Miercoles 02/11/11 La decision del Fed sera opacada por Euro

Los acontecimientos mas importantes en el mundo de las finanzas, la economia (macro y micro), las bolsas mundiales, los commodities, el mercado de divisas, la politica monetaria y fiscal y la politica como variables determinantes en el movimiento diario de las acciones. Opiniones, estrategias y sugerencias de como navegar el fascinante mundo del stock market.

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Re: Miercoles 02/11/11 La decision del Fed sera opacada por

Notapor admin » Mié Nov 02, 2011 7:48 am

+156.66
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Re: Miercoles 02/11/11 La decision del Fed sera opacada por

Notapor admin » Mié Nov 02, 2011 7:49 am

XLE energia +2.34%

XLK technologia +1.16%

XLF finanzas +2.10%

Buenos sectores.
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Re: Miercoles 02/11/11 La decision del Fed sera opacada por

Notapor admin » Mié Nov 02, 2011 7:57 am

+151.52

VIX down 33.52

Oil up 93.21
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Re: Miercoles 02/11/11 La decision del Fed sera opacada por

Notapor admin » Mié Nov 02, 2011 8:06 am

+126.24

toco techo por el momento.
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Re: Miercoles 02/11/11 La decision del Fed sera opacada por

Notapor admin » Mié Nov 02, 2011 8:07 am

A las 12:15 el Fed, a las 2:15 Bernanke en conferencia de prensa.

Oil up 92.81

Ag up 34.13

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Re: Miercoles 02/11/11 La decision del Fed sera opacada por

Notapor admin » Mié Nov 02, 2011 8:24 am

  Last Change % Chg
DJIA 11803.04 145.08 1.24
Nasdaq 2626.89 19.93 0.76
S&P 500 1234.41 16.13 1.32
DJ Total Stock Market 12911.63 167.23 1.31
Russell 2000 724.02 10.13 1.42
Global Dow 1840.23 15.16 0.83
Japan: Nikkei Average* 8640.42 -195.10 -2.21
Stoxx Europe 600 235.40 0.34 0.14
UK: FTSE 100 5439.44 17.87 0.33
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Re: Miercoles 02/11/11 La decision del Fed sera opacada por

Notapor admin » Mié Nov 02, 2011 8:25 am

  Last Change % Chg
DJIA 11803.04 145.08 1.24
Nasdaq 2626.89 19.93 0.76
S&P 500 1234.41 16.13 1.32
DJ Total Stock Market 12911.63 167.23 1.31
Russell 2000 724.02 10.13 1.42
Global Dow 1840.23 15.16 0.83
Japan: Nikkei Average* 8640.42 -195.10 -2.21
Stoxx Europe 600 235.40 0.34 0.14
UK: FTSE 100 5439.44 17.87 0.33
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Re: Miercoles 02/11/11 La decision del Fed sera opacada por

Notapor goodprofit1 » Mié Nov 02, 2011 9:07 am

Top Gold Forecasters See Bullion Rallying to Record by March: Commodities
tweet1EmailPrint..Debarati Roy, On Wednesday November 2, 2011, 5:59 am EDT
The most accurate forecasters say gold will rebound from its biggest monthly plunge since 2008 and reach a record by March because economic growth is stagnating and Europe’s debt crisis is unresolved.

Futures traded in New York may rise 12 percent to $1,950 an ounce by the end of the first quarter, according to the median of estimates compiled by Bloomberg. The predictions are from eight of the top 10 analysts tracked by Bloomberg over the past eight quarters. Two declined to give forecasts.

Holdings in exchange-traded products backed by bullion rose the most in three months in October, and the most-widely held option gives owners the right to buy gold at $2,000 by Nov. 22. Demand for the metal accelerated since May as slowing growth and mounting concern that European leaders will fail to contain the region’s debt crisis caused $7.5 trillion to be erased from the value of global equities.

“There is a loss of trust in the entire financial system and urgent need for safe-haven investment,” said Ronald Stoeferle at Erste Group Bank AG in Vienna, the second most- accurate forecaster in the past three months. “The environment for gold is just perfect.”

ETP holdings expanded 1 percent to 2,271.2 metric tons last month, a pile now valued at $126.6 billion and greater than the reserves of all but four central banks, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Bullion bought for investment accounted for 38 percent of total demand in 2010, compared with about 4 percent a decade earlier, the London-based World Gold Council estimates.

Paulson Buys Gold

Paulson & Co., founded by John Paulson, remains the largest shareholder in the SPDR Gold Trust, the biggest ETP backed by gold, according to an Aug. 15 filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Paulson, who made $15 billion betting against subprime mortgages, bought the 31.5 million shares in the first three months of 2009. Their value increased to $5.3 billion from $2.84 billion since then.

