Viernes 21/10/11 Esperando soluciones en Europa

[admin]

Alemania +2.19%

+96

[admin]

SLB reporto debajo de lo esperado -1.90%

[admin]

+102

[admin]

Faltan los resultados de V

Oil up 87.16

[admin]

El Medio Oriente mira a las lecciones que deja Libya

La muerte de Gadhafi endurecera las batallas entre lso rebeldes y los gobiernos de Syria y Yemen, dicen los analistas. Son siete meses de insurreccion en Syria contra el presidente Bashar al-Assad.

El Domingo son las elecciones en Tunisia, mientras tanto sigue la violencia en Egipto.

OCTOBER 21, 2011

Mideast Looks to Libya for Lessons

By NOUR MALAS
Moammar Gadhafi's death in Libya is likely to harden the battle lines in coming days between protesters and embattled leaders of Syria and Yemen, analysts said. But ultimately, they expect the event will be polarizing—providing some Arab protesters with a model of a successful overthrow of a brutal dictator, while giving others a sobering reminder of its costs.

Libyans celebrate in Tripoli's Martyrs' Square on Thursday following news of Gadhafi's death in Sirte.
For Syria, more than seven months into a stalemate between protesters and President Bashar al-Assad's regime, Gadhafi's death shows one outcome of a military intervention—which Syrian protesters and the international community have until now both eyed warily for that country at the region's center.

Gadhafi's death comes amid preparations for Sunday's elections in Tunisia, where this year's regionwide protests first brought down an Arab leader. Unlike in Libya's bloody battle, protesters in Tunisia quickly ousted the president with little bloodshed. In Egypt, bouts of violence continue to threaten the transition from military rule. The three countries' paths to democratic rule will provide early blueprints for political change in the region.

On Thursday, some people said images described as showing Gadhafi's final moments, broadcast by Arab satellite channels, were startling and alarming. For thousands of protesters facing violence on the streets of Syria and Yemen, the television shots—including one in which Gadhafi appears to be kicked around—showed the fragility of what they long saw as their region's unshakable strongmen.

"Three dictators down in 10 months in North Africa, with the promise of perhaps two more in the region—it's extraordinary," said Salman Shaikh, director of the Brookings Doha Center, a think tank in Qatar. "It's now getting to the proportions of 1989 in Europe."

Deposed leader Moammar Gadhafi was killed in the city of his birth as Libyan forces overtook his last remaining stronghold, setting the stage for the country to reinvent itself after a 42-year dictatorship. Margaret Coker has details on The News Hub.
.Online in the region, activists circulated a cartoon bearing the images of five regional leaders, with red X's marked through the portraits of toppled heads of Tunisia, Egypt and now Libya. The cartoon depicted a painter dragging his brush toward the watchful caricatures of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and Yemeni President Ali Abdullah Saleh.

"It's Ali's turn," protesters chanted in San'a, Yemen's capital. Demonstrators in Syria chanted "Zenga zenga, dar dar, your turn is next Bashar"—playing on a phrase Gadafhi used in a speech vowing to root out Libyan protesters.

In Syria, where elements of the opposition have lately grown more violent, Gadhafi's overthrow is only likely to spur larger protests and a harsher official crackdown, analysts said.

But in the longer term, they said, some protesters will push to topple Mr. Assad by whatever means, with more already calling for an international no-fly zone, and asking why they shouldn't take up arms. But others are likely to grow more wary of change as Libya emerges unsteadily from its bloody conflict.

WSJ reporter Guy Chazan and Mean Street host Evan Newmark discuss the impact of former Libyan leader Moammar Gadhafi's death on oil markets. AP Photo/Hassene Dridi
.Analysts drew two parallels between Syria and Libya, which they say will be closely watched in coming weeks. Much as Libyans based their rebel movement in the eastern city of Benghazi, a growing movement of defected Syrian army officers have appealed for international help to create a safe zone, either along the border with Turkey or with Lebanon, that could turn into a base for defectors and the broader opposition. Those border areas have seen some of the fiercest fighting between army and defectors, and could potentially be guarded by regional powers.

