to data compiled by U.S. exchanges and Bloomberg.

The S&P 500 rose 13 percent in 2010, bringing the advance since March 2009 to 86 percent, the biggest rally for a comparable period since 1955, according to data compiled by Bloomberg and S&P. The benchmark equity index posted the largest gain for consecutive years since 1999. The index climbed 2.3 percent in January after more than 70 percent of S&P 500 companies beat quarterly profit forecast.

“This market still has the momentum to the upside,” said Joseph Cusick, senior market analyst at OptionsXpress Holdings Inc., a Chicago-based online brokerage. “The fundamentals are still very strong.”

[admin]

BAC dice que esta a punto de vender Balboa a la Australia QBE.

El ciclon en Australia se estima costara $1.6 billones en ese pais, el azucar en su precio mas alto por ese motivo.

Las entradas al Super Bowl cuestan un promedio de $5,000 (que horror!!)

[admin]

Google abre su tienda de aplicaciones como AAPL

Las ganancias de Visa aumentaron 16%

Fith Third cerca a salir de TARP