Martes 12/13/11 La decision del Fed a las 2:15 p.m.

[admin]

Martes

Eventos economicos

Indice del optimismo de los pequenios negocios
Ventas de Tiendas
Ventas retail
Libro rojo
Inventarios de negocios
Subasta de bonos
La decision del Fed

NFIB Small Business Optimism Index
7:30 AM ET


ICSC-Goldman Store Sales
7:45 AM ET


Retail Sales
8:30 AM ET


Redbook
8:55 AM ET


Business Inventories
10:00 AM ET


4-Week Bill Auction
11:30 AM ET


52-Week Bill Auction
11:30 AM ET


10-Yr Note Auction
1:00 PM ET


FOMC Meeting Announcement
2:15 PM ET

[admin]

Treasurys Price Chg Yield %
2-Year Note 0/32 0.230
10-Year Note -4/32 2.030
* at close

8:31 p.m. EST 12/12/11Futures Last Change Settle
Crude Oil 97.79 0.02 97.77
Gold 1662.5 -5.7 1668.2

8:41 p.m. EST 12/12/11Currencies Last (mid) Prior Day †
Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) 77.95 77.93
Euro (EUR/USD) 1.3174 1.3188
† Late Monday in New York

[admin]

Metales basicos mixtos

Copper December 12,20:39
Bid/Ask 3.4475 - 3.4499
Change -0.0164 -0.47%
Low/High 3.4437 - 3.4724
Charts

Nickel December 12,20:39
Bid/Ask 8.2159 - 8.2468
Change -0.0659 -0.80%
Low/High 8.2114 - 8.3021
Charts

Aluminum December 12,20:35
Bid/Ask 0.8992 - 0.8999
Change +0.0051 +0.57%
Low/High 0.8941 - 0.9007
Charts

Zinc December 12,20:39
Bid/Ask 0.8789 - 0.8803
Change +0.0036 +0.41%
Low/High 0.8739 - 0.8815
Charts

Lead December 12,20:39
Bid/Ask 0.9337 - 0.9397
Change -0.0028 -0.30%
Low/High 0.9301 - 0.9460

[admin]

Asia-Pacific
INDEX VALUE CHANGE % CHANGE TIME
NIKKEI 225 8,537.46 -116.36 -1.34% 20:16
HANG SENG INDEX 18,327.40 -248.21 -1.34% 20:20
S&P/ASX 200 INDEX 4,192.50 -60.30 -1.42% 20:36

[admin]

Una es con guitarra, otra es con cajon.

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Presidente Perú enoja a izquierda, podría perder apoyo Congreso
lunes 12 de diciembre de 2011 18:55 GYT
Imprimir[-] Texto [+] Por Marco Aquino y Terry Wade
LIMA (Reuters) - Fuerzas de izquierda aliadas al presidente peruano Ollanta Humala podrían quitarle su respaldo en el Congreso y complicar la aprobación de leyes clave, luego de una sorpresiva renovación del Gabinete al que tildan de autoritario y derechista.

El mandatario renovó a 11 de sus 19 ministros inmediatamente después de la renuncia del primer ministro el sábado , sembrando incertidumbre sobre el rumbo político que tomará su Gobierno en momentos que arrecian las protestas sociales contra grandes inversiones mineras.

La renovación disgustó a legisladores oficialistas izquierdistas, así como también al mayor socio político del Gobierno, el ex mandatario Alejandro Toledo, quien anunció su distanciamiento de Humala debido a lo que consideró una "militarización" en el Ejecutivo.

La nueva figura que ha despertado mayor inquietud es el designado primer ministro Oscar Valdés, un militar retirado que viene de ejercer la cartera del Interior y a quien Humala autorizó usar soldados para ayudar a policías a restablecer el orden público durante las recientes protestas, medida considerada la más enérgica desde que asumió en julio.

Fuertes protestas contra el sector minero, uno de los pilares de la economía peruana, llevaron a la estadounidense Newmont Mining a suspender el desarrollo de un proyecto de oro y cobre valorado en 4.800 millones de dólares.

Tras la suspensión y la mayor presencia de fuerzas de seguridad, las manifestaciones se calmaron pero la actuación del Gobierno dejó latente un malestar al no haber incentivado a un profundo diálogo.