Gold has risen 22 percent this year, beating the 2.2 percent advance in the Standard & Poor’s GSCI gauge of 24 commodities, the 9.3 percent decline in the MSCI All-Country World Index of equities and the 8.8 percent return on Treasuries calculated by Bank of America Corp. indexes. The metal has appreciated more than sixfold in its 11-year run of annual gains.

Prices climbed 6.3 percent in October, rebounding from the bear market in September after dropping more than 20 percent from the record $1,923.70 reached Sept. 6. Bullion for December delivery traded at $1,734 today.

Hedge Funds

Hedge funds and other speculators increased their bets on higher prices by 8.7 percent to 138,846 futures and options in the week ended Oct. 25, Commodity Futures Trading Commission data show. It was the biggest gain in almost three months.

The rally may fade because the swings in prices undermined the perception of gold as a haven, said Dean Junkans, an analyst at Wells Fargo & Co. in Minneapolis. In an Aug. 16 report, three weeks before the plunge began, he characterized the market as a “bubble that is poised to burst.”

“It’s not risk free and is not a currency, even though too many people think of it that way,” Junkans said in an interview. “It can go down to $1,300, and could also rise to $2,000, but there is definitely a downside potential.”

Gold also retreated in September as the Dollar Index, a measure against the currencies of six trading partners, jumped 6 percent, the most in almost three years. The 30-day correlation coefficient between gold and the index is now at -0.45, compared with 0.23 in March, data compiled by Bloomberg show. A figure of -1 means the two move in opposite directions, and 1 means they move in lockstep.

Financial System

The Dollar Index rose 3.3 percent in the past three sessions on mounting concern that European leaders will fail to contain the debt crisis, spurring demand for what are perceived to be the safest assets, including the dollar and Treasuries.

Some forecasters expect the dollar’s rally to fade because of concern that a slowing global economy may force the Federal Reserve to pump more money into the financial system. The U.S. currency will end next year at $1.40 a euro, compared with $1.3703 now, according to the median of 30 economists surveyed by Bloomberg.

Fed Vice Chairman Janet Yellen said on Oct. 21 that a third round of large-scale securities purchases may become warranted to boost the economy. The central bank bought $2.3 trillion of housing and government debt during two rounds of so-called quantitative easing from December 2008 to June 2011, spurring a 70 percent jump in the price of gold.

Bear Markets

The metal’s plunge in September may signal it is poised to keep rising. The last time bullion had a bigger drop was in October 2008, when prices tumbled 18 percent as the worst global recession since World War II drove equities and commodities into bear markets. The metal rose 23 percent in the next two months.

Investors aren’t the only ones buying bullion. Thailand, Bolivia, Kazakhstan and Tajikistan were among nations adding gold to their reserves in September, International Monetary Fund data show. Central banks are expanding reserves for the first time in a generation. Switzerland’s central bank said Oct. 31 it returned to a profit in the first nine months as gold holdings helped counter losses on currency reserves.

“There’s huge potential for gold in the coming years,” said Jochen Hitzfeld, the analyst at UniCredit SpA in Munich who was the most accurate tracked by Bloomberg in the past two years. “Investors are buying gold. That’s reinforced by buying from central banks. Prices did run up a little bit too fast, but the drop was just a breather.”

Fourth Quarter

Hitzfeld forecast on Oct. 12 that gold would average a record $1,900 in the fourth quarter of next year.

A measure of the combined earnings of the 16-member Philadelphia Stock Exchange Gold and Silver Index will rise 8.3 percent this year and almost 27 percent in 2012, according to analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg.

Barrick Gold Corp. (ABX), the world’s biggest producer and the largest member of the index, will report net income of almost $4.8 billion this year, compared with $3.27 billion in 2010, the mean of 12 estimates shows. Shares of the Toronto-based company declined 5.3 percent this year.

“When we look at gold five years from now, we will say gold was wildly cheap,” said Jason Schenker, the president of Prestige Economics LLC in Austin, Texas, and the fifth-best forecaster tracked by Bloomberg. “What happens to gold is going to hinge on what happens to the dollar, and that is going to be influenced by what happens in Europe and monetary policy.”

To contact the reporter on this story: Debarati Roy in New York at droy5@bloomberg.net.

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Steve Stroth at sstroth@bloomberg.net
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Re: Miercoles 02/11/11 La decision del Fed sera opacada por

Notapor admin » Mié Nov 02, 2011 9:16 am

+210.03

Au up 1,744

Euro up 1.3815

Oil up 93.40
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Re: Miercoles 02/11/11 La decision del Fed sera opacada por

Notapor admin » Mié Nov 02, 2011 9:18 am

Las ganancias de Master Card subieron 38%, buenas noticias del consumidor.

