por admin » Mar May 31, 2011 1:37 pm
El cobre sigue subiendo aunque se hable de poco crecimiento
El Doctor cobre sabe algo que no sabemos?
No todos los indicadores estan apuntando hacia abajo, el cobre esta subiendo. El doctor cobre tiene un PhD en economia.
Copper Prices Rising Even as Slow Patch Talk Grows
By Dave Kansas
Is Dr. C seeing something others are not?
Plenty of Slow Patch chatter out there today, including some talking about a Slower Slow Patch.
But not everything is pointing down. Dr. Copper has stirred in the past few weeks, not that anyone would notice.
Markets tend to move in herds, and the herd has become fixated on the Slow Patch. Each data report gets interpreted through a lens of darkness. Words like “grim” and “this isn’t good” pepper commentary. In this frame of mind, potentially countervailing notions are overlooked.
Which brings us back to Dr. Copper, named so because its predictive qualities give it a Ph.D in economics. As a “base” metal, it has widespread use, and China demand plays a big role. When it’s going up, that’s usually a positive indicator about prospective growth.
Dr. Copper peaked on Feb. 14 at $4.63 a pound on Nymex, according to FactSet. It then began a long, hard decline, anticipating the spate of weak economic news that would come later. After the early May commodities blow-off, Copper stood at $3.91 a pound on May 11.
Since then, it has steadily chugged higher. It is currently on a three-week winning streak and is up 5.5% during that run. At $4.18 a pound, Dr. C remains well off its Feb. 14 high, but its steady turnaround isn’t being noticed by the increasingly gloomy herd.
Dr. Copper’s rally, along with oil prices popping back above $100 a barrel, indicate that a couple pockets of the market aren’t quite buying the Slower Slow Patch meme. If data this week — Wednesday’s ISM, Friday’s Jobs report — surprise to the upside, expect Copper’s recent run to get a lot more attention.