En sus primeras declaraciones como jefe de gabinete, Valdés afirmó que Humala renovó a su equipo en busca de un gabinete "más gestor y más técnico" para hacer menos política.

Pero por otro lado rechazó que su gabinete emprendería una línea dura.

"Los inversionistas extranjeros deben estar muy tranquilos y deben seguir apostando por el Perú, porque es un país que cada día se va a manejar más eficientemente", afirmó a periodistas.
Humala, también militar retirado, ha prometido llevar adelante planes de inclusión social con políticas moderadas, en un giro de timón luego de que se apartara de políticas radicales de izquierda tras asumir el poder.

POCO ESPACIO DE CONCERTACION

El legislador Javier Diez Canseco, un socialista que integra la alianza del partido nacionalista de Humala en el Congreso, dijo el lunes a Reuters que "la situación en el Congreso es alto compleja" tras la amplia renovación del gabinete.

"Con el cambio, el espacio de concertación se ha reducido notoriamente", afirmó el influyente líder de izquierda de las filas del partido gobernante.

Humala tiene pendientes en el Congreso importantes iniciativas como la reforma laboral, en el sistema de pensiones y una reforma tributaria, este último vital para elevar la recaudación de impuestos que financien programas sociales.

En la renovación del gabinete, Humala dejó de lado a dos ministros del partido de Toledo, cuyo apoyo le da la mayoría al partido oficialista en el fragmentado Congreso peruano de 130 parlamentarios.

"Está fuera Toledo y la alianza que llevó al poder (a Humala), asimismo buena parte de la filas de izquierda, de movimientos regionales, también están fuera", dijo Diez Canseco.

Humala cambió a ministros que habían tenido controversias en sus carteras, como el de Energía y Minas, un sector clave para la economía local que planea inversiones de 50.000 millones de dólares en los próximos años.

Pero mantuvo al clave ministro de Economía, Luis Castilla, un tecnócrata amigo del mercado que dio continuidad a una política que ha sostenido a Perú con altas tasas de crecimiento, pero con una pobreza que alcanza a un tercio de su población.
ALIADOS MARCAN DISTANCIA

La clase sindical del país, que apoyó fuertemente la campaña electoral de Humala, también marcó distancias del Gobierno.

"Esperamos que el señor Ollanta Humala en los próximos días dé a conocer si va a respetar o no los cambios democráticos por las que voto el pueblo mayoritariamente", dijo el líder del mayor gremio de sindicatos del país, Mario Huaman.

"Consideramos que ahora que hay un viraje a la derecha es probable que no se cumpla los compromisos", agregó.

En contraste, el partido de la ex candidata presidencial Keiko Fujimori y rival de Humala de las recientes elecciones salió a defender el cambio de gabinete y afirmó que "apostara por la gobernabilidad" del país.

"Es cierto que va perder apoyo en algunos sectores, pero va a ganarlo en otros", dijo Keiko Fujimori, una política liberal cuyo padre el ex presidente Alberto Fujimori está preso por violación a los derechos humanos.

Analistas afirman que el partido de Fujimori podría estar buscando un acercamiento con el Gobierno porque tiene planes de solicitar a Humala un indulto humanitario a favor del ex mandatario, cuya salud se ha empeorado en prisión.

"Los que insultaron y vejaron a Humala hoy están felices en el poder y la izquierda que lo apoyó es alejada de mala manera", dijo Juan Sheput, asesor político del ex presidente Toledo.

En la jornada, los mercados financieros peruanos bajaron debido principalmente a factores externos como los persistentes temores sobre la crisis en Europa, dejando de lado la amplia renovación en el gabinete peruano el fin de semana.
La bolsa limeña caía un 1,3 por ciento y la moneda peruana, el sol se depreció un 0,11 por ciento.

(Reporte adicional de Patricia Vélez y Omar Mariluz. Editado por Silene Ramírez)

© Thomson Reuters 2011 All rights reserved.

