Viernes 06/01/12 Reporte del empleo

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Viernes

Situacion del empleo, empleos creados y nivel de desempleo

Monster Employment Index


Employment Situation
8:30 AM ET


Treasury STRIPS
3:00 PM ET

[admin]

Se espera algo de 150,000 empleos, aunque ya algunos han estado especulando en algo de 200,000 o mas. Veremos.

[admin]

Alcoa cerrara una planta.

China djo que impulsara el consumo interno.

[admin]

Copper January 05,21:19
Bid/Ask 3.4377 - 3.4389
Change +0.0187 +0.55%
Low/High 3.4263 - 3.4610
Charts

Nickel January 05,21:19
Bid/Ask 8.4519 - 8.4773
Change +0.0154 +0.18%
Low/High 8.4364 - 8.4931
Charts

Aluminum January 05,21:19
Bid/Ask 0.9048 - 0.9052
Change +0.0044 +0.49%
Low/High 0.9003 - 0.9077
Charts

Zinc January 05,21:18
Bid/Ask 0.8264 - 0.8271
Change +0.0066 +0.80%
Low/High 0.8198 - 0.8334
Charts

Lead January 05,21:14
Bid/Ask 0.9003 - 0.9061
Change +0.0002 +0.03%
Low/High 0.9001 - 0.9084

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Asia-Pacific
INDEX VALUE CHANGE % CHANGE TIME
NIKKEI 225 8,420.94 -67.77 -0.80% 21:00
HANG SENG INDEX 18,690.30 -123.14 -0.65% 21:05
S&P/ASX 200 INDEX 4,118.00 -24.70 -0.60% 21:21

[admin]

Treasurys Price Chg Yield %
2-Year Note 0/32 0.268
10-Year Note 2/32 1.991
* at close

9:16 p.m. EST 01/05/12Futures Last Change Settle
Crude Oil 101.39 -0.42 101.81
Gold 1622.8 2.7 1620.1
E-mini Dow 12317 -14 12331
E-mini S&P 500 1270.75 -2.25 1273.00

9:25 p.m. EST 01/05/12Currencies Last (mid) Prior Day †
Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) 77.19 77.12
Euro (EUR/USD) 1.2793 1.2790
† Late Thursday in New York

[admin]

Euro up 1.2792

Los futures del Dow Jones 17 puntos a la baja.

El Hang Seng -1.39%, Australia -0.61%, Korea -1.35%, el Nikkei -.108%, el Shanghai C. -0.12%,

[admin]

Mineras a la baja en Australia.

Au up 1,.625

Oil down 101.44

[admin]

Hablan dos miembros del Fed.

Datos de la confianza en la zona euro. (ninguna)

Se espera que el desempleo suba a 8.7%

Tomorrow’s Tape: Jobs Ahoy

By Mark Gongloff

EverettEconomics:

At 4:00 a.m. ET we get a whole slew of euro-zone confidence readings.
At 8:30 a.m. we get the US unemployment and nonfarm payrolls report for December. Economists expect to see payrolls rise by 150,000 after gaining 120,000 in November, and they think the unemployment rate will rise to 8.7% from 8.6%.
At 12:40 p.m., Fed Governor Elizabeth Duke speaks on the economy.
At 1:00 p.m., Fed Governor Sarah Bloom Raskin speaks.
Earnings:

None

[admin]

Los servicios de beneficencia han comenzado a exprimir a las fuerzas militares.

Es cierto que US ha recortado el presupuesto de defensa despues de la guerra mundial, Korea, Vietnam y la guerra fria y en cada uno de los casos se ha arrepentido de haberlo hecho debido a los consecuentes ataques y amenazas. Pero no es precisamente la paz, la caracteristicas de nuestra epoca. Este duscurso hara feliz a los de la izquierda anti guerras pero no a los Marinos en Afghanistan o a los marinos que hacen guardia al Estrecho de Hormuz.

Con todos los recortes Obama esta disminuyendo el presupuesto de defensa en 30% en la proxima decada. Obama hara que el presupuesto de defensa sea el 2.7% del PBI para el anio 2021 del 4.5% el anio pasado (lo cual incluye el costo de Irak y Afghanistan) Esto pondira a US en niveles de 1940 -un mal anio. En el 86 -un mejor anio- US gasto 6.2% en defensa sin perjudicar a la economia.

Que es diferente ahora? el aumento de los beneficios sociales. Obama esta tomando una decision poiltica a favor del Social Security, Medicare y Medicaid los cuales seran el 11% del PBI para el 2020. Y eso es sin contar el ObamaCare que costara mas de $2.6 trillones.

Los programas de beneficencia es lo que Europa ha hecho tragicamente aunque ellos tienen a US para que los defiendan, Peru US no tiene a nadie mas para que la ayude.

El armamento de guerra despues de 10 anios de guerra tendra que ser reemplazado, ahora no podran hacerlo.

Debilidad en armamento es una invitacion a la agresion.


REVIEW & OUTLOOKJANUARY 6, 2012.