El sector financiero lidera el alza en Wall Street.

+214.11
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Re: Miercoles 02/11/11 La decision del Fed sera opacada por

Notapor admin » Mié Nov 02, 2011 9:22 am

Las solicitudes de hipotecas subieron 0.2%

Los inventariso de petroleo subieron 1.8 millones de barriles, los de gasolina 1.4 millones de barriles y el destilado bajo 3.6 millones de barriles.

Euro up 1.3811

Oil up 93.42
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Re: Miercoles 02/11/11 La decision del Fed sera opacada por

Notapor admin » Mié Nov 02, 2011 9:25 am

XLF +2.92%

FAS +8.15%

USO +2.59%

NFLX +4.82%

XLE +3.08%

MMR +4.15%

EPU +5.97%

SCCO +3.40%

BVN +2.82%

BAP +3.82%
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Re: Miercoles 02/11/11 La decision del Fed sera opacada por

Notapor admin » Mié Nov 02, 2011 9:25 am

VIX down 32.63
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Re: Miercoles 02/11/11 La decision del Fed sera opacada por

Notapor jonibol » Mié Nov 02, 2011 9:25 am

este mercado es una locura, del cielo al infierno y viceversa en cuestión de horas.
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Re: Miercoles 02/11/11 La decision del Fed sera opacada por

Notapor admin » Mié Nov 02, 2011 9:27 am

SPANISHNOVEMBER 2, 2011, 9:43 A.M. ET.El gabinete griego respalda unánimemente el referendo
Por ALKMAN GRANITSAS, STELIOS BOURAS y MATINA STEVIS
ATENAS (EFE Dow Jones)--El Gobierno de Grecia decidió el miércoles por unanimidad seguir adelante con el plan de celebrar un referéndum sobre el último paquete de rescate para el país, pese a la revuelta en el seno del partido en el poder por la oposición de varios diputados a dicho plan.

"Se tomó la decisión unánime de apoyar el referéndum", dijo un miembro del Gobierno tras una reunión del consejo de ministros maratoniana de seis horas convocada por el primer ministro, George Papandreu.

El lunes por la tarde, Papandreu sorprendió a los parlamentarios con una inesperada convocatoria de un referéndum sobre el plan de ayuda por 130.000 millones de euros acordado por los líderes europeos la semana pasada en Bruselas.

George Papandreou, primer ministro de Grecia, seguido de su gabinete, a la salida de la reunión que sostuvieron el martes.
.El referéndum se considera una arriesgada apuesta pensada para acallar la dura oposición del pueblo griego a las políticas de austeridad, aunque se corre el riesgo de dar al traste con los planes para solucionar la crisis de deuda de la eurozona.

La reunión del Gabinete se produjo tras un día de infarto en Atenas, en el que cuatro diputados socialistas mostraron su oposición al referéndum y una abandonó directamente el partido, lo que suscitó temores a que Papandreu se vea obligado a convocar elecciones anticipadas.

En comentarios realizados al inicio de la reunión de gabinete, Papandreou advirtió que las alternativas, como la realización de elecciones anticipadas, aumentarían la incertidumbre que enfrenta Grecia, incluyendo el riesgo de un incumplimiento.

"Un referendo (...) resultaría en un mandato claro, así como en un mensaje claro, tanto dentro como fuera de Grecia, sobre nuestro destino europeo y nuestra participación en el euro", dijo Papandreou en comentarios preparados de antemano.

"(Realizar) elecciones sería evadir nuestras responsabilidades", agregó. "Aparte del daño y la presión que traería un período preelectoral, que en un período como este paralizaría todo, podría arrastrarnos a un estado en el que nos arriesguemos a un incumplimiento".

Otra fuente dijo que el referéndum probablemente se realizaría antes de Navidad, un poco antes de lo esperado.

Por su parte, la agencia de noticias estatal china Xinhua dijo el miércoles que se deben realizar urgentes esfuerzos para evitar que el plan de rescate de Grecia se aborte y la Unión Europea debería tratar de restaurar la confianza del mercado en el paquete de rescate del endeudado país.

El plan griego de celebrar un referéndum es una alarma que podría provocar más retrocesos o reveses y la UE debería realizar más esfuerzos para llevar a cabo el plan de rescate acordado hace una semana, indica Xinhua.

Los líderes de la UE deberían ayudar a Grecia a encontrar una mejor solución a su "vergüenza política", que hora está poniendo en riesgo el plan de rescate, dijo el portavoz del partido en el poder.

"Todos los miembros de la UE están en el mismo barco y necesitan aunar esfuerzos, sin excepciones, si quieren salir de esta tormenta", dijo.
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