Meanwhile, the apparent success of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization's Libya campaign has set a precedent for international coordination, through the so-called Libya Contact Group, that could be copied to move forward discussions between the U.S., Europe, Turkey, and Arab states on how to protect civilians in Syria.

A young boy waves Libya's National Transitional Council flag during a gathering of Tunisians and Libyans living in Tunisia after the announcement of the death of Moammar Gadhafi.
.It is also likely to intensify the debate, internationally and domestically, on the risks that any international intervention in Syria would arouse an increasingly hostile response from Mr. Assad's government, which blames the unrest on a foreign conspiracy. Any armed conflict in Syria also risks fueling a broader regional conflict, neighboring states and Western diplomats worry.

To date, foreign capitals have shown little appetite for intervention in Syria.

But Najib Ghadbian, a U.S.-based member of the Syrian National Council, an opposition umbrella group, said Gadhafi's ouster could help dampen concerns over international intervention. "Those criticisms that were launched against NATO that it moved beyond civilian protection, and of how the operation was handled, will be less relevant now with this outcome," said Mr. Ghadbian, who visited Tripoli this week as part of a delegation from the Council.

Libya's National Transition Council—the kind of alternate government that the Syrian Council hopes it will evolve into—last week offered the SNC the first recognition of legitimacy as an alternative to the government in Damascus, bolstering activists.

Syrians have increasingly taken inspiration from what they see as a costly but necessary fight against Gadhafi, said Mr. Ghadbian. "You definitely see a new Libya throughout the country," he said of his latest travels through the country. "We do, in Syria, have a distrust of any foreign intervention, along the lines of Iraq—nobody wants that. But some people who were skeptical about Libya will definitely be less so."

[admin]

Steve Jobs no quiso operarse, demoro la intervencion, gran error. El que ha escrito su biografia con la autorizacion de Steve esta dando entrevistas para la television.

[admin]

Obama y los democratas no entienden o se hacen?

----------

El Senado bloqueo una propuesta de enviar $35 billones a los estados para contratar mas profesores y otros empleados publicos, esta es la segunda derrota del estimulo de Obama.

Senadores democratas del mismo partido de Obama votaron en contra del presidente.


POLITICSOCTOBER 21, 2011

Senate Blocks Funds for State Workers

By NAFTALI BENDAVID
WASHINGTON—The Senate blocked a proposal Thursday to send $35 billion to states to retain or rehire teachers and other public sector workers, marking a second setback for President Barack Obama's jobs package.

The vote was 50-50 on a procedural issue, leaving the bill short of the 60 votes it needed to advance.

Democratic Sens. Ben Nelson of Nebraska and Mark Pryor of Arkansas broke with their party in opposing the measure. Independent Sen. Joseph Lieberman of Connecticut also voted to block the bill.

All Republican senators opposed the measure. Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R., Ky.) had called the provision to help states cover the cost of public-sector workers a "bailout." He criticized the plan to pay for the measure with a 0.5% surcharge on incomes over $1 million, which he said would affect many small businesses.

It was the first measure that Senate Democrats had attempted to move as a stand-alone bill after the Senate last week blocked a broader jobs package that Mr. Obama had proposed.

At the same time, senators blocked a Republican plan, advanced by Mr. McConnell, to stop the government from withholding 3% of its contractor payments and apply the money to their taxes. Versions of both proposals are in Mr. Obama's jobs package. The vote on that provision was 57-43, three votes short of the 60 needed for the measure to advance.

Mr. Obama spent three days this week traveling through North Carolina and Virginia advocating for his jobs bill, especially the teacher-hiring provision. Vice President Joseph Biden led a boisterous rally on Capitol Hill Wednesday featuring teachers and fire fighters and he talked up the measure again Thursday in New Hampshire.

That package included a payroll tax cut, tax credits for hiring veterans and a national infrastructure bank, among other provisions.Mr. McConnell's proposal was aimed at a new requirement that federal, state and local governments withhold 3% from most payments to contractors, starting in January 2013. This would then be applied to their taxes.

