Viernes 05/08/11 Situacion del empleo

[Raiden]

ALT a niveles de 0.13 en la BVL,
SCCO a niveles de menores a 28 (26 ya seria un obsequio)
FAS por debajo de los 17

[El_Diez]

Luego de revisar mi grafico de los indices norteamericanos nuevamente (Dow, SP 500) llego a dos conclusiones, voy a comentar mi hipótesis mas positiva solamente,
Los índices de EEUU (Dow, SP 500) no han terminado de caer, van a formar todavía dos sub ondas de la onda C de la pauta correctiva del ciclo iniciado en julio del 2010, una sub onda impulsiva (lo que ustedes lo conocen como rebote) y otra sub onda correctiva EN ESE ORDEN para dar por terminado la pauta correctiva (cada sub onda durará X días en formarse), esto es lo que se conoce como un pullback bajista del HCH que se formó, cuando los índices norteamericanos comiencen a formar la sub onda correctiva esta sub onda es la que llevara a los índices mucho mas abajo del mínimo que hemos visto el día de hoy hasta formar un piso.

[El_Diez]

¿Cuando empieza el rebote?, eso no lo tengo muy claro.

[El_Diez]

Mi hipótesis más negativa me lo guardo y la comentare en otro momento en caso que mi hipótesis positiva no se cumpla.

[admin]

El Hang Seng -4.29%, el Nikkei -3.38%, Australia -3.92%, Korea -3.53%

Euro up 1.4138

Ag up 39.28

Euro up 1.4112

Los futures del Dow Jones 11 puntos a la baja.

[admin]

Copper August 04,21:39
Bid/Ask 4.1989 - 4.2011
Change -0.0380 -0.90%
Low/High 4.1853 - 4.2383
Charts

Nickel August 04,21:39
Bid/Ask 10.5001 - 10.5091
Change -0.1837 -1.72%
Low/High 10.4547 - 10.7042
Charts

Aluminum August 04,21:39
Bid/Ask 1.0973 - 1.0995
Change -0.0118 -1.06%
Low/High 1.0964 - 1.1105
Charts

Zinc August 04,21:38
Bid/Ask 1.0140 - 1.0157
Change -0.0357 -3.40%
Low/High 1.0112 - 1.0500
Charts

Lead August 04,21:38
Bid/Ask 1.0983 - 1.1024
Change -0.0141 -1.26%
Low/High 1.0972 - 1.1178

[Ed_Alex]

ALT a niveles de 0.13 en la BVL,
SCCO a niveles de menores a 28 (26 ya seria un obsequio)
FAS por debajo de los 17

BAP en 85 y BVN en 37, veamos que pasa mañana

[admin]

VIX up 31.66

Los futures del Dow Jones 1 punto a la baja.

Oil down 85.65

Au down 1,651

Yen up 78.67

[admin]

El dolar y el franco al alza en la semana.

El VIX no subia tanto desde Febrero.

El money market rate cae dabajo de cero.

Los bonos americanos tienen la mayor ganancia semanal desde el 2008.

[admin]

La regulacion de Obama le costara a las companias $10 billones al anio.

[admin]

El Asia se hunde, junto con los demas mercados globales.

Se produciran mas ventas si el reporte del empleo en US no es bueno.

Asia Slumps, Joins Global Rout

By SHRI NAVARATNAM
SINGAPORE--Asian shares succumbed to heavy selling Friday, while the euro and other risk-sensitive currencies were knocked hard, amid intensifying worries European debt problems and U.S. economic woes could tip the global economy into a double-dip recession.

The U.S. dollar and Swiss franc shone as worried investors looked for a safe home for their investments.

"The past week's market downdraft has been associated, above all, with growing evidence that the second quarter global 'soft patch' is not giving way to a third quarter rebound as quickly as might have been hoped," Barclays Capital said in a note to clients.

It said the U.S. jobs report later in the global day will be a key focus. "The U.S. economy stands at the forefront of market concerns about growth. If the July employment report ratifies the view that the U.S. recovery remains barely above stall speed, there is more selling to be done," the bank said.