[admin]

Perú busca inversión minera que beneficie comunidades
lunes 12 de diciembre de 2011 18:56 GYT
Imprimir[-] Texto [+] Por Omar Mariluz
LIMA (Reuters) - Perú buscará atraer a su vital sector minero inversiones que impulsen el desarrollo de las comunidades en las que se instalen, dijo el lunes el nuevo ministro de Energía y Minas, quien asumió luego de que fuertes protestas sociales y antimineras detonaran cambios ministeriales en el país.

Jorge Merino -quien durante años trabajó en la agencia estatal que promueve la inversión privada- tendrá la tarea de aminorar los crecientes conflictos sociales que amenazan proyectos mineros por cerca de 50.000 millones de dólares para la próxima década.

"Las inversiones tienen que traer desarrollo efectivo para las comunidades. Vamos a ser competitivos en el mundo atrayendo minería de primer nivel", dijo el funcionario.

Merino reemplaza a Carlos Herrera, quien dejó el gabinete el fin de semana como parte de los cambios que tuvo que hacer el presidente Ollanta Humala tras la dimisión de su primer ministro, a sólo cuatro meses y medio de iniciado su Gobierno y en medio de una ola de protestas, la mayor de ellas contra un millonario proyecto minero.

Persistentes manifestaciones en contra del plan de 4.800 millones de dólares de la estadounidense Newmont en el norte peruano obligó al Gobierno a decretar estado de emergencia para imponer el orden en la zona.

Pobladores de la región de Cajamarca reclaman que el proyecto de oro y cobre, cuyo desarrollo se suspendió a pedido del Gobierno, afectará sus recursos hídricos, pues Newmont tiene previsto trasvasar el agua de cuatro lagunas a reservorios para explotar el mineral.

"Tenemos que conciliar que el agua es primero para el consumo humano, que el agua es primero para los campesinos, pero sobre todo que las inversiones tienen que traer desarrollo efectivo para nuestras comunidades", dijo Merino a periodistas.

El Gobierno afirmó el lunes que una evaluación de expertos internacionales decidirá si Newmont y su socia, la minera local Buenaventura, pueden seguir adelante con Minas Conga.

Los primeros comentarios de Merino tras asumir la cartera reforzaron las señales de que las políticas de libre mercado de Perú permanecerán intactas luego de que Humala cambió el fin de semana a 11 de sus 19 ministros, incluyendo el jefe del gabinete.
El presidente Humala asumió el poder en julio con la promesa de aplacar los más de 200 conflictos que azotan al país y distribuir los beneficios del auge económico entre el tercio de peruanos que aún vive en la pobreza.

Perú es el segundo productor mundial de cobre y plata y el sexto de oro. Asimismo, la minería es clave para la economía local pues aporta cerca del 60 por ciento de los ingresos por exportaciones.

(Reporte de Omar Mariluz. Escrito por Patricia Vélez. Editado por Mónica Vargas)

[admin]

China recortaria los impuestos para impulsar la expansion de la economia en la segunda economia mas grande del mundo. Sus exportaciones se han debilitado y la amenaza de los malos prestamos disminuyen las opciones del mercado.

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(China le puede enseniar economia tranquilamente a los Europeos)

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Wen May Cut China Taxes to Spur Growth in 2012
By Bloomberg News - Dec 12, 2011 8:33 PM ET .
China may use tax cuts to shore up expansion in the second-largest economy next year as export growth weakens and the threat of bad loans from stimulus spending narrows the government’s options.

The nation’s top officials are mapping out policies for 2012 at the annual Central Economic Work Conference in Beijing. The event started yesterday, according to the state-run Xinhua News Agency.

Banks from China International Capital Corp. and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. to Barclays Capital forecast Premier Wen Jiabao will cut taxes after fiscal revenue surged past the government’s target this year. Lower levies would spur consumption without the bad-debt risks triggered by a record 17.5 trillion yuan ($2.8 trillion) of lending in 2009 and 2010 that funded infrastructure projects and real-estate speculation.

“China is no longer able to rely on massive investment in infrastructure building to stimulate the economy,” said Yao Wei, a Hong Kong-based economist with Societe Generale SA, the only economist to accurately forecast China’s growth last quarter in a Bloomberg News survey. “Tax cuts are unavoidable.”