Obama's Defense Drawdown
Entitlements begin to crowd out the American military.

President Obama yesterday put in a rare appearance at the Pentagon, flanked by the four service chiefs and his Secretary of Defense. Saying that now is the time to cash in a peace dividend, he unveiled plans for a significantly slimmed-down military. This dance was choreographed to convey strength. Everything else about it showed how domestic entitlements are beginning to squeeze the U.S. military.

This self-inflicted attack on defense comes at a strange time. True, the U.S. cut deeply after World War II, Korea, Vietnam and the Cold War—and in each case came to regret it soon enough when new threats emerged. But peace doesn't characterize our time. Mr. Obama yesterday wielded his familiar line that "the tide of war is receding," which will please his antiwar base but will come as news to the Marines in Afghanistan or the Navy ships patrolling the tense Strait of Hormuz.

The Pentagon shouldn't be immune to fiscal scrutiny, yet this Administration has targeted defense from its earliest days and has kept on squeezing. The White House last year settled with Congress on $450 billion in military budget cuts through 2021, on top of the $350 billion in weapons programs killed earlier. Defense spending next year will fall 1% in nominal terms. The Pentagon also faces another $500 billion in possible cuts starting next January under "sequestration," unless Congress steps in first.

Taken altogether, the budget could shrink by over 30% in the next decade. The Administration projects outlays at 2.7% of GDP in 2021, down from 4.5% last year (which included the cost of Iraq and Afghanistan). That would put U.S. outlays at 1940 levels—a bad year. As recently as 1986, a better year, the U.S. spent 6.2% of GDP on defense with no detrimental economic impact.

What's different now? The growing entitlement state. The Administration is making a political choice and sparing Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid, which are set to hit nearly 11% of GDP by 2020. And that's before $2.6 trillion for ObamaCare, which will surely cost more.

These entitlements are already crowding out spending on defense and thus reducing America's global standing, following the tragic path that Europe has taken. The difference is that Europe had the U.S. military in reserve. Who will backstop America?

We're told that Defense Secretary Leon Panetta, who came into office last summer, says he doesn't want to go down in history as the man who "hollowed out" America's military. But the security trade-offs foisted on him by the White House will leave the military a less formidable, ready and dominant force in a still very dangerous world.

Part of the problem is that military personnel costs are exploding on pace to exceed the entire defense budget by 2030, according to Andrew Krepinevich of the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments. It's hard to make the political and moral case to reduce benefits for veterans and soldiers, but here's where Mr. Panetta could show mettle on Capitol Hill, especially by reforming military health care. The bulk of any defense budget is better spent on equipment, training and research.

Specific cuts will be spelled out in detail in the next Pentagon budget. The Navy, Air Force and Marines are flying old planes and waiting on the next generation F-35 Joint Strike Fighter jet, which comes with stealth technology. Previous Pentagon chief Bob Gates justified ending F-22 purchases by pointing to the F-35. But now the F-35 will likely be further trimmed and delayed.

After a decade of war, all the services need to replace worn-down equipment. U.S. nuclear submarines, missiles and bombers purchased during the Reagan buildup are reaching the end of their service lives. They need to be replaced, but they probably won't be soon.

Mr. Panetta and the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs, General Martin Dempsey, tried gamely yesterday to dress up these cuts not as a drawdown but as a "strategic shift." The Pentagon will spend less on the infantry to nation-build—now so unpopular—and will switch instead to defend the Pacific and new threats from cyberwarfare and in space.

But where are the resources to match the ambitions, such as new ships to patrol the Pacific? The planned reduction in troop strength is an "acceptable risk" (in General Dempsey's words) since this Administration doesn't plan to fight ground wars or pursue any Afghan-style "stabilization" missions. Too bad Commanders-in-Chief don't get to choose history's next surprise.

The real message to the world is that the Administration wants to scale back U.S. leadership. This was part of the rationale behind the White House's reluctance to take the initiative in the Middle East last year, as well as the attempts to mollify Iran's mullahs and Russia's Vladimir Putin. Now the Administration plans to draw down troops and America's profile in Africa, Latin America and Europe. The Navy can easily match Iran's threats in the Persian Gulf now, but what about in 10 years?

President Obama ended his remarks yesterday by quoting Dwight Eisenhower on "the need to maintain balance in and among national programs." The line comes from his 1961 Farewell Address, better known as the "military-industrial complex" speech. Mr. Obama's new defense posture brings to mind another Eisenhower line, offered two years earlier: "Weakness in arms often invites aggression."

[Fenix]

Papadimos afirma que Grecia hará todo lo posible para salir de la crisis

Lima, ene. 05 (ANDINA). El primer ministro griego, Lukás Papadimos, admitió hoy que deben convencer a la Unión Europea (UE) y al Fondo Monetario Internacional (FMI) de que el país está dispuesto a hacer todo lo posible para salir de la crisis.


Durante una reunión con la patronal y los sindicatos del país helénico, Papadimos afirmó que Grecia podría declararse en quiebra en los próximos tres meses si no llega a un acuerdo financiero con la troika internacional.