Mr. Obama's recent advocacy for the bill and speeches are intended to depict him as pushing for job creation in the face of stubborn Republican opposition. Republicans say they are eager to pass the parts of the jobs bill that have bipartisan support, but so far Congress has been unable to do that.

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D., Nev.) had said that helping states retain teachers was hardly a bailout, and that Republican opposition to the idea was largely political.

Mr. Obama's bill would delay that provision for a year, but Mr. McConnell wants to repeal it altogether. Mr. McConnell's proposal would cost $11.2 billion over 10 years—that's how much the government would gain by withholding the 3%—and it would have been offset it by cutting $30 billion in other spending, which Democrats opposed.

[admin]

Obama y los democratas no entienden o se hacen?

----------

El Senado bloqueo una propuesta de enviar $35 billones a los estados para contratar mas profesores y otros empleados publicos, esta es la segunda derrota del estimulo de Obama.

Senadores democratas del mismo partido de Obama votaron en contra del presidente.


POLITICSOCTOBER 21, 2011

Senate Blocks Funds for State Workers

By NAFTALI BENDAVID
WASHINGTON—The Senate blocked a proposal Thursday to send $35 billion to states to retain or rehire teachers and other public sector workers, marking a second setback for President Barack Obama's jobs package.

The vote was 50-50 on a procedural issue, leaving the bill short of the 60 votes it needed to advance.

Democratic Sens. Ben Nelson of Nebraska and Mark Pryor of Arkansas broke with their party in opposing the measure. Independent Sen. Joseph Lieberman of Connecticut also voted to block the bill.

All Republican senators opposed the measure. Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R., Ky.) had called the provision to help states cover the cost of public-sector workers a "bailout." He criticized the plan to pay for the measure with a 0.5% surcharge on incomes over $1 million, which he said would affect many small businesses.

It was the first measure that Senate Democrats had attempted to move as a stand-alone bill after the Senate last week blocked a broader jobs package that Mr. Obama had proposed.

At the same time, senators blocked a Republican plan, advanced by Mr. McConnell, to stop the government from withholding 3% of its contractor payments and apply the money to their taxes. Versions of both proposals are in Mr. Obama's jobs package. The vote on that provision was 57-43, three votes short of the 60 needed for the measure to advance.

Mr. Obama spent three days this week traveling through North Carolina and Virginia advocating for his jobs bill, especially the teacher-hiring provision. Vice President Joseph Biden led a boisterous rally on Capitol Hill Wednesday featuring teachers and fire fighters and he talked up the measure again Thursday in New Hampshire.

That package included a payroll tax cut, tax credits for hiring veterans and a national infrastructure bank, among other provisions.Mr. McConnell's proposal was aimed at a new requirement that federal, state and local governments withhold 3% from most payments to contractors, starting in January 2013. This would then be applied to their taxes.

Mr. Obama's recent advocacy for the bill and speeches are intended to depict him as pushing for job creation in the face of stubborn Republican opposition. Republicans say they are eager to pass the parts of the jobs bill that have bipartisan support, but so far Congress has been unable to do that.

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D., Nev.) had said that helping states retain teachers was hardly a bailout, and that Republican opposition to the idea was largely political.

Mr. Obama's bill would delay that provision for a year, but Mr. McConnell wants to repeal it altogether. Mr. McConnell's proposal would cost $11.2 billion over 10 years—that's how much the government would gain by withholding the 3%—and it would have been offset it by cutting $30 billion in other spending, which Democrats opposed.

[admin]

Obama es bien vivo y cree que todos nos chupamos el dedo.

Por que quiere contratar mas empleados publicos cuando el pais esta quebrado y los estados no pueden pagar sueldos y pensiones? la respuesta es obvia, todos los empleados publicos son sindicalizados, al tener trabajo pagan a sus sindicatos y el sindicato le manda el dinero derechito a la campania de reeleccion de Obama. Como todos sabemos los sueldos de los empleados publicos son pagados por nuestros impuestos, mas del 50% no quiere la reeleccion de Obama, sin embargo estamos indirectamente dando contribuciones a la campania de Obama.