Europe’s debt crisis is cutting demand in the nation’s biggest export market, while a government campaign to rein in property prices is threatening home sales and construction. Economic growth cooled to 9.1 percent last quarter, the least in more than two years, and the increase in exports in November was the weakest since 2009 excluding seasonal distortions.

Local-Government Debt
The Shanghai Composite Index (SHCOMP) has fallen about 25 percent from this year’s peak in April as the government wrestles with the aftermath of the last stimulus package, including local- government investment vehicles saddled with debt and elevated property prices. Companies also face rising labor costs, a factor in retailer and beermaker China Resources Enterprise Ltd. reporting a profit decline in the third quarter.

Fitch Ratings said today that housing construction will grow at a slower pace next year, with smaller developers “vulnerable” amid curbs on home purchases and tight liquidity.

Short sellers are betting that Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science & Technology Co., China’s second-biggest maker of construction equipment, will drop as building slows and customers fall behind on payments. Speculators lifted bets against Zoomlion to 22 percent of shares outstanding last month, the highest proportion on record and the most among Hong Kong- traded stocks tracked by Data Explorers.

‘Prudent’ Monetary Policy
While the 25-member Politburo last week affirmed an unchanged “prudent” monetary and “proactive” fiscal stance for next year, a Nov. 30 cut in banks’ reserve requirements indicated a shift toward a bigger emphasis on supporting growth.

Inflation is moderating after reaching a three-year high of 6.5 percent in July.

Consumption taxes and corporate income levies may be cut, while taxes may be increased for some industries to achieve energy-saving and emission targets, according to Peng Wensheng, an economist for CICC who works in Hong Kong and Beijing.

A trial to reduce levies for service industries in Shanghai may be rolled out nationwide, cutting taxes by about 70 billion yuan, Peng said. Shares in companies including China Eastern Airlines Corp. (670) and Shanghai International Airport Co. rallied after the October announcement of the experiment.

Retail Sales
“A lot of our portfolio managers are still very much focused on consumer-related areas,” Catherine Yeung, a Hong Kong-based investment director at Fidelity Worldwide Investment, said in an interview with Bloomberg Television yesterday. Tax cuts are helpful to consumer spending, which is “very much on track” after a November year-on-year retail-sales gain of about 17 percent, she said.

China will “preset or fine tune policies in light of changes in economic development,” the Politburo said last week, adding that the government will seek “stable and relatively fast economic growth while adjusting the economic structure and regulating inflationary expectations.”

Standard Chartered Plc analysts forecast five reserve-ratio cuts next year as the economy grows 8.1 percent.

China has less capacity now to “turn on the taps” of stimulus than in the aftermath of the Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. collapse in 2008 mainly “because of problems in the banking system,” Andrew Colquhoun, the Hong Kong-based head of Asia-Pacific Sovereigns for Fitch Ratings, said in an interview with Bloomberg Television yesterday.

Nomura Holdings Inc. estimates that China’s economy may expand only 7.9 percent in 2012, the slowest pace in 13 years.

Fiscal Revenue
China is routinely exceeding its projections for revenue, the World Bank noted in a report in April. The 27 percent increase so far this year compares with an 8 percent goal.

Eleven-month fiscal revenue was 9.73 trillion yuan, the finance ministry said, boosted by higher-than-anticipated tax takes from industrial profits and imports. That’s exceeded the full-year goal of 8.97 trillion yuan for central and local governments laid out in this year’s budget in March, and a 9.12 trillion yuan total that includes money from a so-called stabilization fund.

In November, revenue growth slowed after the economy cooled, car and property purchases moderated, export tax rebates rose and the threshold for personal income tax increased, according to the Ministry of Finance.

Tax-Free Income
“The government is likely to call for structural tax cuts which we believe should be welcomed in light of the arguably overly rapid fiscal revenue growth we saw this year,” Song Yu, a Hong Kong-based economist at Goldman Sachs, said in a Dec. 6 research note. The conference will put more emphasis on maintaining economic growth, Song said.

In September, the government raised the personal income tax threshold to 3,500 yuan ($550) per month from 2,000, reducing the number of tax payers by 60 million, according to government estimates.

