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[El_Diez]

Mario , la diferencia entre tu conteo y el mio esta en el conteo que le das a la segunda Onda, para ti es una onda 3 ya terminada y ahora esta formando una onda 4 , mientras que para mi no es una Onda 3 sino solo una parte de la Onda 3 lo que la denomino una Sub onda 1 ya terminada de una onda 3 que sera mucho mas grande y ahora esta formando una sub onda 2 de la Onda 3, una vez terminada esta sub onda 2 se va a venir la mejor fase impulsiva , la sub fase 3 de la onda 3, se va a venir la mejor etapa alcista para estos indices de USA

[admin]

A los que quieran publicitar sus propios blogs, forums, etc, les pido que pongan el link the inversionperu.com primero en sus sites antes de poner la publicidad aqui. Muchas gracias.

[El_Diez]

Observando el grafico del Dow se puede ver que la pauta impulsiva – 5 fases ( encerrada en la circunferencia) no logró superar los máximos niveles alcanzados en este año como yo especule que podría lograrlo ….. el retroceso de los tres últimos días es el inicio de una simple corrección de la pauta impulsiva que tuvo. ……… Esta corrección se volvería peligroso únicamente si el grafico del índice consigue formar el HCH (color morado) y peor aun si logra romper el piso hacia abajo, en ese caso si estaríamos ante una corrección muy peligrosa, por el momento es solo una simple pauta correctiva de la pauta impulsiva formada,

Dow Jones A1.jpg (82.94 KiB) Visto 27122 veces

[manuel]

Una consulta amigos, como puedo instar el Metastock en mi PC, les agradezco su respuestas, saludos.

[El_Diez]

Si lo que quieres es instalar el MetaStock de manera legal en tu computadora adquiriendo la licencia tienes que comunicarte con esta persona.

Gonzalo F. Chu
MetaStock Autorized Reseller
Celular: 998263403
Nextel 826*3403

[Luis04]

Mario quedaste en enviarnos links donde podriamos aprender sobre analisis tecnico. Saludos

[Luis04]

Gracias Mario.
Saludos

[jonibol]

DNT - Largo plazo
Interesante conformación de ondas. En el corto plazo lucha por romper el canal bajista en anaranjado que de conseguirlo sería una importante señal alcista. Ello puede ir asociado a las noticias recientes, todas positivas sobre la empresa que, creo yo, desembocarán en su venta.

[admin]

AT

Tom DeMark dice que el S&P 500 subira arriba de 1,250 esta semana antes de caer 5.6%

Avanzara 4% esta semana antes de que la estacion de utilidades termine.

Tom DeMark Says S&P 500 to Rise Above 1,250 This Week Before Dropping 5.6%
By Lu Wang - Oct 18, 2011 11:52 AM ET .
The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index may advance about 4 percent this week before the gain ends, according to Tom DeMark, the creator of indicators meant to identify turning points in the price of securities.

DeMark, whose prediction last month that the S&P 500’s decline would stop at 1,076 proved prescient when the index bottomed at 1,074.77, said the rally that lifted the benchmark as much as 14 percent since then will fizzle. The S&P 500 will rise as high as 1,254 before falling at least 5.6 percent, he wrote in an e-mail today.

“This rally should squeeze short sellers and exhaust late buying,” said DeMark, the founder of Market Studies LLC. “The rally should be fast.”

The benchmark gauge for U.S. equities jumped 11 percent in the nine days ended Oct. 14, the biggest advance since March 2009, on optimism over corporate earnings and steps by European leaders to support banks. The rebound brought the gauge close to the top of a price range between 1,074.77 and 1,230.71, where it’s traded for more than two months. The index gained 0.8 percent to 1,210.74 at 11:44 a.m. New York time.

The S&P 500 would produce a sell signal today by closing above its Oct. 12 close of 1,207.25, marking the ninth consecutive day that the benchmark exceeded its final price four days earlier, DeMark said. A close above a two-month high of 1,224.58 reached on Oct. 14 would “perfect” the sell setup, according to DeMark, who has spent more than 40 years developing indicators with names like “sequential” and “countdown.”

The model calls for “one day of grace” should the index fail today to surpass its close four days ago. In that case, should tomorrow’s open exceed the Oct. 12 close, it would suffice for the sell setup, DeMark said.

DeMark, an adviser to Steven A. Cohen’s SAC Capital Advisors LP, provided consulting to hedge funds including George Soros’s Soros Fund Management LLC and Leon Cooperman’s Omega Advisors Inc. Advisors Inc. He said during an interview on Aug. 16 that some European banks are “bottoming right now” and companies such as Societe Generale SA, BNP Paribas SA, UBS AG and Credit Agricole SA “look like buys.”

To contact the reporter on this story: Lu Wang in New

[admin]

AT

El S&P 500 debe romper fuera de la banda para indicar senial de compra

El S&P500 (SPX) esta confinandose en una banda mas angosta entre su 200 day moving average y la linea de bajas sucesivas, y la mejor oportunidad de compra sera cuando rompa esa resistencia de acuerdo a Auerbach Grayson &Co.

El llamado patron, formado entre las alzas mas bajas y las caidas mas altas, reflejan la indecision de inversionista, y el S&P 500 permanece vulnerable a la volatilidad mientras se quede en ese rango, dijo Richard Gross, technical analyst en NY.

Los inversionistas deben " hacer trading en la direccion de la ruptura," comprando acciones si el S&P 500 cierra arriba de 1,263, el 200-day moving average, o vender si cierra debajo de 1,175, la cual es la linea que conecta el punto mas bajo del 29 de Noviembre con la del 4 de Octubre.

El market esta atrapado, en cuanto salga de ese patron, definira la tendencia a seguir y podremos negociar en esa direccion.

S&P 500 Index Must Break Out of Band to Signal Buying: Technical Analysis
By Cecile Vannucci - Dec 12, 2011 12:07 PM ET .
The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (SPX) is getting confined in a narrowing band between its 200-day moving average and a line of successive lows, and the best buying opportunity will arise only when it breaks out of that ceiling, according to Auerbach Grayson & Co.

The so-called coil pattern, formed by lower highs and higher lows, reflects investor indecision, and the S&P 500 remains vulnerable to volatility as long as it stays within that range, Richard Ross, a technical analyst at the New York-based brokerage, said.

Investors should “trade in the direction of the breakout,” buying stocks if the S&P 500 closes above 1,263, the 200-day moving average, or selling the index if it closes below about 1,175, which is on a trend line connecting the low on Nov. 29 with that of Oct. 4.

“The market is at a deadlock,” Ross said in a telephone interview today. “The coil is more indecisive. It speaks to that battle between the bulls and the bears. When you finally get a breakout from that coil, you win in a dramatic fashion and you really want to trade in that direction.”

The benchmark U.S. equity measure lost 0.9 percent this year through Dec. 9 and rebounded 14 percent from the Oct. 3 low. The S&P 500 hit its 200-day moving average three times this month during intraday trading, failing to close above it.

Volatility, as measured by the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, also known as VIX (VIX), closed at 26.38 last week, 28 percent above its historical average of 20.56 since January 1990, Bloomberg data show.

In technical analysis, investors and analysts study charts of trading patterns and prices to predict changes in a security or index.