Los democratas son bien vivos.

[admin]

El Fed dijo que la prohibicion del short selling es un error. Estudios demuestran que no tuvieron efecto. Esa prohibicion afecto a la economia. Precio $604 millones, aumento el spread en 10%.

[admin]

No mas anios

Mas y mas parece que Obama no sera reelegido

Las ultima encuestas muestran que Obama pierde frente a los republicanos por 6% (Rasmussen) 8% (Gallup) y 11% (ABC)

76% piensa que el pais esta en el sendero equivocado. Aprobacion-desaprobacion segun Rasmussen es 19%-41%

51%-41% dice que no se merece cuatro anios mas.

55%-37% piensa que un republicano ganara las elecciones. Y es 54%-36% entre los independientes.

Y estas son las esperanzas puestas en las manos de los republicanos:

Se espera que si los republicanos toman el control de la Casa Blanca, el Senado y la Casa de Representantes en Enero del 2013, ellos reduciran el deficit federal, el gasto, por lo menos a niveles de porcentajes del PBI (GDP) de loso 15 anios previos a Obama o antes del 2009. Tambien se espera que equilibraran el presupuesto y reduciran la intromision del gobierno. Ya el Congreso ha progresado en aprobar los TLC (gracias a los republicanos) Lo mas importantes es reducir el desempleo a 4% o 5%, repeler la regulacion, la ley de Dodd-Frank que le costara al pais 4.6 millones para el 2015, si se implementa. Tambien se eliminara la regulacion de energia de Obama para dar rienda suelta a la inmensa creacion de empleos que producira ese sector.

Agreguen la eliminacion total del seguro de Obama ObamaCare, dandole a los Americanos mayor control individual sobre su salud, mayor flexibilidad para que los estados controlen Medicaid y mayor flexibilidad y mas opciones para el individuo y Medicare.

Tambien se necesita reformar el codigo de impuestos y los creditos e implementar un sistema de bajos impuestos para todos, lo que ayudara a que la economia crezca de nuevo. Todo, desde el plan de Cain el 9-9-9 asi como todos los demas reconocen lo errado que es nuestro sistema de impuestos y que es necesario bajar los impuestos para ampliar la base de pago de impuestos.

Para concluir, Mr. Gardiner escribe en su articulo respecto a la administracion ed Obama: Esta es una presidencia en crisis, sin liderago, con las politicas equivocadas y actualmente camino al fracaso en la reeleccion del 2012. El tiempo lo dira, pero ahora las encuestan muestran a los Americanos mas y mas frustrado por las consecuencias de las politicas de Obama, la conclusion parece la correcta.

OUTSIDE THE BOXOCTOBER 21, 2011.

No More Years
Obama looks increasingly likely to lose. What then?

By PETE DU PONT
Just two years ago it seemed highly unlikely that Barack Obama would turn out to be a one-term president. But looking at voters' frustrations with our continuing economic problems and the growth of federal government intrusiveness during Mr. Obama's first term, more and more commentators are saying this may actually come to pass. Of course a lot can happen over a year, and we should never underestimate the power of incumbency (or the benefit Democratic presidents have with the press). The question is whether, even with these advantages, the president can possibly win re-election without significant good news on the economic front. The other question is: If Obama does lose, what will the new Republicans in the White House and, presumably, Congress do, and what should they do?

The current polls are not encouraging for the president. The latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows him trailing a generic Republican by 6%. Gallup shows the generic Republican up by 8%, and the ABC News/Washington Post poll finds 11% more disapprove than approve of the president. Rasmussen has strong presidential approval at 19% and strong disapproval at 41%. The RealClearPolitics average last week shows just 17% think our nation is on the right track, and 76% think it is on the wrong-track. Rasmussen also reports that just 16% of likely voters think the country is headed in the right direction, down 16 points from last year.