The government has raised the threshold for people in rural areas defined as living in poverty by 81 percent to 2,300 yuan a year, making 128 million citizens eligible for subsidies, according to Xinhua. Zhou Yongkang, the country’s top security official and a member of the Politburo, said last week that the nation needs to improve “social management” to better deal with the “negative effects” of the market economy.

Central and provincial government officials, heads of state-owned enterprises, economists and academics attend the work conference, which fleshes out policy guidelines for the following year. The meeting will end tomorrow, according to the Economic Observer newspaper.

To contact Bloomberg News staff on this story: Victoria Ruan in Beijing at vruan1@bloomberg.net

[admin]

China cumple 10 anios en el WTO en medio de protestas por parte de US y Europa.

[admin]

Ag down 30.99

El Hang seng -1.21%,Australia -1.30%, el Nikkei -1.39%, Korea -1.61%, el Shanghai C. -0.5% y sigue bajando.

Yen down 77.94

Euro down 1.3176

[admin]

Au down 1,657.90, oil down 97.69

[admin]

Ataque narcoterrorista en el VRAE dejó un soldado muerto y cinco heridos
La emboscada fue contra un convoy de agentes del Ejército y marinos que regresaban de La Mar luego de hacer acción social

Lunes 12 de diciembre de 2011 - 05:24 pm
Soldados en el VRAE, imagen referencial. (Archivo El Comercio)
Un nuevo ataque narcoterrorista en el VRAE dejó un militar muerto y cinco heridos, informó Canal N.

La corresponsal de este medio en Ayacucho, Paola Collazos, señaló que el ataque ocurrió cerca de las 2:30 p.m. entre las zonas de Jano y Machente, y fue contra un convoy de marinos y soldados del Ejército que regresaban de Santa Rosa, en la provincia de La Mar.

Según indicó, hay un agente muerto y cinco heridos, quienes se encuentran en el hospital de campaña del VRAE.

[admin]

Menos ilegales entran a US.

No hay trabajos.

[admin]

AAPL esta aprendiendo a ceder posiciones

AAPL no esta vendiendo tanta publicidad para sus mobiles debido a que el precio es muy alto y tambien por el control que ejerce sobre el proceso creativo.

AAPL ha rebajado el contrato inicial de publicidad de $1 millon a $500,000 y ahora a $400,000.
TECHNOLOGYDECEMBER 13, 2011

A Rare Apple Compromise

By EMILY STEEL And JESSICA E. VASCELLARO
Apple Inc. is learning to compromise.

Facing challenges winning over customers for its iAd mobile advertising service, Apple is softening its approach as it loses ground to Google Inc. in the fast-growing mobile-ad market.

Launched in July of last year, and championed by former CEO Steve Jobs, iAd is Apple's service for selling ads within mobile apps on iPhones, iPads and iPod touches.

But response so far has been tepid: Marketers say they have been turned off by iAd's high price tag as well as Apple's hard-charging sales tactics and its stringent control over the creative process.

Google's AdMob service, on the other hand, is priced more reasonably, ad executives say, and is available on a wide array of devices—not just Apple products.

In response, Apple is making some changes. It is showing more willingness to bargain on the spending commitment it requires of advertisers.

Having originally asked marketers to commit to spend at least $1 million—an amount later dropped to $500,000—Apple is now discussing ad deals with a minimum commitment of just $400,000, according to a person familiar with the matter.

Apple has also introduced more flexibility to a pricing structure that had befuddled advertisers, ad executives say. Instead of charging marketers every time a user taps on an ad—a policy which often led to ad budgets quickly being exhausted—Apple is willing to put a cap on what it charges for the taps, according to the person. Advertisers pay $10 every time an ad is viewed a thousand times and $2 every time it is tapped on.

Apple is softening its approach to advertisers as it loses ground to Google in the fast-growing mobile ad market.
Pricing for Google's mobile-ad products vary widely, according to one ad executive. Ad executives say display ads on apps from a range of providers vary from $4 to $12 per thousand views. Advanced targeting or mobile video can command higher premiums than static banner ads, this person said.