Regional stock markets were hammered after steep losses on Wall Street Thursday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average plunging 512.76 point or 4.31%, marking the biggest single-day point loss since Dec. 1, 2008.

Japan's Nikkei Stock Average tumbled 3.6%, after touching its lowest levels in more than four months, Australia's S&P/ASX 200 lost 3.9%, touching a two-year low. South Korea's Kospi Composite fell 3.6% and New Zealand's NZX-50 lost 2.4%.

The U.S. dollar and the Swiss franc drew heavy safe-haven demand, with the euro and other risk-sensitive currencies knocked back harshly. Against its Swiss counterpart, the euro slumped to CHF1.0760, after touching a new all-time low of CHF1.0710, from CHF1.0769 late Thursday in New York.

The euro was at ¥111.17 against the yen, from ¥111.27 and $1.4098 against the greenback, from $1.4100. The yen rose against the U.S. dollar amid the heightened risk-aversion, partially knocking back Japanese authorities' yen-selling intervention efforts Thursday. The dollar was at ¥78.84, after rising above ¥79.40 in the first few hours of Thursday's intervention.

Lead September Japanese government bond futures were up 0.33 at 142.54, on Thursday's Bank of Japan's additional easing steps and safe-haven buying on the back of sharp gains in U.S. Treasurys.

In Tokyo, exporters took a beating. Sony lost 3.5% and Toyota Motor fell 3.6%.

"Concerns about the outlook of the U.S. economy have been stronger than worries about a firmer yen," said Monex market analyst Toshiyuki Kanayama. In Sydney, the worries about global economy prompted heavy selling in cyclicals, with BHP Billiton off 4.1% and retailer David Jones down 6.1%.

Oil prices continued to retreat after diving more than 5% Thursday to their lowest level in six months on global demand concerns; September Nymex crude oil futures were recently down 19 cents at $86.42. The broad selloff in commodities also hit gold prices. Spot gold was fetching $1,643 per troy ounce, down $5.00 from New York trade.

[Victor VE]

ALT a niveles de 0.13 en la BVL,
SCCO a niveles de menores a 28 (26 ya seria un obsequio)
FAS por debajo de los 17

SCCO a 26 es para comprar con camion y enterrar esas acciones en una mina de sal.

[Victor VE]

ALT a niveles de 0.13 en la BVL,
SCCO a niveles de menores a 28 (26 ya seria un obsequio)
FAS por debajo de los 17

BAP en 85 y BVN en 37, veamos que pasa mañana

BAP la veo en 82, o sea 10% abajo, no seria raro, hay que ser mas radicales, nada de conservadores.
BVN en 35
FAS en 16

[admin]

Maniana las cifras que todos estan esperando, el pronostico promedio es de una creacion de 75,000 empleos y el nivel de desempleo igual a 9.2%.

Esto esta bonito: la vara para complacer al mercado esta bastante baja, pero quien sabe. La tierra sera tragada en un lago de fuego maniana temprano, o lloveran unicorios y dinero?

A las 3 p.m. tendremos las cifras del credito dadas por el Fed, para los que todavia esten respirando/blogueando a esa hora.

Reporta Procter & Gamble.

Tomorrow’s Tape: The Number You’ve All Been Waiting For

By Mark Gongloff

Economics:

8:30 a.m.: The most important number in the history of the universe, until next month’s number: Nonfarm payrolls and unemployment for July. We will be live-blogging it here! Economists think 75,000 new payroll jobs were created, following June’s abysmal 18,000 gain, and they think the unemployment rate will hold steady at 9.2%. The bar for pleasing the depressed stock market would seem to be quite low, but who knows. Will the earth be swallowed up in a lake of fire tomorrow morning, or will it rain unicorns and money? Like I said, we’ll be live-blogging it.
3:00 p.m.: We get consumer-credit numbers from the Fed, for anybody who’s still trading/breathing by this point.
Earnings: We get reports from:

Procter & Gamble

[Victor VE]

Admin, me gusto esa de: " La tierra sera tragada en un lago de fuego maniana temprano, o lloveran unicorios y dinero? " , estas inspirada a estas horas