Now comes an Investors Business Daily/TIPP survey showing, according to IBD, that a "majority of Americans now oppose giving President Obama a second term, and that by 51%-41% respondents in October picking 'someone new deserves a chance,' over Obama 'deserves to be re-elected.' Among independents it was 54%-36%".

And it gets worse. The current ABC News/Washington Post polling finds that 55% of American people believe a Republican will win the election, and 37% that Obama will win. Democrats expect to win by 58% to 33% percent, while Republicans believe they will win 83% to 13%. By 54% to 36%, independents think a Republican will beat Mr. Obama.

Nile Gardiner of London's Daily Telegraph reports that Gallup polling shows "little confidence among the public that the administration's big government approach is going to succeed in creating jobs and getting the economy back on its feet." Fifty-six percent of Americans are very dissatisfied with the ways things are going in our country. Only 11% are satisfied and 1% very satisfied.

In addition there are numerous presidential prediction models and most of them are heavily influenced by the economy in the period leading up to the elections. With our country's current economic weakness and little hope for material improvement in the upcoming year, it is doubtful that these models will provide much comfort for the White House.

More important is to think through what America's public policies will be if Republicans control the White House, the Senate and House come January 2013. Simply put, if Republicans win they will reduce federal spending--hopefully back to where it was as a percentage of GDP in the 15 years before 2009. One may also hope they will balance the budget and scale back the intrusiveness of the federal government. Already Congress has made progress in expanding free trade, having just approved new trade agreements with Colombia, Panama and South Korea. Most important are the reduction of unemployment back to 4% or 5% and repeal of the Dodd-Frank law, which is estimated to cost America 4.6 million jobs by 2015. Rolling back the regulation of energy is also needed to unleash our potential.

Add in the repeal of ObamaCare, and we would move away from government intrusion and regulation of health care, allowing us to make the changes necessary to give people more individual choices, give Medicare enrollees more flexibility and choice, and provide more flexibility to our states in handling Medicaid.

We need to reform the tax code, too—reduce deductions and credits and put in place lower tax rates for everyone, which will help get the economy going forward again. Everything from Herman Cain's 9-9-9 tax reform plan to the president's own Erskine-Bowles commission recommendations has recognized the folly of our current tax system and the wisdom of lower rates and a broader tax base.

As Mr. Gardiner concluded in his article, the Obama administration "is a presidency in crisis, lacking leadership, wedded to the wrong policies, and presently heading for defeat in 2012." Time will tell, but as the polls show Americans becoming more frustrated by the consequences of Obama's policies, that conclusion seems just about right.

[admin]

Au up 1,642.80

Ag up 31.24

Euro up 1.3808, el euro subiendo por la muy probable resolucion en Europa que no va a arreglar ningun problema solo institucionar y organizar los rescates de paises que estan quebrados, mas adelante pasaran la factura y no va a ser un escenario bonito. Pero, por lo menos estamos advertidos, ya no hay negacion por ninguna de las partes. Paises como Grecia tienen que salir, si no es ahora sera mas adelante, pero es un hecho. Solo se esta comprando tiempo.

[admin]

+114

[admin]

V reporto en linea con lo esperado.

Market Events | Earnings Announcements
Announcing Company Estimate Actual
Before the Open General Electric GE +0.310 +0.310
Before the Open Verizon VZ +0.56 +0.56
Before the Open McDonald's MCD +1.43 +1.45
Before the Open Schlumberger SLB +1.01 +0.98
Before the Open Honeywell HON +1.00 +1.10
This Week: 17th 18th 19th

[admin]

Hace dos anios un banco Frances vino a Washingto en un viaje de emergencia para convencer all IMF de que los temores sobre la banca Europea eran infundados. Gran error.

Este verano, tres de los bancos Franceses mas grandes BNP Paribas, Societe Generale y Credto Agricole se convirtieron en el punto focal de una crisis de confianza que nos ha llevado a donde estamos.


http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000142 ... Collection