Según la transcripción de su discurso ante representantes de los agentes sociales del país helénico, divulgado por la agencia Amna, el jefe de Gobierno precisó que sin ese acuerdo y las subsiguientes ayudas financieras "Grecia enfrenta el riesgo inmediato de una quiebra descontrolada en marzo".


En ese sentido, Papadimos destacó la importancia de que sindicatos y patronal lleguen a un acuerdo para reducir los costos salariales en el sector privado.


Papadimos asumió las riendas del gobierno de unidad nacional en noviembre pasado, en medio de la peor crisis económica y financiera de la historia del país.

"Si en las próximas semanas no damos los pasos necesarios, si no convencemos a los representantes de la troika de que estamos dispuestos a emprender pasos decisivos para salir de la crisis, nuestra evaluación será negativa", aseveró.

Los representantes de la troika, compuesta por el Banco Central Europeo (BCE), el Fondo Monetario Internacional (FMI) y la Comisión Europea (CE), tienen previsto llegar a Atenas de nuevo el próximo 15.

Los sindicatos ya rechazaron cualquier posibilidad de reducir una vez más los salarios del sector privado.

El presidente de la Confederación General del Trabajo, Yannis Panagópulos, exigió hoy en declaraciones radiales que no se toque al acuerdo salarial firmado con la patronal hace unos meses y se preguntó "¿para qué sirve estar en la zona de euro si tenemos salarios de hambre?".

La patronal tampoco quiere la reducción del salario mínimo, pero acepta que hay que llegar a un acuerdo a fin de reducir el coste salarial medio para las empresas, indicó Infobae.

Pero no sólo los sindicatos se resisten a nuevos ajustes salariales. También el partido conservador Nueva Democracia, que forma parte del gobierno de unidad, anunció hoy que se opone a cualquier reducción salarial en el sector privado.


Para hoy se espera un Consejo de Ministros clave para abrir la vía del diálogo con la troika, ya que se prevé la aprobación de un proyecto de ley que aborde las medidas debatidas por los expertos internacionales en su última visita a Grecia en diciembre.

[admin]

Treasurys Price Chg Yield %
2-Year Note -0/32 0.272
10-Year Note -3/32 2.005
* at close

8:14 a.m. EST 01/06/12Futures Last Change Settle
Crude Oil 102.24 0.43 101.81
Gold 1622.1 2.0 1620.1
E-mini Dow 12355 24 12331
E-mini S&P 500 1275.25 2.25 1273.00

8:23 a.m. EST 01/06/12Currencies Last (mid) Prior Day †
Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) 77.15 77.12
Euro (EUR/USD) 1.2787 1.2790
† Late Thursday in New York.

[admin]

Europe, Africa and Middle East
INDEX VALUE CHANGE % CHANGE TIME
Euro Stoxx 50 Pr 2,328.89 13.14 0.57% 08:01
FTSE 100 INDEX 5,656.82 32.56 0.58% 08:01
CAC 40 INDEX 3,164.96 20.05 0.64% 08:00
DAX INDEX 6,118.27 22.28 0.37% 08:01
IBEX 35 INDEX 8,399.90 70.30 0.84% 08:01
FTSE MIB INDEX 14,864.60 97.41 0.66% 08:00
AEX-Index 312.50 0.58 0.19% 08:02
OMX STOCKHOLM 30 INDEX 1,002.17 -4.14 -0.41% 01/05
SWISS MARKET INDEX 6,030.56 3.99 0.07% 08:00
More Europe, Africa and Middle East Indexes »

Asia-Pacific
INDEX VALUE CHANGE % CHANGE TIME
NIKKEI 225 8,390.35 -98.36 -1.16% 01:28
HANG SENG INDEX 18,593.10 -220.35 -1.17% 03:01
S&P/ASX 200 INDEX 4,108.50 -34.20 -0.83% 00:37

[admin]

Price: US$/lb


Copper January 06,08:18
Bid/Ask 3.4108 - 3.4120
Change -0.0081 -0.24%
Low/High 3.4059 - 3.4610
Charts

Nickel January 06,08:18
Bid/Ask 8.4805 - 8.4860
Change +0.0441 +0.52%
Low/High 8.3911 - 8.4931
Charts

Aluminum January 06,08:19
Bid/Ask 0.9030 - 0.9036
Change +0.0026 +0.29%
Low/High 0.9000 - 0.9077
Charts

Zinc January 06,08:18
Bid/Ask 0.8315 - 0.8318
Change +0.0117 +1.43%
Low/High 0.8198 - 0.8334
Charts

Lead January 06,08:18
Bid/Ask 0.8956 - 0.8966
Change -0.0045 -0.50%
Low/High 0.8944 - 0.9084

[admin]

Las expectativas muy altas a la espera de las cifras del empleo.

Los futures del Dow Jones 23 puntos al alza.

Libor igual 0.58%

Oil up 102.42

Au up 1,622

Euro down 1.2783