Jueves 23/03/12 Indice del precio de las casas, indicadores

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VIX up 15.98

OIl down 105.06

Au down 1,641

Futures cu down 3.76

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La deuda proyectada de US para este anio es $16.394 trillones, nuevamente tendremos el drama del aumento del limite de la deuda. El promedio del deficit mensual de los ultimos 12 meses del gobierno de Obama es de mas de $89 billones. (al mes)

March, April to Determine How Soon U.S. Hits Debt Ceiling

By Damian Paletta
The U.S. government is projected to hit the $16.394 trillion debt ceiling sometime later this year, but how quickly we get there depends in large part on how things shape up in March and April.


Bloomberg News March and April are bellwethers because they can bring in a lot of revenue, as Americans rush to pay their income taxes by the mid-April deadline. February is historically a bad month, with the government typically running a huge gap between revenue and spending that widens the deficit. February 2012 was no exception, posting a record one-month $231.7 billion deficit.

March and April can be much better, but not always. The $65.4 billion deficit posted in March 2010 was just 30% of the deficit posted in February 2010, and the $48.2 billion deficit posted in March 2008 was just 27.5% of the deficit posted one month earlier. The deficits in March 2008 and 2010, however, were pretty lousy, falling just slightly from the high levels one month before.

If the U.S. doesn’t get some sort of respite in March and April, it could hit the ceiling sooner rather than later, forcing the Treasury Department to use emergency measures to buy more time and potentially accelerate the political battle over whether and how to raise the nation’s borrowing limit.

Predicting March and April could be difficult. Despite the bad February, the U.S. ran just a $27.4 billion deficit in January, which was the best start to the calendar in several years.

The U.S. government has averaged a $78.8 billion monthly deficit over the past 12 months. If the U.S. keeps that pace, it won’t hit the debt ceiling until sometime in February.

The U.S. had $15.541 trillion in debt subject to the federal ceiling on March 20, according to government data. The last time the U.S. government had a month when its revenue exceeded expenditures was September 2008, which many consider the height of the financial crisis. That month, the U.S. government ran a $45.7 billion surplus.

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-81.92

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VIX up 16.16

Oil down 105.47

Au down 1,642.70

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Treasurys Price Chg Yield %
2-Year Note 0/32 0.376
10-Year Note 7/32 2.277
* at close

3:20 p.m. EDT 03/22/12Futures Last Change Settle
Crude Oil 105.36 -1.91 107.27
Gold 1642.4 -7.9 1650.3
E-mini Dow 12957 -109 13066
E-mini S&P 500 1383.50 -14.00 1397.50

3:30 p.m. EDT 03/22/12Currencies Last (mid) Prior Day †
Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) 82.54 83.41
Euro (EUR/USD) 1.3188 1.3216
† Late Wednesday in New York.

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-89.38

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-73.60

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-71.10

Otro dia a la baja.

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-78.10

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Los mercados tomando un respiro, no hay panico, mas oportunidades para los que no estan en el mercado se animen a entrar.

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8 de los 10 grupos del S&P 500 a la baja hoy dia.

13,046.14, los 13,000 podrian estar en peligro para el Dow Jones.

Euro down 1.3186

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CAT -2.36%

BAC -2.24%

USO -1.38%

AAPL -0.50$

LULU +0.47%

BVN -2.43%

SCCO -2.28%

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Los metales preciosos caen sin excepcion

Palladium cayo 5.5%, plata 2.7% debido a los datos debiles de la manufactura en China y el temor de que la demanda por los metales preciosos para la produccion industrial se debilite.

Temor de mas impuestos para el oro en India, tambien ayudaron a las ventas del oro, asi como la menor demanda en ese pais.

Updated March 22, 2012, 3:08 p.m. ET
Precious Metals Fall Across Board

By TATYANA SHUMSKY
NEW YORK—Palladium tumbled 5.5%, while silver fell 2.7%, as weak manufacturing data from China sparked fears of lower demand for precious metals with industrial applications.

Palladium for June delivery, the most actively traded contract, fell $37.60, or 5.5%, to settle at $651.05 a troy ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange on Thursday.

Silver for May delivery, the most active Comex contract, settled down 88.2 cents, or 2.5%, at $31.345 a troy ounce.

Platinum, which is widely used in auto catalysts for diesel engines, as well as a catalyst in oil refining, fell 1.7%, to $1,612.10 an ounce.

The HSBC preliminary China purchasing managers index, a gauge of manufacturing activity in the world's second largest economy, fell for the fifth consecutive month.

Weak industrial demand for precious metals from China "in our opinion will make it difficult for platinum and palladium to rally sustainably beyond $1,700 and $700 respectively," said Standard Bank.

More than half the world's palladium output goes to making car exhaust filters, or catalytic converters, for gasoline engine vehicles, according to specialty chemicals company Johnson Matthey. Meanwhile, silver is widely used in glass making, manufacturing high-end electronics and as a catalyst in chemicals production.

Gold futures also settled lower as investors worried about slower demand from India following recent increases in gold import taxes. India is the world's largest gold consumer, purchasing over 900 metric tons of gold in 2011.

Front-month Comex gold for March delivery lost $7.70 per troy ounce, or 0.5% to $1642.30.

"Gold is already expensive enough for a lot of people so adding taxes on just makes it even less affordable," said Frank Lesh, broker and futures analyst with FuturePath Trading. "We were already seeing a loss of demand on the bullion side because of the high prices."

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Fedex cayo 3.43%, esa accion es considerada un indicador de la economia. Y hoy dijeron que este anio, no sera tan bueno como el anio pasado, temen a China, Europa y el precio del petroleo. Tres razones que afectan a todo el stock market.

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Que buena!

Moody's dijo que los paises que criticaban a las agencias calificadores, deberian formar sus propias agencias calificadoras.