In an effort to woo more advertisers, Apple is establishing a training program, arranged in conjunction with its media buying agency OMD, part of Omnicom Group Inc., to teach the firm and its clients about the mobile marketing landscape.

In recent weeks about 30 senior marketing executives, from firms including PepsiCo Inc., Clorox Co. and J.C. Penney Co., visited Apple's headquarters in Cupertino, Calif. The marketers got a tour and a series of information sessions with Apple designers and product teams.

Participants concluded the tour with a visit to the Apple company store where they were able to make purchases with a discount, according to ad executives who participated.

OMD is planning a trip to Apple in February with more of its advertiser clients, according to a person familiar with the matter.

The event demonstrated that Apple is trying to adapt to the ways of Madison Avenue. Inviting marketers for campus visits has long been a standard tactic for ad-dependent Silicon Valley firms like Google, Yahoo Inc. and Facebook Inc. While it has hosted big customers of its electronics products at its campus, this is one of the first times Apple has tried such an approach with advertisers.

"They are still learning the advertising world," says Shiv Singh, head of digital at PepsiCo Beverages.

Mr. Jobs envisioned iAd more as television advertising than online marketing, which he viewed as irritating, according to people familiar with the matter.

A typical iAd is one for Unilever's Dove Men + Care soap brand. In it, a consumer sees a banner ad at the bottom of an application on a phone or iPad. When the consumer taps on the ad, videos featuring baseball players like Andy Pettitte appear, as well as more information about Dove products.

Some marketers say they are pleased with the results of their iAd campaigns and are eager to renew deals. Unilever, which has bought 13 iAd campaigns for brands including Dove soap, and Ben & Jerry's ice cream, said that consumers spent an "amazing" level of time with the ads, on average 68 seconds in the U.S., across mobile devices.

Apple is hoping to gain back ground that it has lost to Google in the mobile-ad market. Last year, Apple shared the top spot in the mobile display ad market with Google, with each company capturing 19%, according to research firm IDC. This year, Apple fell to the No. 3 spot, behind Google and independent mobile ad firm Millennial Media, capturing 15%, or $95 million, of the $630 million market, IDC says.

A spokesman for Apple declined comment.

While Apple's moves to placate marketers won't greatly affect its business, which is humming on hardware sales, the state of the service could affect developer loyalty to its platforms over time.

The company launched iAds to make building Apple apps more attractive for developers, who are increasingly interested in building software for Android devices and getting advertising checks from Google.

Hordes of developers have activated iAd, but they say that Apple hasn't sold enough to make any meaningful revenue for them. David Barnard, founder of mobile app company App Cubby, says he earned $320 from iAd in the past 30 days and that the service is only filling roughly 13% of his apps requests.

Unilever recently agreed to renew its iAd agreement with Apple for the next year, including launching iAd in developing markets across the globe.

"We got in there early and we're both learning together. They learn from us and we've learned from them," says Unilever Chief Marketing Officer Keith Weed. He declined to discuss pricing.

Even so, marketing executives say Apple needs to modify its approach to win over more.

"Apple said, 'Let's try to disrupt the advertising business.' On this one, they didn't succeed," says Alexandre Mars, head of mobile for Publicis Groupe SA. "They know that they need to adapt themselves now if they want to survive - even if it is Apple."

One major challenge Apple faces: because the company only sells ads that appear on Apple devices, marketers are forced to buy ads from competitors to reach broader audiences, says IDC analyst Karsten Weide. "Apple we believe will, over time, fade into the background," he says. "It was attempted to make sure that even consumers advertising experience on Apple devices was perfect, but it hasn't really worked."

[admin]

Canada se salio del tratado de Kyoto, sin India y China eso no funciona, ellos son los mas grandes contaminadores del mundo.

[admin]

Obama debe estar caliente, la corte suprema tomo no solamente el caso del seguro de salud, si no que ahora tomo el caso de los inmigrantes en Arizona a pedido de la gobernadora de ese estado, ella se queja de que el gobierno Federal no hace respetar las leyes del pais y por eso Arizona tiene que tomar medidas y hacerlo por su cuenta.

Muy interesesante, los dos veredictos se daran antes de las elecciones. Eso va a estar de candela.